The encounter between Middlesbrough and Millwall is set to kick off at 19:45 on Tuesday, 15/09.
This EFL Championship fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
Under 7.5 Corners
Why we predict under 7.5 corners
Our recommended bet is Corners – Under 7.5 for the Middlesbrough vs Millwall matchup.
We expect a controlled, tactical game with few attacks from wide areas. Both teams may focus on ball retention rather than constant forward pressure, resulting in a low corner count overall.
Key Betting Insights
Middlesbrough
Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
6 matches against Millwall ended in a draw
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
Millwall
Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
6 matches against Middlesbrough ended in a draw
Conceded in 3 of their last 5 matches
Under 7.5 Corners: 4/1
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Middlesbrough Preview
Middlesbrough has completed 5 fixtures in the EFL Championship, securing 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses — an average of 2 points per game. In the EFL Championship, the team has scored 8 goals (1.6 per game) and conceded 5 (1 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Middlesbrough has played 59 matches, scoring 86 goals (1.46 per match) and conceding 66 (1.12 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Middlesbrough
Goals Scored:90
Goals Conceded:69
Average Goals Scored:1.5
Average Goals Conceded:1.15
Wins:28
Goal Difference:21
Date
Game
Result
15/09
Middlesbrough
2 - 2
Millwall
D
12/09
Middlesbrough
4 - 3
Norwich City
W
08/09
Crystal Palace
3 - 0
Middlesbrough
L
05/09
Queens Park Rangers
0 - 1
Middlesbrough
W
02/09
Burnley
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
D
Middlesbrough to win the match: 2/5
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Millwall Preview
Across 5 EFL Championship matches, Millwall has posted 3 victories, 0 stalemates, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.8 points per fixture. In those games they scored 10 (2 per match) and conceded 8 (1.6 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Millwall has earned 30 wins from 60 matches across all competitions, scoring 81 goals (1.35 per match) and conceding 68 (1.13 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Millwall
Goals Scored:82
Goals Conceded:71
Average Goals Scored:1.34
Average Goals Conceded:1.16
Wins:30
Goal Difference:11
Date
Game
Result
15/09
Middlesbrough
2 - 2
Millwall
D
12/09
Blackburn Rovers
3 - 1
Millwall
L
08/09
Millwall
0 - 1
Newcastle United
L
05/09
Millwall
4 - 0
Bolton Wanderers
W
02/09
Millwall
0 - 3
Wrexham
L
Millwall to win the match: 6/1
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Statistical Insights for Middlesbrough vs Millwall
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Middlesbrough vs Millwall fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Middlesbrough
England - EFL Championship
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
L
W
D
W
2
Home
W
W
W
W
D
2.6
Away
L
W
D
W
L
1.4
Millwall
England - EFL Championship
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
D
L
L
W
L
0.8
Home
L
W
L
W
L
1.2
Away
L
L
W
W
D
1.4
Favourite
Home Win
4/11
73.53%
Draw
7/2
21.05%
Away Win
6/1
14.29%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Middlesbrough
9
last 5 matches
Millwall
7
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Middlesbrough scored +29% more goals than Millwall in the last 5 matches.
Middlesbrough and Millwall goals scored count, last 5 matches
Norwich City
4
Crystal Palace
0
Queens Park Rangers
1
Burnley
1
West Bromwich
3
2
Middlesbrough
1
Blackburn Rovers
0
Newcastle United
4
Bolton Wanderers
0
Wrexham
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Middlesbrough
8
last 5 matches
Millwall
9
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Millwall conceded +13% more goals than Middlesbrough in the last 5 matches.
Middlesbrough and Millwall goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Norwich City
3
Crystal Palace
3
Queens Park Rangers
0
Burnley
1
West Bromwich
1
2
Middlesbrough
3
Blackburn Rovers
1
Newcastle United
0
Bolton Wanderers
3
Wrexham
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Key metrics
Corners
Middlesbrough
20
last 5 matches
Millwall
9
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Middlesbrough received +122% more corners than Millwall in the last 5 matches.
Middlesbrough and Millwall corners count, last 5 matches
Norwich City
3
Crystal Palace
6
Queens Park Rangers
3
Burnley
1
West Bromwich
7
1
Middlesbrough
2
Blackburn Rovers
1
Newcastle United
4
Bolton Wanderers
1
Wrexham
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Key metrics
Cards
Middlesbrough
8
last 5 matches
Millwall
8
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Both teams got the same number of cards in the last 5 matches.
Middlesbrough and Millwall cards count, last 5 matches
Norwich City
2
Crystal Palace
2
Queens Park Rangers
2
Burnley
2
West Bromwich
0
1
Middlesbrough
3
Blackburn Rovers
2
Newcastle United
0
Bolton Wanderers
2
Wrexham
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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