Grêmio vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Stats | Brazil Serie A | 18/10

The encounter between Grêmio and Cruzeiro is set to kick off at 20:00 on Sunday, 18/10.

This Brazil Serie A fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Under 1.5 Goals

Why we predict under 1.5 Goals

Our recommended bet is Under 1.5 Goals for the Grêmio vs Cruzeiro fixture.

This match could be a cautious affair, with limited attacking threat from either side. Strong defensive setups and a controlled tempo suggest a low-scoring outcome with no more than one goal.

Key Betting Insights

Grêmio

• 6 matches against Cruzeiro ended in a draw
• Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches

Cruzeiro

• Scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches
• 6 matches against Grêmio ended in a draw
• Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches

Under 1.5 Goals: 11/4

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	2/1	5/2	5/4	4/5	10/11
	15/8	9/4	6/5	8/11	10/11
	11/5	9/4	6/5	4/5	5/6
	2/1	12/5	6/5	5/6	1/1

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Grêmio Preview

Grêmio has completed 30 fixtures in the Brazil Serie A, securing 7 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses — an average of 1.03 points per game. In the Brazil Serie A, the team has scored 32 goals (1.07 per game) and conceded 40 (1.33 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Grêmio has played 55 matches, scoring 73 goals (1.33 per match) and conceding 58 (1.05 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Grêmio

Goals Scored: 73

Goals Conceded: 58

Average Goals Scored: 1.33

Average Goals Conceded: 1.05

Wins: 19

Goal Difference: 15

Date	Game	Result
11/10	Grêmio 1 - 1 Internacional	D
07/10	Remo 1 - 1 Grêmio	D
20/09	Grêmio 0 - 0 Palmeiras	D
16/09	Botafogo 3 - 2 Grêmio	L
12/09	Grêmio 1 - 2 Vasco	L

Grêmio to win the match: 2/1

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Cruzeiro Preview

Across 30 Brazil Serie A matches, Cruzeiro has posted 14 victories, 6 stalemates, and 10 defeats, averaging 1.6 points per fixture. In those games they scored 46 (1.53 per match) and conceded 44 (1.47 per match).

During the whole 2026 campaign, Cruzeiro has earned 27 wins from 55 matches across all competitions, scoring 81 goals (1.47 per match) and conceding 63 (1.15 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Cruzeiro

Goals Scored: 81

Goals Conceded: 63

Average Goals Scored: 1.47

Average Goals Conceded: 1.15

Wins: 27

Goal Difference: 18

Date	Game	Result
13/10	Bragantino 4 - 2 Cruzeiro	L
08/10	Cruzeiro 2 - 0 São Paulo	W
20/09	Vitória 1 - 3 Cruzeiro	W
13/09	Santos 2 - 1 Cruzeiro	L
06/09	Cruzeiro 3 - 1 Athletico-PR	W

Cruzeiro to win the match: 5/4

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Statistical Insights for Grêmio vs Cruzeiro

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Grêmio vs Cruzeiro fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Grêmio

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D D D L L	0.6
Home	D D L W W	1.6
Away	D L L D L	0.4

Cruzeiro

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L W W L W	1.8
Home	W W D W D	2.2
Away	L W L L L	0.6

Home Win

2/1

33.33%

Draw

9/4

30.58%

Favourite

Away Win

6/5

45.05%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Grêmio

5

last 5 matches

Cruzeiro

11

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Cruzeiro scored +120% more goals than Grêmio in the last 5 matches.

Grêmio and Cruzeiro goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Internacional

1

Remo

1

Palmeiras

0

Botafogo

2

Vasco

1

2

Bragantino

2

São Paulo

3

Vitória

1

Santos

3

Athletico-PR

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Grêmio

7

last 5 matches

Cruzeiro

8

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Cruzeiro conceded +14% more goals than Grêmio in the last 5 matches.

Grêmio and Cruzeiro goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Internacional

1

Remo

1

Palmeiras

0

Botafogo

3

Vasco

2

4

Bragantino

0

São Paulo

1

Vitória

2

Santos

1

Athletico-PR

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Key metrics

Corners

Grêmio

18

last 5 matches

Cruzeiro

26

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Cruzeiro received +44% more corners than Grêmio in the last 5 matches.

Grêmio and Cruzeiro corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Internacional

6

Remo

4

Palmeiras

2

Botafogo

3

Vasco

3

6

Bragantino

8

São Paulo

2

Vitória

3

Santos

7

Athletico-PR

Key metrics

Cards

Grêmio

16

last 5 matches

Cruzeiro

12

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Grêmio received +33% more cards than Cruzeiro in the last 5 matches.

Grêmio and Cruzeiro cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Internacional

3

Remo

4

Palmeiras

5

Botafogo

1

Vasco

3

2

Bragantino

2

São Paulo

3

Vitória

3

Santos

2

Athletico-PR