The encounter between Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen is set to kick off at 14:30 on Saturday, 24/10.
This Bundesliga fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
1st Half Mainz 05 Win
Why we predict Mainz 05 to win the first half
Our betting tip is Mainz 05 to win the first half.
We expect Mainz 05 to start strongly, using home advantage to control the early stages. Their attacking intent could see them take a lead into the break.
Key Betting Insights
Mainz 05
Scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches
7 matches against Werder Bremen ended in a draw
Under 10.5 corners landed in 5 of Mainz 05's last 5 matches
Werder Bremen
Scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches
7 matches against Mainz 05 ended in a draw
Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
1st Half Mainz 05 Win: 5/4
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Mainz 05 Preview
Mainz 05 has completed 6 fixtures in the Bundesliga, securing 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses — an average of 1.67 points per game. In the Bundesliga, the team has scored 14 goals (2.33 per game) and conceded 10 (1.67 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Mainz 05 has played 55 matches, scoring 84 goals (1.53 per match) and conceding 75 (1.36 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Mainz 05
Goals Scored:84
Goals Conceded:75
Average Goals Scored:1.53
Average Goals Conceded:1.36
Wins:22
Goal Difference:9
Date
Game
Result
17/10
Schalke 04
0 - 1
Mainz 05
W
10/10
Mainz 05
3 - 4
Bayer Leverkusen
L
19/09
Borussia M'gladbach
3 - 4
Mainz 05
W
12/09
Mainz 05
1 - 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
L
06/09
Hamburger SV
0 - 5
Mainz 05
W
Mainz 05 to win the match: 8/11
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £17.27
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Werder Bremen Preview
Across 6 Bundesliga matches, Werder Bremen has posted 2 victories, 3 stalemates, and 1 defeats, averaging 1.5 points per fixture. In those games they scored 12 (2 per match) and conceded 12 (2 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Werder Bremen has earned 11 wins from 42 matches across all competitions, scoring 52 goals (1.24 per match) and conceding 73 (1.74 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Werder Bremen
Goals Scored:52
Goals Conceded:73
Average Goals Scored:1.24
Average Goals Conceded:1.74
Wins:11
Goal Difference:-21
Date
Game
Result
17/10
Werder Bremen
2 - 2
Paderborn
D
09/10
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 2
Werder Bremen
D
19/09
Werder Bremen
3 - 2
Augsburg
W
12/09
Köln
1 - 1
Werder Bremen
D
05/09
Werder Bremen
3 - 1
RB Leipzig
W
Werder Bremen to win the match: 16/5
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £42.00
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Statistical Insights for Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Mainz 05
Germany - Bundesliga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
L
W
L
W
1.8
Home
L
L
D
L
L
0.2
Away
W
W
W
W
W
3
Werder Bremen
Germany - Bundesliga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
D
D
W
D
W
1.8
Home
D
W
W
L
L
1.4
Away
D
D
L
W
L
1
Favourite
Home Win
8/11
57.8%
Draw
3/1
24.39%
Away Win
16/5
23.81%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Mainz 05
14
last 5 matches
Werder Bremen
11
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Mainz 05 scored +27% more goals than Werder Bremen in the last 5 matches.
Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen goals scored count, last 5 matches
Schalke 04
1
Bayer Leverkusen
3
Borussia M'gladbach
4
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
Hamburger SV
5
2
Paderborn
2
Borussia Dortmund
3
Augsburg
1
Köln
3
RB Leipzig
Bet £10 Get £40
Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Mainz 05
10
last 5 matches
Werder Bremen
8
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Mainz 05 conceded +25% more goals than Werder Bremen in the last 5 matches.
Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Schalke 04
0
Bayer Leverkusen
4
Borussia M'gladbach
3
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
Hamburger SV
0
2
Paderborn
2
Borussia Dortmund
2
Augsburg
1
Köln
1
RB Leipzig
Bet £10 Get £40
Key metrics
Corners
Mainz 05
18
last 5 matches
Werder Bremen
17
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Mainz 05 received +6% more corners than Werder Bremen in the last 5 matches.
Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen corners count, last 5 matches
Schalke 04
1
Bayer Leverkusen
4
Borussia M'gladbach
4
Eintracht Frankfurt
4
Hamburger SV
5
5
Paderborn
3
Borussia Dortmund
2
Augsburg
5
Köln
2
RB Leipzig
Bet £10 Get £40
Key metrics
Cards
Mainz 05
13
last 5 matches
Werder Bremen
6
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Mainz 05 received +117% more cards than Werder Bremen in the last 5 matches.
Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen cards count, last 5 matches
Schalke 04
2
Bayer Leverkusen
3
Borussia M'gladbach
5
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
Hamburger SV
3
1
Paderborn
1
Borussia Dortmund
2
Augsburg
1
Köln
1
RB Leipzig
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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