Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Stats | Bundesliga | 17/10
The encounter between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund is set to kick off at 14:30 on Saturday, 17/10.
This Bundesliga fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
2nd Half Under 0.5 Goals
Why we predict under 0.5 Goals in the second half
Our tip is Second Half – Under 0.5 Goals for the Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund fixture. We anticipate a tight and tactical second half where both defenses hold firm. A goalless second period is a realistic possibility if the teams prioritize stability over risk.
Key Betting Insights
Union Berlin
Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
Conceded 3.4 avg goals in their last 5 matches
Borussia Dortmund
Scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches
Undefeated in their last 5 clashes
Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches
2nd Half Under 0.5 Goals: 9/2
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Union Berlin Preview
Union Berlin has completed 5 fixtures in the Bundesliga, securing 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses — an average of 0.8 points per game. In the Bundesliga, the team has scored 5 goals (1 per game) and conceded 17 (3.4 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Union Berlin has played 43 matches, scoring 62 goals (1.44 per match) and conceding 81 (1.88 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Union Berlin
Goals Scored:62
Goals Conceded:81
Average Goals Scored:1.44
Average Goals Conceded:1.88
Wins:14
Goal Difference:-19
Date
Game
Result
17/10
Union Berlin
0 - 0
Borussia Dortmund
D
10/10
Union Berlin
1 - 0
Elversberg
W
18/09
Bayern München
7 - 0
Union Berlin
L
11/09
Union Berlin
1 - 3
Schalke 04
L
05/09
Bayer Leverkusen
4 - 0
Union Berlin
L
Union Berlin to win the match: 9/2
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Borussia Dortmund Preview
Across 5 Bundesliga matches, Borussia Dortmund has posted 4 victories, 1 stalemates, and 0 defeats, averaging 2.6 points per fixture. In those games they scored 11 (2.2 per match) and conceded 4 (0.8 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Borussia Dortmund has earned 33 wins from 55 matches across all competitions, scoring 114 goals (2.07 per match) and conceding 65 (1.18 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Borussia Dortmund
Goals Scored:114
Goals Conceded:66
Average Goals Scored:2.04
Average Goals Conceded:1.18
Wins:33
Goal Difference:48
Date
Game
Result
17/10
Union Berlin
0 - 0
Borussia Dortmund
D
14/10
Bodo/Glimt
1 - 0
Borussia Dortmund
L
09/10
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 2
Werder Bremen
D
19/09
Stuttgart
0 - 1
Borussia Dortmund
W
12/09
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 0
Paderborn
W
Borussia Dortmund to win the match: 8/15
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Statistical Insights for Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Union Berlin
Germany - Bundesliga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
L
L
L
D
0.8
Home
W
L
D
W
D
1.6
Away
L
L
W
W
L
1.2
Borussia Dortmund
Germany - Bundesliga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
D
L
D
W
W
1.6
Home
D
W
W
W
L
2
Away
L
W
W
W
W
2.4
Home Win
9/2
18.18%
Draw
12/5
29.41%
Favourite
Away Win
8/15
65.36%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Union Berlin
5
last 5 matches
Borussia Dortmund
6
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Borussia Dortmund scored +20% more goals than Union Berlin in the last 5 matches.
Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund goals scored count, last 5 matches
Elversberg
1
Bayern München
0
Schalke 04
1
Bayer Leverkusen
0
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
0
Union Berlin
0
Bodo/Glimt
2
Werder Bremen
1
Stuttgart
3
Paderborn
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Union Berlin
17
last 5 matches
Borussia Dortmund
3
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Union Berlin conceded +467% more goals than Borussia Dortmund in the last 5 matches.
Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Elversberg
0
Bayern München
7
Schalke 04
3
Bayer Leverkusen
4
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
0
Union Berlin
1
Bodo/Glimt
2
Werder Bremen
0
Stuttgart
0
Paderborn
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Key metrics
Corners
Union Berlin
19
last 5 matches
Borussia Dortmund
32
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Borussia Dortmund received +68% more corners than Union Berlin in the last 5 matches.
Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund corners count, last 5 matches
Elversberg
7
Bayern München
2
Schalke 04
4
Bayer Leverkusen
1
Eintracht Frankfurt
5
5
Union Berlin
9
Bodo/Glimt
9
Werder Bremen
2
Stuttgart
7
Paderborn
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Key metrics
Cards
Union Berlin
12
last 5 matches
Borussia Dortmund
13
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Borussia Dortmund received +8% more cards than Union Berlin in the last 5 matches.
Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund cards count, last 5 matches
Elversberg
2
Bayern München
3
Schalke 04
3
Bayer Leverkusen
2
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
3
Union Berlin
2
Bodo/Glimt
2
Werder Bremen
5
Stuttgart
1
Paderborn
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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