Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:00
The encounter between Genoa and Fiorentina is set to kick off at 14:00 on Saturday, 10/10.
This Serie A fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet We expect the match between Genoa and Fiorentina to end in a draw. Both teams appear evenly matched, and we expect a balanced contest where neither side fully dominates. A draw looks like a likely outcome after 90 minutes.
Draw: 9/4
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £32.50
Draw
Why we predict a draw
Key Betting Insights
Genoa
Fiorentina
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Genoa has completed 5 fixtures in the Serie A, securing 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses — an average of 0.2 points per game. In the Serie A, the team has scored 3 goals (0.6 per game) and conceded 10 (2 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Genoa has played 48 matches, scoring 55 goals (1.15 per match) and conceding 67 (1.4 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Genoa to win the match: 2/1
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £30.00
Genoa
Date
Game
Result
20/09
L
15/09
W
12/09
D
04/09
L
30/08
L
Across 5 Serie A matches, Fiorentina has posted 1 victories, 1 stalemates, and 3 defeats, averaging 0.8 points per fixture. In those games they scored 6 (1.2 per match) and conceded 12 (2.4 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Fiorentina has earned 21 wins from 60 matches across all competitions, scoring 80 goals (1.33 per match) and conceding 83 (1.38 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Fiorentina to win the match: 11/8
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £23.75
Fiorentina
Date
Game
Result
20/09
D
15/09
W
11/09
W
05/09
L
29/08
L
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Genoa vs Fiorentina fixture.
Key metrics Italy - Serie A Italy - Serie ATeam Form
Genoa
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
W
D
L
L
0.8
Home
W
D
L
L
W
1.4
Away
L
L
L
D
D
0.4
Fiorentina
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
D
W
W
L
L
1.4
Home
D
W
L
L
W
1.4
Away
W
L
W
L
D
1.4
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics 4 last 5 matches 9 last 5 matches
Fiorentina scored +125% more goals than Genoa in the last 5 matches.
Goals Scored
Genoa
Fiorentina
Performance Gap
Parma
Südtirol
Frosinone
Como
Lazio
Key metrics 8 last 5 matches 8 last 5 matches
Both teams conceded the same number of goals in the last 5 matches.
Goals Conceded
Genoa
Fiorentina
Performance Gap
Parma
Südtirol
Frosinone
Como
Lazio
Key metrics 30 last 5 matches 22 last 5 matches
Genoa received +36% more corners than Fiorentina in the last 5 matches.
Corners
Genoa
Fiorentina
Performance Gap
Parma
Südtirol
Frosinone
Como
Lazio
Key metrics 9 last 5 matches 9 last 5 matches
Both teams got the same number of cards in the last 5 matches.
Cards
Genoa
Fiorentina
Performance Gap
Parma
Südtirol
Frosinone
Como
Lazio
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