Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00
The encounter between Benfica and Celtic is set to kick off at 20:00 on Thursday, 15/10, at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica.
This Europa League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet Our betting recommendation is First Half – Under 1.5 Goals for the Benfica vs Celtic contest. Both sides may prioritize defensive organization early on, resulting in limited action. One or fewer goals before halftime looks likely.
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals: 8/11
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £17.27
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals
Why we predict under 1.5 Goals in the first half
Key Betting Insights
Benfica
Celtic
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Benfica is coming to the clash with Celtic with the current statistics in the Europa League:
Matches played: 7
Wins: 5
Draws: 1
Losses: 1
Goals Scored: 21 (Avg. 3)
Goals Conceded: 6 (Avg. 0.86)
When having a broader look at Benfica's performance in all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:
Matches played: 67
Wins: 43
Draws: 14
Losses: 10
Goals Scored: 140 (Avg. 2.09)
Goals Conceded: 54 (Avg. 0.81)
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Benfica to win the match: 1/4
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £12.50
Benfica
Date
Game
Result
11/10
W
20/09
L
16/09
W
13/09
W
09/09
W
On the other hand, Celtic comes into this fixture with the following statistics in Europa League:
Matches played: 1
Wins: 0
Draws: 0
Losses: 1
Goals Scored: 1 (Avg. 1)
Goals Conceded: 3 (Avg. 3)
Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:
Matches played: 65
Wins: 41
Draws: 9
Losses: 15
Goals Scored: 120 (Avg. 1.85)
Goals Conceded: 76 (Avg. 1.17)
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Celtic to win the match: 8/1
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £90.00
Celtic
Date
Game
Result
11/10
W
20/09
L
17/09
L
09/09
W
05/09
W
With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.
Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:
Key metrics Europe - Europa League Europe - Europa LeagueTeam Form
Benfica
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
L
W
W
W
2.4
Home
W
W
W
W
D
2.6
Away
L
W
W
W
W
2.4
Celtic
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
L
L
W
W
1.8
Home
L
L
W
W
W
1.8
Away
W
W
W
L
W
2.4
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics 12 last 5 matches 6 last 5 matches
Benfica scored +100% more goals than Celtic in the last 5 matches.
Goals Scored
Benfica
Celtic
Performance Gap
Vitória Guimarães
Porto
Milan
Gil Vicente
Moreirense FC
Key metrics 4 last 5 matches 5 last 5 matches
Celtic conceded +25% more goals than Benfica in the last 5 matches.
Goals Conceded
Benfica
Celtic
Performance Gap
Vitória Guimarães
Porto
Milan
Gil Vicente
Moreirense FC
Key metrics 36 last 5 matches 49 last 5 matches
Celtic received +36% more corners than Benfica in the last 5 matches.
Corners
Benfica
Celtic
Performance Gap
Vitória Guimarães
Porto
Milan
Gil Vicente
Moreirense FC
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