Bournemouth vs Milan Prediction | Europa League | 22/10

The encounter between Bournemouth and Milan is set to kick off at 20:00 on Thursday, 22/10, at Vitality Stadium.

This Europa League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

2nd Half Over 2.5 Goals

Why we predict over 2.5 Goals in the second half

Our prediction is Second Half – Over 2.5 Goals for the Bournemouth vs Milan encounter. An intense, end-to-end finish is expected, with both sides likely to press hard in search of goals. Three or more second-half goals are possible if the match becomes open and free-flowing.

Key Betting Insights

Bournemouth

• Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 4 of Bournemouth's last 5 matches
• Won 3 of their last 5 matches

Milan

• Scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches
• Undefeated in their last 4 clashes
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 4 of Milan's last 5 matches

2nd Half Over 2.5 Goals: 3/1

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	23/20	5/2	2/1	4/6	11/10
	11/10	5/2	2/1	4/6	11/10
	11/10	5/2	2/1	4/6	21/20
	5/4	12/5	13/8	4/5	6/5

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Bournemouth Preview

Bournemouth is coming to the clash with Milan with the current statistics in the Europa League:

• Matches played: 2

• Wins: 2

• Draws: 0

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 5 (Avg. 2.5)

• Goals Conceded: 1 (Avg. 0.5)

When having a broader look at Bournemouth's performance in all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

• Matches played: 49

• Wins: 16

• Draws: 22

• Losses: 11

• Goals Scored: 77 (Avg. 1.57)

• Goals Conceded: 73 (Avg. 1.49)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Bournemouth

Goals Scored: 77

Goals Conceded: 73

Average Goals Scored: 1.57

Average Goals Conceded: 1.49

Wins: 16

Goal Difference: 4

Date	Game	Result
18/10	Bournemouth 2 - 0 Sunderland	W
15/10	Bournemouth 3 - 0 Sturm Graz	W
10/10	Chelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth	L
20/09	Bournemouth 0 - 1 Liverpool	L
17/09	Real Sociedad 1 - 2 Bournemouth	W

Bournemouth to win the match: 23/20

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Milan Preview

On the other hand, Milan comes into this fixture with the following statistics in Europa League:

• Matches played: 2

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 0

• Losses: 1

• Goals Scored: 4 (Avg. 2)

• Goals Conceded: 2 (Avg. 1)

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

• Matches played: 50

• Wins: 26

• Draws: 13

• Losses: 11

• Goals Scored: 73 (Avg. 1.46)

• Goals Conceded: 45 (Avg. 0.9)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Milan

Goals Scored: 73

Goals Conceded: 45

Average Goals Scored: 1.46

Average Goals Conceded: 0.9

Wins: 26

Goal Difference: 28

Date	Game	Result
18/10	Milan 3 - 2 Atalanta	W
15/10	Salzburg 0 - 4 Milan	W
11/10	Sassuolo 1 - 1 Milan	D
20/09	Milan 3 - 0 Lecce	W
16/09	Milan 0 - 2 Benfica	L

Milan to win the match: 2/1

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Statistical Insights for Bournemouth vs Milan

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

Bournemouth

Europe - Europa League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W W L L W	1.8
Home	W W L D W	2
Away	L W D L D	1

Milan

Europe - Europa League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W W D W L	2
Home	W W L W L	1.8
Away	W D D D W	1.8

Favourite

Home Win

11/10

47.62%

Draw

12/5

29.07%

Away Win

2/1

33.9%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Bournemouth

8

last 5 matches

Milan

11

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Milan scored +38% more goals than Bournemouth in the last 5 matches.

Bournemouth and Milan goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Sunderland

2

Sturm Graz

3

Chelsea

1

Liverpool

0

Real Sociedad

2

3

Atalanta

4

Salzburg

1

Sassuolo

3

Lecce

0

Benfica

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Bournemouth

7

last 5 matches

Milan

5

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Bournemouth conceded +40% more goals than Milan in the last 5 matches.

Bournemouth and Milan goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Sunderland

0

Sturm Graz

0

Chelsea

5

Liverpool

1

Real Sociedad

1

2

Atalanta

0

Salzburg

1

Sassuolo

0

Lecce

2

Benfica

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Key metrics

Corners

Bournemouth

25

last 5 matches

Milan

21

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Bournemouth received +19% more corners than Milan in the last 5 matches.

Bournemouth and Milan corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Sunderland

5

Sturm Graz

7

Chelsea

7

Liverpool

3

Real Sociedad

3

2

Atalanta

2

Salzburg

5

Sassuolo

2

Lecce

10

Benfica

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Key metrics

Cards

Bournemouth

14

last 5 matches

Milan

7

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Bournemouth received +100% more cards than Milan in the last 5 matches.

Bournemouth and Milan cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Sunderland

3

Sturm Graz

3

Chelsea

4

Liverpool

1

Real Sociedad

3

1

Atalanta

1

Salzburg

4

Sassuolo

0

Lecce

1

Benfica

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.