Slovenia vs Scotland Prediction | UEFA Nations League | 26/09

The encounter between Slovenia and Scotland is set to kick off at 14:00 on Saturday, 26/09, at Stadion Stožice.

This UEFA Nations League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Over 3.5 Goals

Why we predict over 3.5 Goals

Our betting pick is Over 3.5 Goals for the Slovenia vs Scotland contest.

This game promises end-to-end action, with both teams expected to push forward and create plenty of opportunities. A high-scoring affair featuring at least four goals looks realistic.

Key Betting Insights

Slovenia

• Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Over 9.5 corners occurred in 5 of Slovenia's last 5 matches

Scotland

• Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 4 of Scotland's last 5 matches
• Won 3 of their last 5 matches

Over 3.5 Goals: 16/5

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	13/8	2/1	7/4	6/5	4/7
	6/4	2/1	9/5	11/10	4/6
	6/4	2/1	7/4	5/4	8/13

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Slovenia Preview

Slovenia is yet to feature in the UEFA Nations League, so this fixture marks their first outing in the competition.

Looking at Slovenia's performance across all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

• Matches played: 10

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 5

• Losses: 4

• Goals Scored: 8 (Avg. 0.8)

• Goals Conceded: 14 (Avg. 1.4)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Slovenia

Goals Scored: 8

Goals Conceded: 14

Average Goals Scored: 0.8

Average Goals Conceded: 1.4

Wins: 1

Goal Difference: -6

Date	Game	Result
07/06	Croatia 2 - 1 Slovenia	L
04/06	Slovenia 1 - 1 Cyprus	D
31/03	Montenegro 2 - 3 Slovenia	W
28/03	Hungary 1 - 0 Slovenia	L
18/11	Sweden 1 - 1 Slovenia	D

Slovenia to win the match: 13/8

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Scotland Preview

On the other hand, Scotland is yet to play a match in the UEFA Nations League, making this their first appearance in the competition.

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

• Matches played: 13

• Wins: 7

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 5

• Goals Scored: 22 (Avg. 1.69)

• Goals Conceded: 14 (Avg. 1.08)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Scotland

Goals Scored: 22

Goals Conceded: 14

Average Goals Scored: 1.69

Average Goals Conceded: 1.08

Wins: 7

Goal Difference: 8

Date	Game	Result
24/06	Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil	L
19/06	Scotland 0 - 1 Morocco	L
14/06	Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland	W
06/06	Bolivia 0 - 4 Scotland	W
30/05	Scotland 4 - 1 Curaçao	W

Scotland to win the match: 7/4

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Statistical Insights for Slovenia vs Scotland

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

Slovenia

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L D W L D	1
Home	D L D D W	1.2
Away	L W L D D	1

Scotland

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L W W W	1.8
Home	L L W L W	1.2
Away	W W L L W	1.8

Favourite

Home Win

6/4

39.22%

Draw

2/1

33.22%

Away Win

9/5

35.97%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Slovenia

6

last 5 matches

Scotland

9

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Scotland scored +50% more goals than Slovenia in the last 5 matches.

Slovenia and Scotland goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Croatia

1

Cyprus

1

Montenegro

3

Hungary

0

Sweden

1

0

Brazil

0

Morocco

1

Haiti

4

Bolivia

4

Curaçao

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Slovenia

7

last 5 matches

Scotland

5

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Slovenia conceded +40% more goals than Scotland in the last 5 matches.

Slovenia and Scotland goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Croatia

2

Cyprus

1

Montenegro

2

Hungary

1

Sweden

1

3

Brazil

1

Morocco

0

Haiti

0

Bolivia

1

Curaçao

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