Swansea City vs Watford Prediction & Stats | EFL Championship | 01/09
The encounter between Swansea City and Watford is set to kick off at 19:45 on Tuesday, 01/09.
This EFL Championship fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
Under 1.5 Goals
Why we predict under 1.5 Goals
Our recommended bet is Under 1.5 Goals for the Swansea City vs Watford fixture.
This match could be a cautious affair, with limited attacking threat from either side. Strong defensive setups and a controlled tempo suggest a low-scoring outcome with no more than one goal.
Key Betting Insights
Swansea City
Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
4 matches against Watford ended in a draw
Watford
Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
4 matches against Swansea City ended in a draw
Under 1.5 Goals: 5/2
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Swansea City Preview
Swansea City has completed 2 fixtures in the EFL Championship, securing 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses — an average of 2 points per game. In the EFL Championship, the team has scored 2 goals (1 per game) and conceded 1 (0.5 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Swansea City has played 54 matches, scoring 69 goals (1.28 per match) and conceding 70 (1.3 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Swansea City
Goals Scored:72
Goals Conceded:70
Average Goals Scored:1.31
Average Goals Conceded:1.27
Wins:22
Goal Difference:2
Date
Game
Result
29/08
Derby County
0 - 3
Swansea City
W
22/08
Swansea City
0 - 0
Sheffield United
D
15/08
Stoke City
1 - 2
Swansea City
W
08/08
Swansea City
0 - 1
Birmingham City
L
02/05
Swansea City
3 - 1
Charlton Athletic
W
Swansea City to win the match: 10/11
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Watford Preview
Across 2 EFL Championship matches, Watford has posted 1 victories, 1 stalemates, and 0 defeats, averaging 2 points per fixture. In those games they scored 3 (1.5 per match) and conceded 2 (1 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Watford has earned 16 wins from 52 matches across all competitions, scoring 60 goals (1.15 per match) and conceding 79 (1.52 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Watford
Goals Scored:61
Goals Conceded:80
Average Goals Scored:1.15
Average Goals Conceded:1.51
Wins:16
Goal Difference:-19
Date
Game
Result
29/08
Watford
1 - 1
West Ham
D
25/08
Watford
1 - 5
Peterborough United
L
22/08
Wrexham
1 - 1
Watford
D
16/08
Watford
2 - 1
Southampton
W
08/08
Watford
1 - 0
Crawley Town
W
Watford to win the match: 3/1
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Statistical Insights for Swansea City vs Watford
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Swansea City vs Watford fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Swansea City
England - EFL Championship
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
D
W
L
W
2
Home
D
L
W
L
D
1
Away
W
W
D
W
W
2.6
Watford
England - EFL Championship
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
D
L
D
W
W
1.6
Home
D
L
W
W
L
1.4
Away
D
L
L
L
L
0.2
Favourite
Home Win
4/5
55.25%
Draw
3/1
25.77%
Away Win
3/1
25.77%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Swansea City
8
last 5 matches
Watford
6
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Swansea City scored +33% more goals than Watford in the last 5 matches.
Swansea City and Watford goals scored count, last 5 matches
Derby County
3
Sheffield United
0
Stoke City
2
Birmingham City
0
Charlton Athletic
3
1
West Ham
1
Peterborough United
1
Wrexham
2
Southampton
1
Crawley Town
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Swansea City
3
last 5 matches
Watford
8
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Watford conceded +167% more goals than Swansea City in the last 5 matches.
Swansea City and Watford goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Derby County
0
Sheffield United
0
Stoke City
1
Birmingham City
1
Charlton Athletic
1
1
West Ham
5
Peterborough United
1
Wrexham
1
Southampton
0
Crawley Town
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Key metrics
Corners
Swansea City
33
last 5 matches
Watford
24
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Swansea City received +38% more corners than Watford in the last 5 matches.
Swansea City and Watford corners count, last 5 matches
Derby County
6
Sheffield United
6
Stoke City
5
Birmingham City
6
Charlton Athletic
10
3
West Ham
2
Peterborough United
3
Wrexham
4
Southampton
12
Crawley Town
Key metrics
Cards
Swansea City
9
last 5 matches
Watford
11
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Watford received +22% more cards than Swansea City in the last 5 matches.
Swansea City and Watford cards count, last 5 matches
Derby County
2
Sheffield United
2
Stoke City
3
Birmingham City
2
Charlton Athletic
0
3
West Ham
0
Peterborough United
0
Wrexham
6
Southampton
2
Crawley Town
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