Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:30
The encounter between Schalke 04 and Mainz 05 is set to kick off at 14:30 on Saturday, 17/10.
This Bundesliga fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet We expect a draw in the first half for the Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05 fixture. Both sides are likely to approach the opening period cautiously, focusing on structure and possession. A balanced first half with limited chances could result in a level score at halftime.
1st Half Draw: 11/8
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £23.75
1st Half Draw
Why we predict the first half to end in a draw
Key Betting Insights
Schalke 04
Mainz 05
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Schalke 04 has completed 5 fixtures in the Bundesliga, securing 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses — an average of 1 points per game. In the Bundesliga, the team has scored 4 goals (0.8 per game) and conceded 6 (1.2 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Schalke 04 has played 42 matches, scoring 60 goals (1.43 per match) and conceding 43 (1.02 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Schalke 04 to win the match: 15/8
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £28.75
Schalke 04
Date
Game
Result
11/10
L
20/09
D
11/09
W
05/09
D
30/08
L
Across 5 Bundesliga matches, Mainz 05 has posted 2 victories, 1 stalemates, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.4 points per fixture. In those games they scored 13 (2.6 per match) and conceded 10 (2 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Mainz 05 has earned 21 wins from 54 matches across all competitions, scoring 83 goals (1.54 per match) and conceding 75 (1.39 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Mainz 05 to win the match: 5/4
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £22.50
Mainz 05
Date
Game
Result
10/10
L
19/09
W
12/09
L
06/09
W
29/08
D
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05 fixture.
Key metrics Germany - Bundesliga Germany - BundesligaTeam Form
Schalke 04
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
D
W
D
L
1
Home
D
D
W
W
W
2.2
Away
L
W
L
W
L
1.2
Mainz 05
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
W
L
W
D
1.4
Home
L
L
D
L
L
0.2
Away
W
W
W
W
W
3
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics 4 last 5 matches 13 last 5 matches
Mainz 05 scored +225% more goals than Schalke 04 in the last 5 matches.
Goals Scored
Schalke 04
Mainz 05
Performance Gap
Freiburg
Elversberg
Union Berlin
Bayern München
Augsburg
Key metrics 6 last 5 matches 10 last 5 matches
Mainz 05 conceded +67% more goals than Schalke 04 in the last 5 matches.
Goals Conceded
Schalke 04
Mainz 05
Performance Gap
Freiburg
Elversberg
Union Berlin
Bayern München
Augsburg
Key metrics 14 last 5 matches 28 last 5 matches
Mainz 05 received +100% more corners than Schalke 04 in the last 5 matches.
Corners
Schalke 04
Mainz 05
Performance Gap
Freiburg
Elversberg
Union Berlin
Bayern München
Augsburg
Key metrics 5 last 5 matches 12 last 5 matches
Mainz 05 received +140% more cards than Schalke 04 in the last 5 matches.
Cards
Schalke 04
Mainz 05
Performance Gap
Freiburg
Elversberg
Union Berlin
Bayern München
Augsburg
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