Southampton vs Stoke City Prediction & Stats | EFL Championship | 22/08
The encounter between Southampton and Stoke City is set to kick off at 15:00 on Saturday, 22/08.
This EFL Championship fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
2nd Half Stoke City Win
Why we predict Stoke City to win the second half
Our prediction is Second Half – Stoke City Win for the Southampton vs Stoke City fixture.
We expect Stoke City to improve as the game progresses, possibly capitalizing on counterattacks or defensive lapses. Their second-half resilience could see them outscore Southampton after the break.
Key Betting Insights
Southampton
Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
6 matches against Stoke City ended in a draw
Over 9.5 corners occurred in 4 of Southampton's last 5 matches
Stoke City
6 matches against Southampton ended in a draw
Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
2nd Half Stoke City Win: 7/2
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Southampton Preview
Southampton has completed 1 fixtures in the EFL Championship, securing 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses — an average of 0 points per game. In the EFL Championship, the team has scored 1 goals (1 per game) and conceded 2 (2 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Southampton has played 58 matches, scoring 101 goals (1.74 per match) and conceding 67 (1.16 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Southampton
Goals Scored:101
Goals Conceded:67
Average Goals Scored:1.74
Average Goals Conceded:1.16
Wins:30
Goal Difference:34
Date
Game
Result
22/08
Southampton
3 - 1
Stoke City
W
16/08
Watford
2 - 1
Southampton
L
08/08
Colchester United
0 - 2
Southampton
W
12/05
Southampton
2 - 1
Middlesbrough
W
09/05
Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Southampton
D
Southampton to win the match: 8/15
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Stoke City Preview
Across 1 EFL Championship matches, Stoke City has posted 0 victories, 0 stalemates, and 1 defeats, averaging 0 points per fixture. In those games they scored 1 (1 per match) and conceded 2 (2 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Stoke City has earned 17 wins from 52 matches across all competitions, scoring 56 goals (1.08 per match) and conceding 63 (1.21 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Stoke City
Goals Scored:56
Goals Conceded:63
Average Goals Scored:1.08
Average Goals Conceded:1.21
Wins:17
Goal Difference:-7
Date
Game
Result
22/08
Southampton
3 - 1
Stoke City
L
15/08
Stoke City
1 - 2
Swansea City
L
08/08
Stoke City
2 - 0
Oldham Athletic
W
02/05
Bristol City
2 - 0
Stoke City
L
25/04
Stoke City
1 - 3
Portsmouth
L
Stoke City to win the match: 100/1
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Statistical Insights for Southampton vs Stoke City
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Southampton vs Stoke City fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Southampton
England - EFL Championship
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
W
W
D
W
2
Home
W
D
D
W
W
2.2
Away
L
W
D
W
L
1.4
Stoke City
England - EFL Championship
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
L
W
L
L
0.6
Home
L
W
L
L
D
0.8
Away
L
L
L
L
L
0
Favourite
Home Win
4/7
63.69%
Draw
3/1
25%
Away Win
9/2
18.18%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Southampton
8
last 5 matches
Stoke City
5
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Southampton scored +60% more goals than Stoke City in the last 5 matches.
Southampton and Stoke City goals scored count, last 5 matches
Watford
1
Colchester United
2
Middlesbrough
2
Middlesbrough
0
Preston North End
3
1
Southampton
1
Swansea City
2
Oldham Athletic
0
Bristol City
1
Portsmouth
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Southampton
4
last 5 matches
Stoke City
10
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Stoke City conceded +150% more goals than Southampton in the last 5 matches.
Southampton and Stoke City goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Watford
2
Colchester United
0
Middlesbrough
1
Middlesbrough
0
Preston North End
1
3
Southampton
2
Swansea City
0
Oldham Athletic
2
Bristol City
3
Portsmouth
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Key metrics
Corners
Southampton
30
last 5 matches
Stoke City
32
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Stoke City received +7% more corners than Southampton in the last 5 matches.
Southampton and Stoke City corners count, last 5 matches
Watford
8
Colchester United
5
Middlesbrough
11
Middlesbrough
1
Preston North End
5
2
Southampton
4
Swansea City
3
Oldham Athletic
15
Bristol City
8
Portsmouth
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Key metrics
Cards
Southampton
10
last 5 matches
Stoke City
10
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Both teams got the same number of cards in the last 5 matches.
Southampton and Stoke City cards count, last 5 matches
Watford
3
Colchester United
0
Middlesbrough
4
Middlesbrough
2
Preston North End
1
4
Southampton
1
Swansea City
2
Oldham Athletic
3
Bristol City
0
Portsmouth
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