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Brazil Serie A

Thursday, 29 October 2026 at 00:30

Bahia

Team Performance 7 out of 10
VS

São Paulo

Team Performance 4 out of 10

Bahia vs São Paulo Prediction & Stats | Brazil Serie A | 29/10

The encounter between Bahia and São Paulo is set to kick off at 00:30 on Thursday, 29/10.

This Brazil Serie A fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

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Bahia Preview

Bahia has completed 32 fixtures in the Brazil Serie A, securing 13 wins, 11 draws, and 8 losses — an average of 1.56 points per game. In the Brazil Serie A, the team has scored 45 goals (1.41 per game) and conceded 40 (1.25 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Bahia has played 47 matches, scoring 81 goals (1.72 per match) and conceding 59 (1.26 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Bahia

Goals Scored: 81
Goals Conceded: 59
Average Goals Scored: 1.72
Average Goals Conceded: 1.26
Wins: 23
Goal Difference: 22
Date Game Result
25/10
Santos
1 - 1
Bahia
D
18/10
Bahia
0 - 3
Flamengo
L
11/10
Bahia
1 - 0
Mirassol
W
09/10
Palmeiras
1 - 0
Bahia
L
20/09
Athletico-PR
2 - 1
Bahia
L

Bahia to win the match: 1/1

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São Paulo Preview

Across 32 Brazil Serie A matches, São Paulo has posted 12 victories, 7 stalemates, and 13 defeats, averaging 1.34 points per fixture. In those games they scored 37 (1.16 per match) and conceded 36 (1.13 per match).

During the whole 2026 campaign, São Paulo has earned 22 wins from 54 matches across all competitions, scoring 64 goals (1.19 per match) and conceding 59 (1.09 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

São Paulo

Goals Scored: 64
Goals Conceded: 59
Average Goals Scored: 1.19
Average Goals Conceded: 1.09
Wins: 22
Goal Difference: 5
Date Game Result
24/10
Mirassol
1 - 1
São Paulo
D
18/10
São Paulo
1 - 0
Vasco
W
11/10
São Paulo
2 - 1
Vitória
W
08/10
Cruzeiro
2 - 0
São Paulo
L
02/10
São Paulo
1 - 2
Santos
L

São Paulo to win the match: 13/5

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Statistical Insights for Bahia vs São Paulo

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Bahia vs São Paulo fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Bahia

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Form Last 5 Games PPG
Overall D L W L L 0.8
Home L W W W D 2
Away D L L W W 1.4

São Paulo

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Form Last 5 Games PPG
Overall D W W L L 1.4
Home W W L W D 2
Away D L L L L 0.2
Favourite
Home Win
5/6
53.76%
Draw
12/5
29.41%
Away Win
5/2
28.57%
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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Bahia

3

last 5 matches

São Paulo

5

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

São Paulo scored +67% more goals than Bahia in the last 5 matches.

Bahia and São Paulo goals scored count, last 5 matches
Santos Santos
1
Flamengo Flamengo
0
Mirassol Mirassol
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
0
Athletico-PR Athletico-PR
1
1
Mirassol Mirassol
1
Vasco Vasco
2
Vitória Vitória
0
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
1
Santos Santos
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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Bahia

7

last 5 matches

São Paulo

6

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Bahia conceded +17% more goals than São Paulo in the last 5 matches.

Bahia and São Paulo goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Santos Santos
1
Flamengo Flamengo
3
Mirassol Mirassol
0
Palmeiras Palmeiras
1
Athletico-PR Athletico-PR
2
1
Mirassol Mirassol
0
Vasco Vasco
1
Vitória Vitória
2
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
2
Santos Santos
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Key metrics

Corners

Bahia

24

last 5 matches

São Paulo

38

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

São Paulo received +58% more corners than Bahia in the last 5 matches.

Bahia and São Paulo corners count, last 5 matches
Santos Santos
8
Flamengo Flamengo
4
Mirassol Mirassol
6
Palmeiras Palmeiras
3
Athletico-PR Athletico-PR
3
7
Mirassol Mirassol
3
Vasco Vasco
6
Vitória Vitória
8
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
14
Santos Santos
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Key metrics

Cards

Bahia

12

last 5 matches

São Paulo

11

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Bahia received +9% more cards than São Paulo in the last 5 matches.

Bahia and São Paulo cards count, last 5 matches
Santos Santos
2
Flamengo Flamengo
4
Mirassol Mirassol
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
2
Athletico-PR Athletico-PR
3
2
Mirassol Mirassol
2
Vasco Vasco
5
Vitória Vitória
1
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
1
Santos Santos

Dave Kuzio
Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.

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