EFL Championship

Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 12:00

Southampton

Team Performance 9 out of 10

Portsmouth

Team Performance 5 out of 10

Southampton vs Portsmouth Prediction & Stats | EFL Championship | 11/10

The encounter between Southampton and Portsmouth is set to kick off at 12:00 on Sunday, 11/10.

This EFL Championship fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Under 2.5 Goals

Why we predict under 2.5 Goals

Our tip is Under 2.5 Goals for the Southampton vs Portsmouth matchup.

We anticipate a balanced game with both teams focusing on structure rather than risk-taking. Chances may be rare, leading to a result with two or fewer total goals.

Key Betting Insights

Southampton

Scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 5 out of Southampton's last 5 matches

Portsmouth

Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
Over 9.5 corners occurred in 5 of Portsmouth's last 5 matches
4 matches against Southampton ended in a draw

Under 2.5 Goals: 6/4

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £25.00

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
8/15	7/2	9/2	8/15	6/4
4/9	7/2	9/2	1/2	7/5
4/7	3/1	4/1	4/7	5/4
4/9	16/5	5/1	8/15	11/8

Exclusive Bonus

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Southampton Preview

Southampton has completed 8 fixtures in the EFL Championship, securing 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses — an average of 1.75 points per game. In the EFL Championship, the team has scored 19 goals (2.38 per game) and conceded 10 (1.25 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Southampton has played 66 matches, scoring 120 goals (1.82 per match) and conceding 79 (1.2 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Southampton

Goals Scored: 120

Goals Conceded: 79

Average Goals Scored: 1.82

Average Goals Conceded: 1.2

Wins: 34

Goal Difference: 41

Date	Game	Result
19/09	Wrexham 2 - 1 Southampton	L
12/09	Southampton 4 - 1 Bristol City	W
08/09	Southampton 3 - 1 Swansea City	W
05/09	Lincoln City 1 - 1 Southampton	D
01/09	Birmingham City 1 - 1 Southampton	D

Southampton to win the match: 8/15

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £15.33

Portsmouth Preview

Across 7 EFL Championship matches, Portsmouth has posted 2 victories, 2 stalemates, and 3 defeats, averaging 1.14 points per fixture. In those games they scored 9 (1.29 per match) and conceded 10 (1.43 per match).

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Portsmouth has earned 16 wins from 56 matches across all competitions, scoring 61 goals (1.09 per match) and conceding 83 (1.48 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Portsmouth

Goals Scored: 61

Goals Conceded: 83

Average Goals Scored: 1.09

Average Goals Conceded: 1.48

Wins: 16

Goal Difference: -22

Date	Game	Result
19/09	Portsmouth 2 - 2 Blackburn Rovers	D
12/09	Charlton Athletic 0 - 0 Portsmouth	D
05/09	Portsmouth 2 - 0 Cardiff City	W
01/09	Portsmouth 0 - 2 Derby County	L
29/08	Bristol City 2 - 1 Portsmouth	L

Portsmouth to win the match: 9/2

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £55.00

Statistical Insights for Southampton vs Portsmouth

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Southampton vs Portsmouth fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Southampton

England - EFL Championship

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L W W D D	1.6
Home	W W W L W	2.4
Away	L D D L W	1

Portsmouth

England - EFL Championship

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D D W L L	1
Home	D W L L D	1
Away	D L W L W	1.4

Favourite

Home Win

8/15

65.36%

Draw

3/1

24.39%

Away Win

4/1

19.23%

Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Southampton

last 5 matches

Portsmouth

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Southampton scored +100% more goals than Portsmouth in the last 5 matches.

Southampton and Portsmouth goals scored count, last 5 matches

Wrexham

Bristol City

Swansea City

Lincoln City

Birmingham City

Blackburn Rovers

Charlton Athletic

Cardiff City

Derby County

Bristol City

Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Southampton

last 5 matches

Portsmouth

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Both teams conceded the same number of goals in the last 5 matches.

Southampton and Portsmouth goals conceded count, last 5 matches

Wrexham

Bristol City

Swansea City

Lincoln City

Birmingham City

Blackburn Rovers

Charlton Athletic

Cardiff City

Derby County

Bristol City

Key metrics

Corners

Southampton

last 5 matches

Portsmouth

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Portsmouth received +60% more corners than Southampton in the last 5 matches.

Southampton and Portsmouth corners count, last 5 matches

Wrexham

Bristol City

Swansea City

Lincoln City

Birmingham City

Blackburn Rovers

Charlton Athletic

Cardiff City

Derby County

Bristol City

Key metrics

Cards

Southampton

last 5 matches

Portsmouth

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Southampton received +50% more cards than Portsmouth in the last 5 matches.

Southampton and Portsmouth cards count, last 5 matches

Wrexham

Bristol City

Swansea City

Lincoln City

Birmingham City

Blackburn Rovers

Charlton Athletic

Cardiff City

Derby County

Bristol City

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.