Mexico vs Colombia Prediction & Stats | International Friendlies | 26/09

The encounter between Mexico and Colombia is set to kick off at 01:00 on Saturday, 26/09.

This International Friendlies fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Mexico Win

Why we predict Mexico to win the match

Our prediction is Mexico to win the match.

We anticipate Mexico to make the most of their home advantage, controlling key phases of play and ultimately taking all three points.

Key Betting Insights

Mexico

• Scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
• Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches
• Won 4 of their last 5 matches

Colombia

• Undefeated in their last 5 clashes
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 5 of Colombia's last 5 matches
• Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches

Mexico Win: 7/4

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	13/8	9/4	11/8	4/5	5/6
	15/8	13/5	7/5	1/1	1/1
	7/4	12/5	5/4	1/1	10/11

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Mexico Preview

Mexico has completed 8 fixtures in the International Friendlies, securing 6 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses — an average of 2.5 points per game. In the International Friendlies, the team has scored 15 goals (1.88 per game) and conceded 2 (0.25 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Mexico has played 13 matches, scoring 25 goals (1.92 per match) and conceding 5 (0.38 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Mexico

Goals Scored: 25

Goals Conceded: 5

Average Goals Scored: 1.92

Average Goals Conceded: 0.38

Wins: 10

Goal Difference: 20

Date	Game	Result
06/07	Mexico 2 - 3 England	L
01/07	Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador	W
25/06	Czech Republic 0 - 3 Mexico	W
19/06	Mexico 1 - 0 South Korea	W
11/06	Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa	W

Mexico to win the match: 13/8

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Colombia Preview

Across 4 International Friendlies matches, Colombia has posted 2 victories, 0 stalemates, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.5 points per fixture. In those games they scored 7 (1.75 per match) and conceded 6 (1.5 per match).

During the whole 2026 campaign, Colombia has earned 12 wins from 27 matches across all competitions, scoring 40 goals (1.48 per match) and conceding 25 (0.93 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Colombia

Goals Scored: 40

Goals Conceded: 25

Average Goals Scored: 1.48

Average Goals Conceded: 0.93

Wins: 12

Goal Difference: 15

Date	Game	Result
07/07	Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia	D
04/07	Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana	W
27/06	Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal	D
24/06	Colombia 1 - 0 Congo DR	W
18/06	Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia	W

Colombia to win the match: 5/4

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Statistical Insights for Mexico vs Colombia

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Mexico vs Colombia fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Mexico

International - International Friendlies

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L W W W W	2.4
Home	L W W W W	2.4
Away	W W W W L	2.4

Colombia

International - International Friendlies

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D W D W W	2.2
Home	W D W W W	2.6
Away	D W D W W	2.2

Home Win

7/4

36.23%

Draw

13/5

28.01%

Favourite

Away Win

7/5

41.84%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Mexico

10

last 5 matches

Colombia

5

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Mexico scored +100% more goals than Colombia in the last 5 matches.

Mexico and Colombia goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

England

2

Ecuador

2

Czech Republic

3

South Korea

1

South Africa

2

0

Switzerland

1

Ghana

0

Portugal

1

Congo DR

3

Uzbekistan

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Mexico

3

last 5 matches

Colombia

1

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Mexico conceded +200% more goals than Colombia in the last 5 matches.

Mexico and Colombia goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

England

3

Ecuador

0

Czech Republic

0

South Korea

0

South Africa

0

0

Switzerland

0

Ghana

0

Portugal

0

Congo DR

1

Uzbekistan

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Key metrics

Corners

Mexico

19

last 5 matches

Colombia

24

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Colombia received +26% more corners than Mexico in the last 5 matches.

Mexico and Colombia corners count, last 5 matches

▲

England

12

Ecuador

3

Czech Republic

1

South Korea

0

South Africa

3

7

Switzerland

3

Ghana

5

Portugal

5

Congo DR

4

Uzbekistan

Key metrics

Cards

Mexico

4

last 5 matches

Colombia

8

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Colombia received +100% more cards than Mexico in the last 5 matches.

Mexico and Colombia cards count, last 5 matches

▲

England

2

Ecuador

0

Czech Republic

1

South Korea

0

South Africa

1

2

Switzerland

2

Ghana

1

Portugal

2

Congo DR

1

Uzbekistan

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.