UEFA Nations League

Monday, 05 October 2026 at 19:45

Romania

Team Performance 3 out of 10

Sweden

Team Performance 6 out of 10

Romania vs Sweden Prediction | UEFA Nations League | 05/10

The encounter between Romania and Sweden is set to kick off at 19:45 on Monday, 05/10, at Arena Naţională.

This UEFA Nations League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Under 1.5 Goals

Why we predict under 1.5 Goals

Our recommended bet is Under 1.5 Goals for the Romania vs Sweden fixture.

This match could be a cautious affair, with limited attacking threat from either side. Strong defensive setups and a controlled tempo suggest a low-scoring outcome with no more than one goal.

Key Betting Insights

Romania

Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 4 out of Romania's last 5 matches

Sweden

Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
Under 10.5 corners landed in 5 of Sweden's last 5 matches

Under 1.5 Goals: 7/2

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
3/1	3/1	4/5	8/13	5/4
3/1	3/1	4/5	8/13	5/4
11/4	3/1	8/11	1/2	5/4
3/1	11/4	4/5	8/11	5/4

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Romania Preview

Romania is coming to the clash with Sweden with the current statistics in the UEFA Nations League:

Matches played: 2
Wins: 0
Draws: 0
Losses: 2
Goals Scored: 3 (Avg. 1.5)
Goals Conceded: 6 (Avg. 3)

When having a broader look at Romania's performance in all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

Matches played: 14
Wins: 5
Draws: 2
Losses: 7
Goals Scored: 25 (Avg. 1.79)
Goals Conceded: 21 (Avg. 1.5)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Romania

Goals Scored: 25

Goals Conceded: 27

Average Goals Scored: 1.67

Average Goals Conceded: 1.8

Wins: 5

Goal Difference: -2

Date	Game	Result
05/10	Romania 0 - 1 Sweden	L
02/10	Poland 6 - 0 Romania	L
28/09	Romania 2 - 4 Bosnia and Herzegovina	L
25/09	Sweden 2 - 1 Romania	L
06/06	Romania 2 - 1 Wales	W

Romania to win the match: 3/1

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £40.00

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Sweden Preview

On the other hand, Sweden comes into this fixture with the following statistics in UEFA Nations League:

Matches played: 2
Wins: 2
Draws: 0
Losses: 0
Goals Scored: 5 (Avg. 2.5)
Goals Conceded: 2 (Avg. 1)

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

Matches played: 16
Wins: 5
Draws: 4
Losses: 7
Goals Scored: 25 (Avg. 1.56)
Goals Conceded: 32 (Avg. 2)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Sweden

Goals Scored: 26

Goals Conceded: 33

Average Goals Scored: 1.53

Average Goals Conceded: 1.94

Wins: 5

Goal Difference: -7

Date	Game	Result
05/10	Romania 0 - 1 Sweden	W
02/10	Bosnia and Herzegovina 1 - 1 Sweden	D
28/09	Sweden 3 - 1 Poland	W
25/09	Sweden 2 - 1 Romania	W
30/06	France 3 - 0 Sweden	L

Sweden to win the match: 4/5

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £18.00

Statistical Insights for Romania vs Sweden

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

Romania

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L L W D	0.8
Home	L W W W W	2.4
Away	L L D L L	0.2

Sweden

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W D W W L	2
Home	W W W D W	2.6
Away	D L D L L	0.4

Home Win

11/4

25.97%

Draw

11/4

27.03%

Favourite

Away Win

4/5

55.56%

Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Romania

last 5 matches

Sweden

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Sweden scored +17% more goals than Romania in the last 5 matches.

Romania and Sweden goals scored count, last 5 matches

Poland

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Sweden

Wales

Georgia

Romania

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Poland

Romania

France

Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Romania

last 5 matches

Sweden

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Romania conceded +133% more goals than Sweden in the last 5 matches.

Romania and Sweden goals conceded count, last 5 matches

Poland

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Sweden

Wales

Georgia

Romania

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Poland

Romania

France

Key metrics

Corners

Romania

last 5 matches

Sweden

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Romania received +75% more corners than Sweden in the last 5 matches.

Romania and Sweden corners count, last 5 matches

Poland

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Sweden

Wales

Georgia

Romania

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Poland

Romania

France

Key metrics

Cards

Romania

last 5 matches

Sweden

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Romania received +333% more cards than Sweden in the last 5 matches.

Romania and Sweden cards count, last 5 matches

Poland

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Sweden

Wales

Georgia

Romania

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Poland

Romania

France

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.