Botafogo vs Atlético-MG Prediction & Stats | Brazil Serie A | 05/11
The encounter between Botafogo and Atlético-MG is set to kick off at 00:30 on Thursday, 05/11.
This Brazil Serie A fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals
Why we predict over 1.5 Goals in the first half
Our recommended bet is First Half – Over 1.5 Goals for the Botafogo vs Atlético-MG fixture.
We anticipate a lively opening period with both teams creating plenty of chances. An attacking tempo could see two or more goals scored before halftime.
Key Betting Insights
Botafogo
Scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
4 matches against Atlético MG ended in a draw
Atlético-MG
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
Lost 4 of their last 5 matches
4 matches against Botafogo ended in a draw
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals: 7/5
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Botafogo Preview
Botafogo has completed 33 fixtures in the Brazil Serie A, securing 10 wins, 9 draws, and 14 losses — an average of 1.18 points per game. In the Brazil Serie A, the team has scored 45 goals (1.36 per game) and conceded 53 (1.61 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Botafogo has played 57 matches, scoring 78 goals (1.37 per match) and conceding 77 (1.35 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Botafogo
Goals Scored:78
Goals Conceded:77
Average Goals Scored:1.37
Average Goals Conceded:1.35
Wins:23
Goal Difference:1
Date
Game
Result
05/11
Botafogo
1 - 0
Atlético-MG
W
29/10
Remo
2 - 1
Botafogo
L
24/10
Internacional
3 - 0
Botafogo
L
17/10
Botafogo
1 - 0
Chapecoense
W
12/10
Coritiba
1 - 1
Botafogo
D
Botafogo to win the match: 8/13
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £16.15
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Atlético-MG Preview
Across 33 Brazil Serie A matches, Atlético-MG has posted 14 victories, 8 stalemates, and 11 defeats, averaging 1.52 points per fixture. In those games they scored 44 (1.33 per match) and conceded 39 (1.18 per match).
During the whole 2026 campaign, Atlético-MG has earned 26 wins from 63 matches across all competitions, scoring 86 goals (1.37 per match) and conceding 70 (1.11 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Atlético-MG
Goals Scored:86
Goals Conceded:70
Average Goals Scored:1.37
Average Goals Conceded:1.11
Wins:26
Goal Difference:16
Date
Game
Result
05/11
Botafogo
1 - 0
Atlético-MG
L
01/11
Grêmio
2 - 0
Atlético-MG
L
29/10
Atlético-MG
0 - 1
Cruzeiro
L
26/10
Flamengo
3 - 2
Atlético-MG
L
21/10
Montevideo City Torque
2 - 0
Atlético-MG
L
Atlético-MG to win the match: 4/1
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Statistical Insights for Botafogo vs Atlético-MG
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Botafogo vs Atlético-MG fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Botafogo
Brazil - Brazil Serie A
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
L
W
D
L
0.8
Home
W
L
W
D
D
1.6
Away
L
L
D
L
L
0.2
Atlético-MG
Brazil - Brazil Serie A
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
L
L
L
L
0
Home
L
W
W
W
W
2.4
Away
L
L
L
D
L
0.2
Favourite
Home Win
10/11
51.55%
Draw
16/5
23.81%
Away Win
9/4
30.77%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Botafogo
4
last 5 matches
Atlético-MG
2
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Botafogo scored +100% more goals than Atlético-MG in the last 5 matches.
Botafogo and Atlético-MG goals scored count, last 5 matches
Remo
1
Internacional
0
Chapecoense
1
Coritiba
1
Vasco
1
0
Botafogo
0
Grêmio
0
Cruzeiro
2
Flamengo
0
Montevideo City Torque
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Botafogo
8
last 5 matches
Atlético-MG
9
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Atlético-MG conceded +13% more goals than Botafogo in the last 5 matches.
Botafogo and Atlético-MG goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Remo
2
Internacional
3
Chapecoense
0
Coritiba
1
Vasco
2
1
Botafogo
2
Grêmio
1
Cruzeiro
3
Flamengo
2
Montevideo City Torque
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Key metrics
Corners
Botafogo
33
last 5 matches
Atlético-MG
26
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Botafogo received +27% more corners than Atlético-MG in the last 5 matches.
Botafogo and Atlético-MG corners count, last 5 matches
Remo
8
Internacional
7
Chapecoense
4
Coritiba
7
Vasco
7
4
Botafogo
14
Grêmio
7
Cruzeiro
0
Flamengo
1
Montevideo City Torque
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Key metrics
Cards
Botafogo
6
last 5 matches
Atlético-MG
10
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Atlético-MG received +67% more cards than Botafogo in the last 5 matches.
Botafogo and Atlético-MG cards count, last 5 matches
Remo
1
Internacional
2
Chapecoense
0
Coritiba
2
Vasco
1
2
Botafogo
1
Grêmio
2
Cruzeiro
2
Flamengo
3
Montevideo City Torque
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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