EFL Championship

Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 15:00

Millwall

Team Performance 6 out of 10

Derby County

Team Performance 1 out of 10

Millwall vs Derby County Prediction & Stats | EFL Championship | 31/10

The encounter between Millwall and Derby County is set to kick off at 15:00 on Saturday, 31/10.

This EFL Championship fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

1st Half Draw

Why we predict the first half to end in a draw

We expect a draw in the first half for the Millwall vs Derby County fixture.

Both sides are likely to approach the opening period cautiously, focusing on structure and possession. A balanced first half with limited chances could result in a level score at halftime.

Key Betting Insights

Millwall

8 matches against Derby County ended in a draw
Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches

Derby County

8 matches against Millwall ended in a draw
Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
Scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches

1st Half Draw: 5/4

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £22.50

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
8/13	11/4	7/2	4/5	10/11
8/13	11/4	7/2	5/6	1/1
8/13	13/5	7/2	4/5	10/11
4/6	13/5	7/2	4/5	10/11

Exclusive Bonus

Bet £10 Get £40

New customers only | T&Cs apply

Millwall Preview

Millwall has completed 12 fixtures in the EFL Championship, securing 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses — an average of 1.25 points per game. In the EFL Championship, the team has scored 19 goals (1.58 per game) and conceded 20 (1.67 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Millwall has played 67 matches, scoring 90 goals (1.34 per match) and conceding 80 (1.19 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Millwall

Goals Scored: 90

Goals Conceded: 80

Average Goals Scored: 1.34

Average Goals Conceded: 1.19

Wins: 31

Goal Difference: 10

Date	Game	Result
24/10	Portsmouth 2 - 1 Millwall	L
17/10	Millwall 2 - 2 Lincoln City	D
13/10	Millwall 0 - 1 Swansea City	L
10/10	Preston North End 0 - 1 Millwall	W
19/09	Millwall 2 - 2 West Ham	D

Millwall to win the match: 8/13

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £16.15

Derby County Preview

Across 12 EFL Championship matches, Derby County has posted 1 victories, 4 stalemates, and 7 defeats, averaging 0.58 points per fixture. In those games they scored 10 (0.83 per match) and conceded 21 (1.75 per match).

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Derby County has earned 21 wins from 62 matches across all competitions, scoring 81 goals (1.31 per match) and conceding 88 (1.42 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Derby County

Goals Scored: 81

Goals Conceded: 88

Average Goals Scored: 1.31

Average Goals Conceded: 1.42

Wins: 21

Goal Difference: -7

Date	Game	Result
24/10	Sheffield United 1 - 1 Derby County	D
17/10	Derby County 0 - 1 Stoke City	L
14/10	Queens Park Rangers 4 - 1 Derby County	L
10/10	Derby County 1 - 1 Wrexham	D
19/09	Burnley 1 - 1 Derby County	D

Derby County to win the match: 7/2

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £45.00

Statistical Insights for Millwall vs Derby County

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Millwall vs Derby County fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Millwall

England - EFL Championship

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L D L W D	1
Home	D L D L W	1
Away	L W D L L	0.8

Derby County

England - EFL Championship

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D L L D D	0.6
Home	L D L L L	0.2
Away	D L D L W	1

Favourite

Home Win

8/13

60.98%

Draw

11/4

26.32%

Away Win

7/2

21.74%

Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Millwall

last 5 matches

Derby County

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Millwall scored +50% more goals than Derby County in the last 5 matches.

Millwall and Derby County goals scored count, last 5 matches

Portsmouth

Lincoln City

Swansea City

Preston North End

West Ham

Sheffield United

Stoke City

Queens Park Rangers

Wrexham

Burnley

Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Millwall

last 5 matches

Derby County

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Derby County conceded +14% more goals than Millwall in the last 5 matches.

Millwall and Derby County goals conceded count, last 5 matches

Portsmouth

Lincoln City

Swansea City

Preston North End

West Ham

Sheffield United

Stoke City

Queens Park Rangers

Wrexham

Burnley

Key metrics

Corners

Millwall

last 5 matches

Derby County

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Millwall received +61% more corners than Derby County in the last 5 matches.

Millwall and Derby County corners count, last 5 matches

Portsmouth

Lincoln City

Swansea City

Preston North End

West Ham

Sheffield United

Stoke City

Queens Park Rangers

Wrexham

Burnley

Key metrics

Cards

Millwall

last 5 matches

Derby County

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Millwall received +8% more cards than Derby County in the last 5 matches.

Millwall and Derby County cards count, last 5 matches

Portsmouth

Lincoln City

Swansea City

Preston North End

West Ham

Sheffield United

Stoke City

Queens Park Rangers

Wrexham

Burnley

Published on 28 October 2026, at 00:04 Last updated on 28 October 2026, at 03:21

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.