Mainz 05 vs Bayern München Prediction & Stats | Bundesliga | 07/11
The encounter between Mainz 05 and Bayern München is set to kick off at 14:30 on Saturday, 07/11.
This Bundesliga fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
2nd Half Over 2.5 Goals
Why we predict over 2.5 Goals in the second half
Our prediction is Second Half – Over 2.5 Goals for the Mainz 05 vs Bayern München encounter. An intense, end-to-end finish is expected, with both sides likely to press hard in search of goals. Three or more second-half goals are possible if the match becomes open and free-flowing.
Key Betting Insights
Mainz 05
Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
Lost 4 of their last 5 matches
Bayern München
Scored 15 goals in their last 5 matches
Undefeated in their last 5 clashes
Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches
2nd Half Over 2.5 Goals: 11/10
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Mainz 05 Preview
Mainz 05 has completed 8 fixtures in the Bundesliga, securing 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses — an average of 1.25 points per game. In the Bundesliga, the team has scored 17 goals (2.13 per game) and conceded 17 (2.13 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Mainz 05 has played 10 matches, scoring 26 goals (2.6 per match) and conceding 19 (1.9 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Mainz 05
Goals Scored:26
Goals Conceded:19
Average Goals Scored:2.6
Average Goals Conceded:1.9
Wins:4
Goal Difference:7
Date
Game
Result
30/10
Elversberg
4 - 1
Mainz 05
L
27/10
Bochum
2 - 0
Mainz 05
L
24/10
Mainz 05
2 - 3
Werder Bremen
L
17/10
Schalke 04
0 - 1
Mainz 05
W
10/10
Mainz 05
3 - 4
Bayer Leverkusen
L
Mainz 05 to win the match: 11/2
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Bayern München Preview
Across 8 Bundesliga matches, Bayern München has posted 5 victories, 3 stalemates, and 0 defeats, averaging 2.25 points per fixture. In those games they scored 27 (3.38 per match) and conceded 8 (1 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Bayern München has earned 10 wins from 15 matches across all competitions, scoring 51 goals (3.4 per match) and conceding 16 (1.07 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Bayern München
Goals Scored:51
Goals Conceded:16
Average Goals Scored:3.4
Average Goals Conceded:1.07
Wins:10
Goal Difference:35
Date
Game
Result
03/11
Atlético Madrid
0 - 2
Bayern München
W
31/10
Bayern München
2 - 2
Borussia Dortmund
D
28/10
Bayern München
6 - 1
Magdeburg
W
25/10
Freiburg
1 - 3
Bayern München
W
21/10
Bayern München
2 - 2
Arsenal
D
Bayern München to win the match: 1/3
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Statistical Insights for Mainz 05 vs Bayern München
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Mainz 05 vs Bayern München fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Mainz 05
Germany - Bundesliga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
L
L
W
L
0.6
Home
L
L
L
D
L
0.2
Away
L
L
W
W
W
1.8
Bayern München
Germany - Bundesliga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
D
W
W
D
2.2
Home
D
W
D
W
W
2.2
Away
W
W
D
D
W
2.2
Home Win
11/2
15.38%
Draw
5/1
17.36%
Favourite
Away Win
2/7
77.52%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Mainz 05
7
last 5 matches
Bayern München
15
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Bayern München scored +114% more goals than Mainz 05 in the last 5 matches.
Mainz 05 and Bayern München goals scored count, last 5 matches
Elversberg
1
Bochum
0
Werder Bremen
2
Schalke 04
1
Bayer Leverkusen
3
2
Atlético Madrid
2
Borussia Dortmund
6
Magdeburg
3
Freiburg
2
Arsenal
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Mainz 05
13
last 5 matches
Bayern München
6
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Mainz 05 conceded +117% more goals than Bayern München in the last 5 matches.
Mainz 05 and Bayern München goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Elversberg
4
Bochum
2
Werder Bremen
3
Schalke 04
0
Bayer Leverkusen
4
0
Atlético Madrid
2
Borussia Dortmund
1
Magdeburg
1
Freiburg
2
Arsenal
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Key metrics
Corners
Mainz 05
28
last 5 matches
Bayern München
24
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Mainz 05 received +17% more corners than Bayern München in the last 5 matches.
Mainz 05 and Bayern München corners count, last 5 matches
Elversberg
11
Bochum
6
Werder Bremen
6
Schalke 04
1
Bayer Leverkusen
4
4
Atlético Madrid
5
Borussia Dortmund
6
Magdeburg
6
Freiburg
3
Arsenal
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Key metrics
Cards
Mainz 05
13
last 5 matches
Bayern München
7
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Mainz 05 received +86% more cards than Bayern München in the last 5 matches.
Mainz 05 and Bayern München cards count, last 5 matches
Elversberg
4
Bochum
1
Werder Bremen
3
Schalke 04
2
Bayer Leverkusen
3
2
Atlético Madrid
2
Borussia Dortmund
2
Magdeburg
1
Freiburg
0
Arsenal
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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