York City vs Swindon Town Prediction & Stats | EFL League Two | 12/09
The encounter between York City and Swindon Town is set to kick off at 15:00 on Saturday, 12/09.
This EFL League Two fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
1st Half York City Win
Why we predict York City to win the first half
Our betting tip is York City to win the first half.
We expect York City to start strongly, using home advantage to control the early stages. Their attacking intent could see them take a lead into the break.
Key Betting Insights
York City
Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 5 out of York City's last 5 matches
Swindon Town
Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
Over 9.5 corners occurred in 4 of Swindon Town's last 5 matches
1st Half York City Win: 11/10
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York City Preview
York City has completed 5 fixtures in the EFL League Two, securing 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses — an average of 1.6 points per game. In the EFL League Two, the team has scored 9 goals (1.8 per game) and conceded 8 (1.6 per game).
Across all competitions this season, York City has played 54 matches, scoring 127 goals (2.35 per match) and conceding 55 (1.02 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
York City
Goals Scored:127
Goals Conceded:55
Average Goals Scored:2.35
Average Goals Conceded:1.02
Wins:36
Goal Difference:72
Date
Game
Result
12/09
York City
4 - 0
Swindon Town
W
05/09
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 1
York City
D
01/09
Cheltenham Town
3 - 2
York City
L
29/08
York City
2 - 1
Exeter City
W
22/08
Rotherham United
1 - 1
York City
D
York City to win the match: 4/7
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Swindon Town Preview
Across 5 EFL League Two matches, Swindon Town has posted 3 victories, 1 stalemates, and 1 defeats, averaging 2 points per fixture. In those games they scored 8 (1.6 per match) and conceded 6 (1.2 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Swindon Town has earned 31 wins from 61 matches across all competitions, scoring 101 goals (1.66 per match) and conceding 80 (1.31 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Swindon Town
Goals Scored:101
Goals Conceded:80
Average Goals Scored:1.66
Average Goals Conceded:1.31
Wins:31
Goal Difference:21
Date
Game
Result
12/09
York City
4 - 0
Swindon Town
L
05/09
Swindon Town
3 - 1
Colchester United
W
01/09
Swindon Town
3 - 1
Port Vale
W
29/08
Oldham Athletic
3 - 0
Swindon Town
L
22/08
Swindon Town
2 - 1
Cheltenham Town
W
Swindon Town to win the match: 4/1
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Statistical Insights for York City vs Swindon Town
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the York City vs Swindon Town fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
York City
England - EFL League Two
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
D
L
W
D
W
1.6
Home
W
W
L
W
W
2.4
Away
D
L
D
D
W
1.2
Swindon Town
England - EFL League Two
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
W
W
L
W
1.8
Home
W
W
W
L
D
2
Away
L
D
L
L
L
0.2
Favourite
Home Win
4/7
64.1%
Draw
11/4
27.03%
Away Win
4/1
20%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
York City
9
last 5 matches
Swindon Town
8
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
York City scored +13% more goals than Swindon Town in the last 5 matches.
York City and Swindon Town goals scored count, last 5 matches
Crewe Alexandra
1
Cheltenham Town
2
Exeter City
2
Rotherham United
1
Bristol Rovers
3
0
York City
3
Colchester United
3
Port Vale
0
Oldham Athletic
2
Cheltenham Town
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
York City
8
last 5 matches
Swindon Town
10
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Swindon Town conceded +25% more goals than York City in the last 5 matches.
York City and Swindon Town goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Crewe Alexandra
1
Cheltenham Town
3
Exeter City
1
Rotherham United
1
Bristol Rovers
2
4
York City
1
Colchester United
1
Port Vale
3
Oldham Athletic
1
Cheltenham Town
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Key metrics
Corners
York City
36
last 5 matches
Swindon Town
21
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
York City received +71% more corners than Swindon Town in the last 5 matches.
York City and Swindon Town corners count, last 5 matches
Crewe Alexandra
9
Cheltenham Town
4
Exeter City
7
Rotherham United
9
Bristol Rovers
7
1
York City
4
Colchester United
10
Port Vale
4
Oldham Athletic
2
Cheltenham Town
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Key metrics
Cards
York City
6
last 5 matches
Swindon Town
8
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Swindon Town received +33% more cards than York City in the last 5 matches.
York City and Swindon Town cards count, last 5 matches
Crewe Alexandra
2
Cheltenham Town
0
Exeter City
2
Rotherham United
0
Bristol Rovers
2
1
York City
2
Colchester United
1
Port Vale
3
Oldham Athletic
1
Cheltenham Town
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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