EFL Championship

Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 15:00

Watford

Team Performance 3 out of 10

Burnley

Team Performance 2 out of 10

Watford vs Burnley Prediction & Stats | EFL Championship | 10/10

The encounter between Watford and Burnley is set to kick off at 15:00 on Saturday, 10/10.

This EFL Championship fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

1st Half Burnley Win

Why we predict Burnley to win the first half

Our betting tip is Burnley to win the first half.

Burnley often begin matches with high energy and quick transitions, which could catch Watford off guard. The visitors have a good chance to edge in front before the interval.

Key Betting Insights

Watford

8 matches against Burnley ended in a draw
Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
Lost 4 of their last 5 matches

Burnley

8 matches against Watford ended in a draw
Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches

1st Half Burnley Win: 8/5

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £26.00

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
15/8	5/2	5/4	8/11	1/1
2/1	12/5	6/5	5/6	1/1
15/8	12/5	23/20	8/11	10/11
11/5	13/5	11/8	8/11	1/1

Exclusive Bonus

Bet £10 Get £40

New customers only | T&Cs apply

Watford Preview

Watford has completed 8 fixtures in the EFL Championship, securing 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses — an average of 1 points per game. In the EFL Championship, the team has scored 7 goals (0.88 per game) and conceded 10 (1.25 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Watford has played 58 matches, scoring 64 goals (1.1 per match) and conceding 87 (1.5 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Watford

Goals Scored: 64

Goals Conceded: 87

Average Goals Scored: 1.1

Average Goals Conceded: 1.5

Wins: 17

Goal Difference: -23

Date	Game	Result
18/09	Bristol City 1 - 0 Watford	L
12/09	Watford 1 - 2 Stoke City	L
08/09	Watford 2 - 1 Preston North End	W
05/09	West Bromwich 1 - 0 Watford	L
01/09	Swansea City 2 - 0 Watford	L

Watford to win the match: 15/8

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £28.75

Burnley Preview

Across 8 EFL Championship matches, Burnley has posted 0 victories, 4 stalemates, and 4 defeats, averaging 0.5 points per fixture. In those games they scored 9 (1.13 per match) and conceded 17 (2.13 per match).

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Burnley has earned 6 wins from 52 matches across all competitions, scoring 57 goals (1.1 per match) and conceding 99 (1.9 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Burnley

Goals Scored: 57

Goals Conceded: 99

Average Goals Scored: 1.1

Average Goals Conceded: 1.9

Wins: 6

Goal Difference: -42

Date	Game	Result
19/09	Burnley 1 - 1 Derby County	D
12/09	Swansea City 3 - 1 Burnley	L
08/09	Wrexham 1 - 1 Burnley	D
05/09	Burnley 1 - 2 Bristol City	L
02/09	Burnley 1 - 1 Middlesbrough	D

Burnley to win the match: 5/4

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £22.50

Statistical Insights for Watford vs Burnley

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Watford vs Burnley fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Watford

England - EFL Championship

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L W L L	0.6
Home	L W D L W	1.4
Away	L L L D L	0.2

Burnley

England - EFL Championship

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D L D L D	0.6
Home	D L D D D	0.8
Away	L D L D L	0.4

Home Win

15/8

34.72%

Draw

13/5

27.47%

Favourite

Away Win

6/5

45.45%

Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Watford

last 5 matches

Burnley

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Burnley scored +67% more goals than Watford in the last 5 matches.

Watford and Burnley goals scored count, last 5 matches

Bristol City

Stoke City

Preston North End

West Bromwich

Swansea City

Derby County

Swansea City

Wrexham

Bristol City

Middlesbrough

Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Watford

last 5 matches

Burnley

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Burnley conceded +14% more goals than Watford in the last 5 matches.

Watford and Burnley goals conceded count, last 5 matches

Bristol City

Stoke City

Preston North End

West Bromwich

Swansea City

Derby County

Swansea City

Wrexham

Bristol City

Middlesbrough

Key metrics

Corners

Watford

last 5 matches

Burnley

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Burnley received +26% more corners than Watford in the last 5 matches.

Watford and Burnley corners count, last 5 matches

Bristol City

Stoke City

Preston North End

West Bromwich

Swansea City

Derby County

Swansea City

Wrexham

Bristol City

Middlesbrough

Key metrics

Cards

Watford

last 5 matches

Burnley

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Watford received +8% more cards than Burnley in the last 5 matches.

Watford and Burnley cards count, last 5 matches

Bristol City

Stoke City

Preston North End

West Bromwich

Swansea City

Derby County

Swansea City

Wrexham

Bristol City

Middlesbrough

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.