Flamengo vs Atlético-MG Prediction & Stats | Brazil Serie A | 26/10

The encounter between Flamengo and Atlético-MG is set to kick off at 23:00 on Monday, 26/10.

This Brazil Serie A fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

1st Half Over 1.5 Goals

Why we predict over 1.5 Goals in the first half

Our recommended bet is First Half – Over 1.5 Goals for the Flamengo vs Atlético-MG fixture.

We anticipate a lively opening period with both teams creating plenty of chances. An attacking tempo could see two or more goals scored before halftime.

Key Betting Insights

Flamengo

• Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
• Undefeated in their last 5 clashes
• 4 matches against Atlético MG ended in a draw

Atlético-MG

• Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
• Over 9.5 corners occurred in 5 of Atlético MG's last 5 matches
• 4 matches against Flamengo ended in a draw

1st Half Over 1.5 Goals: 5/4

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	2/7	9/2	9/1	8/15	7/5
	1/4	9/2	8/1	1/2	5/4
	3/10	4/1	8/1	8/15	6/4
	1/4	4/1	10/1	8/15	11/8

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Flamengo Preview

Flamengo has completed 31 fixtures in the Brazil Serie A, securing 20 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses — an average of 2.16 points per game. In the Brazil Serie A, the team has scored 61 goals (1.97 per game) and conceded 25 (0.81 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Flamengo has played 57 matches, scoring 109 goals (1.91 per match) and conceding 49 (0.86 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Flamengo

Goals Scored: 109

Goals Conceded: 49

Average Goals Scored: 1.88

Average Goals Conceded: 0.84

Wins: 33

Goal Difference: 60

Date	Game	Result
23/10	Flamengo 0 - 0 Estudiantes de La Plata	D
18/10	Bahia 0 - 3 Flamengo	W
16/10	Estudiantes de La Plata 0 - 0 Flamengo	D
11/10	Flamengo 1 - 0 Fluminense	W
08/10	Santos 2 - 2 Flamengo	D

Flamengo to win the match: 2/7

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Atlético-MG Preview

Across 31 Brazil Serie A matches, Atlético-MG has posted 14 victories, 8 stalemates, and 9 defeats, averaging 1.61 points per fixture. In those games they scored 42 (1.35 per match) and conceded 35 (1.13 per match).

During the whole 2026 campaign, Atlético-MG has earned 26 wins from 60 matches across all competitions, scoring 84 goals (1.4 per match) and conceding 64 (1.07 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Atlético-MG

Goals Scored: 84

Goals Conceded: 64

Average Goals Scored: 1.4

Average Goals Conceded: 1.07

Wins: 26

Goal Difference: 20

Date	Game	Result
21/10	Montevideo City Torque 2 - 0 Atlético-MG	L
17/10	Atlético-MG 1 - 0 Coritiba	W
14/10	Atlético-MG 3 - 0 Montevideo City Torque	W
11/10	Atlético-MG 2 - 1 Santos	W
08/10	Athletico-PR 2 - 2 Atlético-MG	D

Atlético-MG to win the match: 9/1

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Statistical Insights for Flamengo vs Atlético-MG

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Flamengo vs Atlético-MG fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Flamengo

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D W D W D	1.8
Home	D W W D W	2.2
Away	W D D W W	2.2

Atlético-MG

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L W W W D	2
Home	W W W W D	2.6
Away	L D L L D	0.4

Favourite

Home Win

1/4

80%

Draw

4/1

19.05%

Away Win

9/1

10%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Flamengo

6

last 5 matches

Atlético-MG

8

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Atlético-MG scored +33% more goals than Flamengo in the last 5 matches.

Flamengo and Atlético-MG goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Estudiantes de La Plata

0

Bahia

3

Estudiantes de La Plata

0

Fluminense

1

Santos

2

0

Montevideo City Torque

1

Coritiba

3

Montevideo City Torque

2

Santos

2

Athletico-PR

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Flamengo

2

last 5 matches

Atlético-MG

5

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Atlético-MG conceded +150% more goals than Flamengo in the last 5 matches.

Flamengo and Atlético-MG goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Estudiantes de La Plata

0

Bahia

0

Estudiantes de La Plata

0

Fluminense

0

Santos

2

2

Montevideo City Torque

0

Coritiba

0

Montevideo City Torque

1

Santos

2

Athletico-PR

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Key metrics

Corners

Flamengo

33

last 5 matches

Atlético-MG

32

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Flamengo received +3% more corners than Atlético-MG in the last 5 matches.

Flamengo and Atlético-MG corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Estudiantes de La Plata

6

Bahia

14

Estudiantes de La Plata

4

Fluminense

4

Santos

5

1

Montevideo City Torque

10

Coritiba

6

Montevideo City Torque

12

Santos

3

Athletico-PR

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Key metrics

Cards

Flamengo

11

last 5 matches

Atlético-MG

9

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Flamengo received +22% more cards than Atlético-MG in the last 5 matches.

Flamengo and Atlético-MG cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Estudiantes de La Plata

0

Bahia

2

Estudiantes de La Plata

3

Fluminense

2

Santos

4

3

Montevideo City Torque

0

Coritiba

1

Montevideo City Torque

3

Santos

2

Athletico-PR