EFL League One

Saturday, 03 October 2026 at 15:00

AFC Wimbledon

Team Performance 3 out of 10

Stevenage

Team Performance 4 out of 10

AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage Prediction & Stats | EFL League One | 03/10

The encounter between AFC Wimbledon and Stevenage is set to kick off at 15:00 on Saturday, 03/10.

This EFL League One fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Over 3.5 Goals

Why we predict over 3.5 Goals

Our betting pick is Over 3.5 Goals for the AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage contest.

This game promises end-to-end action, with both teams expected to push forward and create plenty of opportunities. A high-scoring affair featuring at least four goals looks realistic.

Key Betting Insights

AFC Wimbledon

Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
Undefeated in their last 4 clashes
Kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 home games

Stevenage

Scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
Won 3 of their last 5 matches

Over 3.5 Goals: 11/4

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £37.50

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
2/1	2/1	11/8	23/20	4/7
9/5	2/1	6/4	6/5	8/13
15/8	11/5	6/4	23/20	8/15
15/8	11/5	6/4	5/4	4/6

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AFC Wimbledon Preview

AFC Wimbledon has completed 8 fixtures in the EFL League One, securing 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses — an average of 1.5 points per game. In the EFL League One, the team has scored 6 goals (0.75 per game) and conceded 8 (1 per game).

Across all competitions this season, AFC Wimbledon has played 66 matches, scoring 77 goals (1.17 per match) and conceding 102 (1.55 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

AFC Wimbledon

Goals Scored: 77

Goals Conceded: 102

Average Goals Scored: 1.17

Average Goals Conceded: 1.55

Wins: 22

Goal Difference: -25

Date	Game	Result
26/09	Cambridge United 1 - 1 AFC Wimbledon	D
17/09	AFC Wimbledon 0 - 0 Milton Keynes Dons	D
12/09	AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 Doncaster Rovers	W
07/09	Bromley 0 - 2 AFC Wimbledon	W
02/09	Burton Albion 4 - 1 AFC Wimbledon	L

AFC Wimbledon to win the match: 9/5

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £28.00

Stevenage Preview

Across 7 EFL League One matches, Stevenage has posted 2 victories, 3 stalemates, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.29 points per fixture. In those games they scored 11 (1.57 per match) and conceded 8 (1.14 per match).

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Stevenage has earned 28 wins from 64 matches across all competitions, scoring 82 goals (1.28 per match) and conceding 72 (1.13 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Stevenage

Goals Scored: 82

Goals Conceded: 72

Average Goals Scored: 1.28

Average Goals Conceded: 1.13

Wins: 28

Goal Difference: 10

Date	Game	Result
22/09	Walsall 1 - 6 Stevenage	W
19/09	Leyton Orient 1 - 0 Stevenage	L
10/09	Stevenage 2 - 1 Luton Town	W
05/09	Barnsley 1 - 5 Stevenage	W
01/09	Peterborough United 0 - 0 Stevenage	D

Stevenage to win the match: 6/4

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £25.00

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Statistical Insights for AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

AFC Wimbledon

England - EFL League One

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D D W W L	1.6
Home	D W W D D	1.8
Away	D W L L D	1

Stevenage

England - EFL League One

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W L W W D	2
Home	W D L L L	0.8
Away	W L W D D	1.6

Home Win

2/1

33.9%

Draw

11/5

31.25%

Favourite

Away Win

6/4

40.49%

Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

AFC Wimbledon

last 5 matches

Stevenage

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Stevenage scored +160% more goals than AFC Wimbledon in the last 5 matches.

AFC Wimbledon and Stevenage goals scored count, last 5 matches

Cambridge United

Milton Keynes Dons

Doncaster Rovers

Bromley

Burton Albion

Walsall

Leyton Orient

Luton Town

Barnsley

Peterborough United

Key metrics

Goals Conceded

AFC Wimbledon

last 5 matches

Stevenage

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

AFC Wimbledon conceded +25% more goals than Stevenage in the last 5 matches.

AFC Wimbledon and Stevenage goals conceded count, last 5 matches

Cambridge United

Milton Keynes Dons

Doncaster Rovers

Bromley

Burton Albion

Walsall

Leyton Orient

Luton Town

Barnsley

Peterborough United

Key metrics

Corners

AFC Wimbledon

last 5 matches

Stevenage

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Both teams were awarded the same number of corners in the last 5 matches.

AFC Wimbledon and Stevenage corners count, last 5 matches

Cambridge United

Milton Keynes Dons

Doncaster Rovers

Bromley

Burton Albion

Walsall

Leyton Orient

Luton Town

Barnsley

Peterborough United

Key metrics

Cards

AFC Wimbledon

last 5 matches

Stevenage

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Stevenage received +71% more cards than AFC Wimbledon in the last 5 matches.

AFC Wimbledon and Stevenage cards count, last 5 matches

Cambridge United

Milton Keynes Dons

Doncaster Rovers

Bromley

Burton Albion

Walsall

Leyton Orient

Luton Town

Barnsley

Peterborough United

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.