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EFL Championship

Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 12:30

Middlesbrough

Team Performance 9 out of 10
VS

Cardiff City

Team Performance 3 out of 10

Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City Prediction & Stats | EFL Championship | 17/10

The encounter between Middlesbrough and Cardiff City is set to kick off at 12:30 on Saturday, 17/10.

This EFL Championship fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

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Middlesbrough Preview

Middlesbrough has completed 9 fixtures in the EFL Championship, securing 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses — an average of 2 points per game. In the EFL Championship, the team has scored 17 goals (1.89 per game) and conceded 12 (1.33 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Middlesbrough has played 63 matches, scoring 95 goals (1.51 per match) and conceding 73 (1.16 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Middlesbrough

Goals Scored: 98
Goals Conceded: 75
Average Goals Scored: 1.53
Average Goals Conceded: 1.17
Wins: 30
Goal Difference: 23
Date Game Result
13/10
Stoke City
2 - 3
Middlesbrough
W
10/10
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Wolverhampton
W
19/09
Birmingham City
2 - 2
Middlesbrough
D
15/09
Middlesbrough
2 - 2
Millwall
D
12/09
Middlesbrough
4 - 3
Norwich City
W

Middlesbrough to win the match: 8/15

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £15.33

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Cardiff City Preview

Across 9 EFL Championship matches, Cardiff City has posted 1 victories, 4 stalemates, and 4 defeats, averaging 0.78 points per fixture. In those games they scored 11 (1.22 per match) and conceded 14 (1.56 per match).

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Cardiff City has earned 35 wins from 67 matches across all competitions, scoring 120 goals (1.79 per match) and conceding 82 (1.22 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Cardiff City

Goals Scored: 125
Goals Conceded: 83
Average Goals Scored: 1.84
Average Goals Conceded: 1.22
Wins: 36
Goal Difference: 42
Date Game Result
13/10
Cardiff City
5 - 1
Watford
W
10/10
Blackburn Rovers
2 - 1
Cardiff City
L
19/09
Cardiff City
3 - 1
Charlton Athletic
W
12/09
Bolton Wanderers
1 - 0
Cardiff City
L
08/09
Cardiff City
1 - 1
Stoke City
D

Cardiff City to win the match: 4/1

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Statistical Insights for Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Middlesbrough

England - EFL Championship

Form Last 5 Games PPG
Overall W W D D W 2.2
Home W D W W W 2.6
Away W D L W D 1.6

Cardiff City

England - EFL Championship

Form Last 5 Games PPG
Overall W L W L D 1.4
Home W W D D L 1.6
Away L L L L D 0.2
Favourite
Home Win
4/9
68.49%
Draw
7/2
22.22%
Away Win
4/1
19.84%
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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Middlesbrough

12

last 5 matches

Cardiff City

10

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Middlesbrough scored +20% more goals than Cardiff City in the last 5 matches.

Middlesbrough and Cardiff City goals scored count, last 5 matches
Stoke City Stoke City
3
Wolverhampton Wolverhampton
1
Birmingham City Birmingham City
2
Millwall Millwall
2
Norwich City Norwich City
4
5
Watford Watford
1
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
3
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
0
Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers
1
Stoke City Stoke City
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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Middlesbrough

9

last 5 matches

Cardiff City

6

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Middlesbrough conceded +50% more goals than Cardiff City in the last 5 matches.

Middlesbrough and Cardiff City goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Stoke City Stoke City
2
Wolverhampton Wolverhampton
0
Birmingham City Birmingham City
2
Millwall Millwall
2
Norwich City Norwich City
3
1
Watford Watford
2
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
1
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
1
Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers
1
Stoke City Stoke City
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Key metrics

Corners

Middlesbrough

27

last 5 matches

Cardiff City

35

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Cardiff City received +30% more corners than Middlesbrough in the last 5 matches.

Middlesbrough and Cardiff City corners count, last 5 matches
Stoke City Stoke City
3
Wolverhampton Wolverhampton
4
Birmingham City Birmingham City
3
Millwall Millwall
14
Norwich City Norwich City
3
6
Watford Watford
6
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
6
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
10
Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers
7
Stoke City Stoke City
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Key metrics

Cards

Middlesbrough

7

last 5 matches

Cardiff City

9

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Cardiff City received +29% more cards than Middlesbrough in the last 5 matches.

Middlesbrough and Cardiff City cards count, last 5 matches
Stoke City Stoke City
1
Wolverhampton Wolverhampton
3
Birmingham City Birmingham City
0
Millwall Millwall
1
Norwich City Norwich City
2
1
Watford Watford
0
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
5
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
2
Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers
1
Stoke City Stoke City

Dave Kuzio
Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.

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