EFL Championship

Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 20:00

Stoke City

Team Performance 5 out of 10

Middlesbrough

Team Performance 8 out of 10

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Stats | EFL Championship | 13/10

The encounter between Stoke City and Middlesbrough is set to kick off at 20:00 on Tuesday, 13/10.

This EFL Championship fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Draw

Why we predict a draw

We expect the match between Stoke City and Middlesbrough to end in a draw.

Both teams appear evenly matched, and we expect a balanced contest where neither side fully dominates. A draw looks like a likely outcome after 90 minutes.

Key Betting Insights

Stoke City

Scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
6 matches against Middlesbrough ended in a draw
Undefeated in their last 5 clashes

Middlesbrough

Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
6 matches against Stoke City ended in a draw
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches

Draw: 11/4

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £37.50

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
5/2	11/4	10/11	8/13	6/5
11/4	5/2	5/6	4/6	23/20
5/2	13/5	10/11	8/11	21/20
11/4	13/5	1/1	8/13	11/10

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Stoke City Preview

Stoke City has completed 8 fixtures in the EFL Championship, securing 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses — an average of 1.63 points per game. In the EFL Championship, the team has scored 13 goals (1.63 per game) and conceded 12 (1.5 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Stoke City has played 60 matches, scoring 69 goals (1.15 per match) and conceding 74 (1.23 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Stoke City

Goals Scored: 71

Goals Conceded: 75

Average Goals Scored: 1.16

Average Goals Conceded: 1.23

Wins: 22

Goal Difference: -4

Date	Game	Result
10/10	Bolton Wanderers 1 - 2 Stoke City	W
19/09	Stoke City 2 - 1 Sheffield United	W
12/09	Watford 1 - 2 Stoke City	W
08/09	Cardiff City 1 - 1 Stoke City	D
05/09	Stoke City 4 - 0 Charlton Athletic	W

Stoke City to win the match: 5/2

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £35.00

Middlesbrough Preview

Across 8 EFL Championship matches, Middlesbrough has posted 4 victories, 3 stalemates, and 1 defeats, averaging 1.88 points per fixture. In those games they scored 16 (2 per match) and conceded 12 (1.5 per match).

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Middlesbrough has earned 28 wins from 62 matches across all competitions, scoring 94 goals (1.52 per match) and conceding 73 (1.18 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Middlesbrough

Goals Scored: 95

Goals Conceded: 73

Average Goals Scored: 1.51

Average Goals Conceded: 1.16

Wins: 29

Goal Difference: 22

Date	Game	Result
10/10	Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Wolverhampton	W
19/09	Birmingham City 2 - 2 Middlesbrough	D
15/09	Middlesbrough 2 - 2 Millwall	D
12/09	Middlesbrough 4 - 3 Norwich City	W
08/09	Crystal Palace 3 - 0 Middlesbrough	L

Middlesbrough to win the match: 10/11

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £19.09

Statistical Insights for Stoke City vs Middlesbrough

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Stoke City vs Middlesbrough fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Stoke City

England - EFL Championship

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W W W D W	2.6
Home	W W W D L	2
Away	W W D L L	1.4

Middlesbrough

England - EFL Championship

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W D D W L	1.6
Home	W D W W W	2.6
Away	D L W D W	1.6

Home Win

11/4

26.67%

Draw

5/2

28.57%

Favourite

Away Win

5/6

53.76%

Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Stoke City

last 5 matches

Middlesbrough

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Stoke City scored +22% more goals than Middlesbrough in the last 5 matches.

Stoke City and Middlesbrough goals scored count, last 5 matches

Bolton Wanderers

Sheffield United

Watford

Cardiff City

Charlton Athletic

Wolverhampton

Birmingham City

Millwall

Norwich City

Crystal Palace

Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Stoke City

last 5 matches

Middlesbrough

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Middlesbrough conceded +150% more goals than Stoke City in the last 5 matches.

Stoke City and Middlesbrough goals conceded count, last 5 matches

Bolton Wanderers

Sheffield United

Watford

Cardiff City

Charlton Athletic

Wolverhampton

Birmingham City

Millwall

Norwich City

Crystal Palace

Key metrics

Corners

Stoke City

last 5 matches

Middlesbrough

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Both teams were awarded the same number of corners in the last 5 matches.

Stoke City and Middlesbrough corners count, last 5 matches

Bolton Wanderers

Sheffield United

Watford

Cardiff City

Charlton Athletic

Wolverhampton

Birmingham City

Millwall

Norwich City

Crystal Palace

Key metrics

Cards

Stoke City

last 5 matches

Middlesbrough

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Stoke City received +25% more cards than Middlesbrough in the last 5 matches.

Stoke City and Middlesbrough cards count, last 5 matches

Bolton Wanderers

Sheffield United

Watford

Cardiff City

Charlton Athletic

Wolverhampton

Birmingham City

Millwall

Norwich City

Crystal Palace

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.