Albania vs Belarus Prediction | UEFA Nations League | 26/09

The encounter between Albania and Belarus is set to kick off at 19:45 on Saturday, 26/09, at Air Albania Stadium.

This UEFA Nations League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Under 1.5 Goals

Why we predict under 1.5 Goals

Our recommended bet is Under 1.5 Goals for the Albania vs Belarus fixture.

This match could be a cautious affair, with limited attacking threat from either side. Strong defensive setups and a controlled tempo suggest a low-scoring outcome with no more than one goal.

Key Betting Insights

Albania

• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Lost 5 of their last 5 matches
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 4 of Albania's last 5 matches

Belarus

• Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
• Undefeated in their last 5 clashes
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 4 of Belarus's last 5 matches

Under 1.5 Goals: 15/8

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £28.75

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	8/15	11/4	11/2	5/4	4/6
	1/2	3/1	13/2	23/20	4/7
	1/2	3/1	11/2	6/5	4/6

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Albania Preview

Albania is yet to feature in the UEFA Nations League, so this fixture marks their first outing in the competition.

Looking at Albania's performance across all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

• Matches played: 12

• Wins: 4

• Draws: 2

• Losses: 6

• Goals Scored: 8 (Avg. 0.67)

• Goals Conceded: 10 (Avg. 0.83)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Albania

Goals Scored: 8

Goals Conceded: 10

Average Goals Scored: 0.67

Average Goals Conceded: 0.83

Wins: 4

Goal Difference: -2

Date	Game	Result
06/06	Albania 0 - 1 Luxembourg	L
03/06	Albania 0 - 1 Israel	L
31/03	Ukraine 1 - 0 Albania	L
26/03	Poland 2 - 1 Albania	L
16/11	Albania 0 - 2 England	L

Albania to win the match: 1/2

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Belarus Preview

On the other hand, Belarus is yet to play a match in the UEFA Nations League, making this their first appearance in the competition.

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

• Matches played: 10

• Wins: 3

• Draws: 3

• Losses: 4

• Goals Scored: 13 (Avg. 1.3)

• Goals Conceded: 21 (Avg. 2.1)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Belarus

Goals Scored: 13

Goals Conceded: 21

Average Goals Scored: 1.3

Average Goals Conceded: 2.1

Wins: 3

Goal Difference: -8

Date	Game	Result
09/06	Belarus 2 - 2 Burkina Faso	D
05/06	Belarus 4 - 1 Syria	W
29/03	Armenia 1 - 2 Belarus	W
26/03	Cyprus 0 - 1 Belarus	W
18/11	Belarus 0 - 0 Greece	D

Belarus to win the match: 11/2

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Statistical Insights for Albania vs Belarus

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

Albania

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L L L L	0
Home	L L L W W	1.2
Away	L L W W W	1.8

Belarus

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D W W W D	2.2
Home	D W D L L	1
Away	W W D L L	1.4

Favourite

Home Win

1/2

67.11%

Draw

11/4

26.25%

Away Win

11/2

15.2%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Albania

1

last 5 matches

Belarus

9

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Belarus scored +800% more goals than Albania in the last 5 matches.

Albania and Belarus goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Luxembourg

0

Israel

0

Ukraine

0

Poland

1

England

0

2

Burkina Faso

4

Syria

2

Armenia

1

Cyprus

0

Greece

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Albania

7

last 5 matches

Belarus

4

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Albania conceded +75% more goals than Belarus in the last 5 matches.

Albania and Belarus goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Luxembourg

1

Israel

1

Ukraine

1

Poland

2

England

2

2

Burkina Faso

1

Syria

1

Armenia

0

Cyprus

0

Greece

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