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Bundesliga

Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:30

Schalke 04

Team Performance 2 out of 10
VS

Mainz 05

Team Performance 8 out of 10

Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05 Prediction & Stats | Bundesliga | 17/10

The encounter between Schalke 04 and Mainz 05 is set to kick off at 14:30 on Saturday, 17/10.

This Bundesliga fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

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Schalke 04 Preview

Schalke 04 has completed 5 fixtures in the Bundesliga, securing 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses — an average of 1 points per game. In the Bundesliga, the team has scored 4 goals (0.8 per game) and conceded 6 (1.2 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Schalke 04 has played 42 matches, scoring 60 goals (1.43 per match) and conceding 43 (1.02 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Schalke 04

Goals Scored: 60
Goals Conceded: 43
Average Goals Scored: 1.43
Average Goals Conceded: 1.02
Wins: 24
Goal Difference: 17
Date Game Result
11/10
Freiburg
2 - 1
Schalke 04
L
20/09
Schalke 04
0 - 0
Elversberg
D
11/09
Union Berlin
1 - 3
Schalke 04
W
05/09
Schalke 04
0 - 0
Bayern München
D
30/08
Augsburg
3 - 0
Schalke 04
L

Schalke 04 to win the match: 15/8

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £28.75

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Mainz 05 Preview

Across 5 Bundesliga matches, Mainz 05 has posted 2 victories, 1 stalemates, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.4 points per fixture. In those games they scored 13 (2.6 per match) and conceded 10 (2 per match).

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Mainz 05 has earned 21 wins from 54 matches across all competitions, scoring 83 goals (1.54 per match) and conceding 75 (1.39 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Mainz 05

Goals Scored: 83
Goals Conceded: 75
Average Goals Scored: 1.54
Average Goals Conceded: 1.39
Wins: 21
Goal Difference: 8
Date Game Result
10/10
Mainz 05
3 - 4
Bayer Leverkusen
L
19/09
Borussia M'gladbach
3 - 4
Mainz 05
W
12/09
Mainz 05
1 - 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
L
06/09
Hamburger SV
0 - 5
Mainz 05
W
29/08
Mainz 05
0 - 0
Paderborn
D

Mainz 05 to win the match: 5/4

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £22.50

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Statistical Insights for Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05 fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Schalke 04

Germany - Bundesliga

Form Last 5 Games PPG
Overall L D W D L 1
Home D D W W W 2.2
Away L W L W L 1.2

Mainz 05

Germany - Bundesliga

Form Last 5 Games PPG
Overall L W L W D 1.4
Home L L D L L 0.2
Away W W W W W 3
Home Win
11/5
31.25%
Draw
11/4
26.67%
Favourite
Away Win
6/5
45.45%
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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Schalke 04

4

last 5 matches

Mainz 05

13

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Mainz 05 scored +225% more goals than Schalke 04 in the last 5 matches.

Schalke 04 and Mainz 05 goals scored count, last 5 matches
Freiburg Freiburg
1
Elversberg Elversberg
0
Union Berlin Union Berlin
3
Bayern München Bayern München
0
Augsburg Augsburg
0
3
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
4
Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach
1
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
5
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
0
Paderborn Paderborn
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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Schalke 04

6

last 5 matches

Mainz 05

10

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Mainz 05 conceded +67% more goals than Schalke 04 in the last 5 matches.

Schalke 04 and Mainz 05 goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Freiburg Freiburg
2
Elversberg Elversberg
0
Union Berlin Union Berlin
1
Bayern München Bayern München
0
Augsburg Augsburg
3
4
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
3
Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach
3
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
0
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
0
Paderborn Paderborn
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Key metrics

Corners

Schalke 04

14

last 5 matches

Mainz 05

28

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Mainz 05 received +100% more corners than Schalke 04 in the last 5 matches.

Schalke 04 and Mainz 05 corners count, last 5 matches
Freiburg Freiburg
2
Elversberg Elversberg
4
Union Berlin Union Berlin
5
Bayern München Bayern München
0
Augsburg Augsburg
3
4
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
4
Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach
4
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
5
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
11
Paderborn Paderborn
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Key metrics

Cards

Schalke 04

5

last 5 matches

Mainz 05

12

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Mainz 05 received +140% more cards than Schalke 04 in the last 5 matches.

Schalke 04 and Mainz 05 cards count, last 5 matches
Freiburg Freiburg
1
Elversberg Elversberg
1
Union Berlin Union Berlin
1
Bayern München Bayern München
2
Augsburg Augsburg
0
3
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
5
Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach
0
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
3
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
1
Paderborn Paderborn

Dave Kuzio
Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.

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