Athletico-PR vs Palmeiras Prediction & Stats | Brazil Serie A | 17/10

The encounter between Athletico-PR and Palmeiras is set to kick off at 23:30 on Saturday, 17/10.

This Brazil Serie A fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Under 2.5 Goals

Why we predict under 2.5 Goals

Our tip is Under 2.5 Goals for the Athletico-PR vs Palmeiras matchup.

We anticipate a balanced game with both teams focusing on structure rather than risk-taking. Chances may be rare, leading to a result with two or fewer total goals.

Key Betting Insights

Athletico-PR

• Scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 5 out of Athletico-PR's last 5 matches

Palmeiras

• Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
• Over 9.5 corners occurred in 5 of Palmeiras's last 5 matches
• 4 matches against Athletico-PR ended in a draw

Under 2.5 Goals: 5/6

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	2/1	12/5	5/4	10/11	5/6
	15/8	11/5	6/5	10/11	8/11
	9/5	11/5	5/4	21/20	4/5
	2/1	12/5	5/4	1/1	10/11

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Athletico-PR Preview

Athletico-PR has completed 30 fixtures in the Brazil Serie A, securing 15 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses — an average of 1.77 points per game. In the Brazil Serie A, the team has scored 49 goals (1.63 per game) and conceded 35 (1.17 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Athletico-PR has played 44 matches, scoring 71 goals (1.61 per match) and conceding 49 (1.11 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Athletico-PR

Goals Scored: 71

Goals Conceded: 49

Average Goals Scored: 1.61

Average Goals Conceded: 1.11

Wins: 21

Goal Difference: 22

Date	Game	Result
12/10	Chapecoense 1 - 4 Athletico-PR	W
08/10	Athletico-PR 2 - 2 Atlético-MG	D
20/09	Athletico-PR 2 - 1 Bahia	W
12/09	Coritiba 3 - 3 Athletico-PR	D
06/09	Cruzeiro 3 - 1 Athletico-PR	L

Athletico-PR to win the match: 2/1

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Palmeiras Preview

Across 30 Brazil Serie A matches, Palmeiras has posted 18 victories, 9 stalemates, and 3 defeats, averaging 2.1 points per fixture. In those games they scored 52 (1.73 per match) and conceded 22 (0.73 per match).

During the whole 2026 campaign, Palmeiras has earned 36 wins from 58 matches across all competitions, scoring 99 goals (1.71 per match) and conceding 44 (0.76 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Palmeiras

Goals Scored: 99

Goals Conceded: 44

Average Goals Scored: 1.71

Average Goals Conceded: 0.76

Wins: 36

Goal Difference: 55

Date	Game	Result
15/10	Fluminense 1 - 2 Palmeiras	W
11/10	Palmeiras 4 - 1 Corinthians	W
09/10	Palmeiras 1 - 0 Bahia	W
20/09	Grêmio 0 - 0 Palmeiras	D
16/09	LDU 3 - 2 Palmeiras	L

Palmeiras to win the match: 5/4

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Statistical Insights for Athletico-PR vs Palmeiras

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Athletico-PR vs Palmeiras fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Athletico-PR

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W D W D L	1.6
Home	D W D D W	1.8
Away	W D L W W	2

Palmeiras

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W W W D L	2
Home	W W W W W	3
Away	W D L D D	1.2

Home Win

15/8

34.48%

Draw

12/5

29.41%

Favourite

Away Win

6/5

45.25%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Athletico-PR

12

last 5 matches

Palmeiras

9

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Athletico-PR scored +33% more goals than Palmeiras in the last 5 matches.

Athletico-PR and Palmeiras goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Chapecoense

4

Atlético-MG

2

Bahia

2

Coritiba

3

Cruzeiro

1

2

Fluminense

4

Corinthians

1

Bahia

0

Grêmio

2

LDU

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Athletico-PR

10

last 5 matches

Palmeiras

5

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Athletico-PR conceded +100% more goals than Palmeiras in the last 5 matches.

Athletico-PR and Palmeiras goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Chapecoense

1

Atlético-MG

2

Bahia

1

Coritiba

3

Cruzeiro

3

1

Fluminense

1

Corinthians

0

Bahia

0

Grêmio

3

LDU

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Key metrics

Corners

Athletico-PR

28

last 5 matches

Palmeiras

27

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Athletico-PR received +4% more corners than Palmeiras in the last 5 matches.

Athletico-PR and Palmeiras corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Chapecoense

7

Atlético-MG

10

Bahia

6

Coritiba

3

Cruzeiro

2

0

Fluminense

7

Corinthians

7

Bahia

9

Grêmio

4

LDU

Key metrics

Cards

Athletico-PR

9

last 5 matches

Palmeiras

13

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Palmeiras received +44% more cards than Athletico-PR in the last 5 matches.

Athletico-PR and Palmeiras cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Chapecoense

1

Atlético-MG

0

Bahia

3

Coritiba

3

Cruzeiro

2

3

Fluminense

3

Corinthians

1

Bahia

5

Grêmio

1

LDU