Atlético-MG vs Coritiba Prediction & Stats | Brazil Serie A | 17/10

The encounter between Atlético-MG and Coritiba is set to kick off at 22:30 on Saturday, 17/10.

This Brazil Serie A fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

1st Half Under 0.5 Goals

Why we predict under 0.5 Goals in the first half

Our tip is First Half – Under 0.5 Goals for the Atlético-MG vs Coritiba fixture.

We foresee a cautious opening, with both teams feeling each other out and avoiding early risks. A goalless first half is a realistic outcome here.

Key Betting Insights

Atlético-MG

• Scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
• Undefeated in their last 5 clashes
• Over 9.5 corners occurred in 5 of Atlético MG's last 5 matches

Coritiba

• Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Over 9.5 corners occurred in 4 of Coritiba's last 5 matches

1st Half Under 0.5 Goals: 12/5

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £34.00

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	8/13	3/1	4/1	4/5	1/1
	8/15	3/1	4/1	4/6	1/1
	11/10	21/20	9/1	8/11	11/10
	4/7	3/1	9/2	4/6	10/11

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Atlético-MG Preview

Atlético-MG has completed 30 fixtures in the Brazil Serie A, securing 13 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses — an average of 1.57 points per game. In the Brazil Serie A, the team has scored 41 goals (1.37 per game) and conceded 35 (1.17 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Atlético-MG has played 57 matches, scoring 80 goals (1.4 per match) and conceding 62 (1.09 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Atlético-MG

Goals Scored: 83

Goals Conceded: 62

Average Goals Scored: 1.43

Average Goals Conceded: 1.07

Wins: 25

Goal Difference: 21

Date	Game	Result
14/10	Atlético-MG 3 - 0 Montevideo City Torque	W
11/10	Atlético-MG 2 - 1 Santos	W
08/10	Athletico-PR 2 - 2 Atlético-MG	D
03/10	Atlético-MG 1 - 0 Bragantino	W
19/09	Atlético-MG 1 - 1 Chapecoense	D

Atlético-MG to win the match: 8/13

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £16.15

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Coritiba Preview

Across 30 Brazil Serie A matches, Coritiba has posted 10 victories, 9 stalemates, and 11 defeats, averaging 1.3 points per fixture. In those games they scored 38 (1.27 per match) and conceded 48 (1.6 per match).

During the whole 2026 campaign, Coritiba has earned 14 wins from 42 matches across all competitions, scoring 52 goals (1.24 per match) and conceding 61 (1.45 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Coritiba

Goals Scored: 52

Goals Conceded: 61

Average Goals Scored: 1.24

Average Goals Conceded: 1.45

Wins: 14

Goal Difference: -9

Date	Game	Result
12/10	Coritiba 1 - 1 Botafogo	D
09/10	Fluminense 4 - 0 Coritiba	L
19/09	Vasco 5 - 0 Coritiba	L
12/09	Coritiba 3 - 3 Athletico-PR	D
06/09	Coritiba 1 - 2 Mirassol	L

Coritiba to win the match: 4/1

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Statistical Insights for Atlético-MG vs Coritiba

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Atlético-MG vs Coritiba fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Atlético-MG

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W W D W D	2.2
Home	W W W D W	2.6
Away	D L L D D	0.6

Coritiba

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D L L D L	0.4
Home	D D L W W	1.6
Away	L L W D D	1

Favourite

Home Win

8/15

64.94%

Draw

21/20

48.78%

Away Win

4/1

19.05%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Atlético-MG

9

last 5 matches

Coritiba

5

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Atlético-MG scored +80% more goals than Coritiba in the last 5 matches.

Atlético-MG and Coritiba goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Montevideo City Torque

3

Santos

2

Athletico-PR

2

Bragantino

1

Chapecoense

1

1

Botafogo

0

Fluminense

0

Vasco

3

Athletico-PR

1

Mirassol

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Atlético-MG

4

last 5 matches

Coritiba

15

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Coritiba conceded +275% more goals than Atlético-MG in the last 5 matches.

Atlético-MG and Coritiba goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Montevideo City Torque

0

Santos

1

Athletico-PR

2

Bragantino

0

Chapecoense

1

1

Botafogo

4

Fluminense

5

Vasco

3

Athletico-PR

2

Mirassol

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Key metrics

Corners

Atlético-MG

36

last 5 matches

Coritiba

25

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Atlético-MG received +44% more corners than Coritiba in the last 5 matches.

Atlético-MG and Coritiba corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Montevideo City Torque

6

Santos

12

Athletico-PR

3

Bragantino

5

Chapecoense

10

8

Botafogo

2

Fluminense

2

Vasco

8

Athletico-PR

5

Mirassol

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Key metrics

Cards

Atlético-MG

9

last 5 matches

Coritiba

13

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Coritiba received +44% more cards than Atlético-MG in the last 5 matches.

Atlético-MG and Coritiba cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Montevideo City Torque

1

Santos

3

Athletico-PR

2

Bragantino

1

Chapecoense

2

5

Botafogo

1

Fluminense

2

Vasco

3

Athletico-PR

2

Mirassol