The encounter between Paderborn and Hamburger SV is set to kick off at 14:30 on Saturday, 24/10.
This Bundesliga fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
1st Half Draw
Why we predict the first half to end in a draw
We expect a draw in the first half for the Paderborn vs Hamburger SV fixture.
Both sides are likely to approach the opening period cautiously, focusing on structure and possession. A balanced first half with limited chances could result in a level score at halftime.
Key Betting Insights
Paderborn
Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
Lost 3 of their last 5 matches
Hamburger SV
Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
Won 3 of their last 5 matches
1st Half Draw: 5/4
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Paderborn Preview
Paderborn has completed 6 fixtures in the Bundesliga, securing 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses — an average of 0.83 points per game. In the Bundesliga, the team has scored 5 goals (0.83 per game) and conceded 9 (1.5 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Paderborn has played 43 matches, scoring 73 goals (1.7 per match) and conceding 61 (1.42 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Paderborn
Goals Scored:73
Goals Conceded:61
Average Goals Scored:1.7
Average Goals Conceded:1.42
Wins:21
Goal Difference:12
Date
Game
Result
17/10
Werder Bremen
2 - 2
Paderborn
D
10/10
Paderborn
0 - 2
Stuttgart
L
20/09
Paderborn
3 - 1
Hoffenheim
W
12/09
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 0
Paderborn
L
05/09
Paderborn
0 - 1
Freiburg
L
Paderborn to win the match: 5/4
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Hamburger SV Preview
Across 6 Bundesliga matches, Hamburger SV has posted 3 victories, 0 stalemates, and 3 defeats, averaging 1.5 points per fixture. In those games they scored 6 (1 per match) and conceded 15 (2.5 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Hamburger SV has earned 15 wins from 44 matches across all competitions, scoring 53 goals (1.2 per match) and conceding 71 (1.61 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Hamburger SV
Goals Scored:53
Goals Conceded:71
Average Goals Scored:1.2
Average Goals Conceded:1.61
Wins:15
Goal Difference:-18
Date
Game
Result
17/10
Hamburger SV
1 - 0
Stuttgart
W
10/10
Hoffenheim
2 - 3
Hamburger SV
W
19/09
Hamburger SV
2 - 1
Köln
W
13/09
RB Leipzig
5 - 0
Hamburger SV
L
06/09
Hamburger SV
0 - 5
Mainz 05
L
Hamburger SV to win the match: 2/1
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Statistical Insights for Paderborn vs Hamburger SV
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Paderborn vs Hamburger SV fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Paderborn
Germany - Bundesliga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
D
L
W
L
L
0.8
Home
L
W
L
D
L
0.8
Away
D
L
D
W
W
1.6
Hamburger SV
Germany - Bundesliga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
W
W
L
L
1.8
Home
W
W
L
W
L
1.8
Away
W
L
L
W
D
1.4
Favourite
Home Win
6/5
45.45%
Draw
13/5
27.25%
Away Win
15/8
34.25%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Paderborn
5
last 5 matches
Hamburger SV
6
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Hamburger SV scored +20% more goals than Paderborn in the last 5 matches.
Paderborn and Hamburger SV goals scored count, last 5 matches
Werder Bremen
2
Stuttgart
0
Hoffenheim
3
Borussia Dortmund
0
Freiburg
0
1
Stuttgart
3
Hoffenheim
2
Köln
0
RB Leipzig
0
Mainz 05
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Paderborn
9
last 5 matches
Hamburger SV
13
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Hamburger SV conceded +44% more goals than Paderborn in the last 5 matches.
Paderborn and Hamburger SV goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Werder Bremen
2
Stuttgart
2
Hoffenheim
1
Borussia Dortmund
3
Freiburg
1
0
Stuttgart
2
Hoffenheim
1
Köln
5
RB Leipzig
5
Mainz 05
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Key metrics
Corners
Paderborn
24
last 5 matches
Hamburger SV
22
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Paderborn received +9% more corners than Hamburger SV in the last 5 matches.
Paderborn and Hamburger SV corners count, last 5 matches
Werder Bremen
3
Stuttgart
7
Hoffenheim
6
Borussia Dortmund
3
Freiburg
5
5
Stuttgart
3
Hoffenheim
3
Köln
7
RB Leipzig
4
Mainz 05
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Key metrics
Cards
Paderborn
6
last 5 matches
Hamburger SV
8
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Hamburger SV received +33% more cards than Paderborn in the last 5 matches.
Paderborn and Hamburger SV cards count, last 5 matches
Werder Bremen
1
Stuttgart
1
Hoffenheim
0
Borussia Dortmund
1
Freiburg
3
3
Stuttgart
0
Hoffenheim
2
Köln
2
RB Leipzig
1
Mainz 05
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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