The encounter between Werder Bremen and Paderborn is set to kick off at 14:30 on Saturday, 17/10.
This Bundesliga fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
Paderborn Win
Why we predict Paderborn to win the match
Our prediction is Paderborn to win the match.
Paderborn have the quality and momentum to secure a win on the road. With their recent performances and attacking confidence, they’re well-positioned to claim victory.
Key Betting Insights
Werder Bremen
Scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 5 out of Werder Bremen's last 5 matches
Paderborn
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
Over 9.5 corners occurred in 4 of Paderborn's last 5 matches
Scored 3 goals in their last 5 matches
Paderborn Win: 3/1
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Werder Bremen Preview
Werder Bremen has completed 5 fixtures in the Bundesliga, securing 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses — an average of 1.6 points per game. In the Bundesliga, the team has scored 10 goals (2 per game) and conceded 10 (2 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Werder Bremen has played 41 matches, scoring 50 goals (1.22 per match) and conceding 71 (1.73 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Werder Bremen
Goals Scored:50
Goals Conceded:71
Average Goals Scored:1.22
Average Goals Conceded:1.73
Wins:11
Goal Difference:-21
Date
Game
Result
09/10
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 2
Werder Bremen
D
19/09
Werder Bremen
3 - 2
Augsburg
W
12/09
Köln
1 - 1
Werder Bremen
D
05/09
Werder Bremen
3 - 1
RB Leipzig
W
30/08
Freiburg
4 - 1
Werder Bremen
L
Werder Bremen to win the match: 4/5
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Paderborn Preview
Across 5 Bundesliga matches, Paderborn has posted 1 victories, 1 stalemates, and 3 defeats, averaging 0.8 points per fixture. In those games they scored 3 (0.6 per match) and conceded 7 (1.4 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Paderborn has earned 21 wins from 42 matches across all competitions, scoring 71 goals (1.69 per match) and conceding 59 (1.4 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Paderborn
Goals Scored:71
Goals Conceded:59
Average Goals Scored:1.69
Average Goals Conceded:1.4
Wins:21
Goal Difference:12
Date
Game
Result
10/10
Paderborn
0 - 2
Stuttgart
L
20/09
Paderborn
3 - 1
Hoffenheim
W
12/09
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 0
Paderborn
L
05/09
Paderborn
0 - 1
Freiburg
L
29/08
Mainz 05
0 - 0
Paderborn
D
Paderborn to win the match: 3/1
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Statistical Insights for Werder Bremen vs Paderborn
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Werder Bremen vs Paderborn fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Werder Bremen
Germany - Bundesliga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
D
W
D
W
L
1.6
Home
W
W
L
L
W
1.8
Away
D
D
L
W
L
1
Paderborn
Germany - Bundesliga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
W
L
L
D
0.8
Home
L
W
L
D
L
0.8
Away
L
D
W
W
L
1.4
Favourite
Home Win
10/11
52.36%
Draw
16/5
23.81%
Away Win
3/1
25.32%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Werder Bremen
10
last 5 matches
Paderborn
3
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Werder Bremen scored +233% more goals than Paderborn in the last 5 matches.
Werder Bremen and Paderborn goals scored count, last 5 matches
Borussia Dortmund
2
Augsburg
3
Köln
1
RB Leipzig
3
Freiburg
1
0
Stuttgart
3
Hoffenheim
0
Borussia Dortmund
0
Freiburg
0
Mainz 05
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Werder Bremen
10
last 5 matches
Paderborn
7
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Werder Bremen conceded +43% more goals than Paderborn in the last 5 matches.
Werder Bremen and Paderborn goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Borussia Dortmund
2
Augsburg
2
Köln
1
RB Leipzig
1
Freiburg
4
2
Stuttgart
1
Hoffenheim
3
Borussia Dortmund
1
Freiburg
0
Mainz 05
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Key metrics
Corners
Werder Bremen
17
last 5 matches
Paderborn
23
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Paderborn received +35% more corners than Werder Bremen in the last 5 matches.
Werder Bremen and Paderborn corners count, last 5 matches
Borussia Dortmund
3
Augsburg
2
Köln
5
RB Leipzig
2
Freiburg
5
7
Stuttgart
6
Hoffenheim
3
Borussia Dortmund
5
Freiburg
2
Mainz 05
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Key metrics
Cards
Werder Bremen
6
last 5 matches
Paderborn
7
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Paderborn received +17% more cards than Werder Bremen in the last 5 matches.
Werder Bremen and Paderborn cards count, last 5 matches
Borussia Dortmund
1
Augsburg
2
Köln
1
RB Leipzig
1
Freiburg
1
1
Stuttgart
0
Hoffenheim
1
Borussia Dortmund
3
Freiburg
2
Mainz 05
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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