Lech Poznań vs Sunderland Prediction | Europa League | 22/10

The encounter between Lech Poznań and Sunderland is set to kick off at 17:45 on Thursday, 22/10, at Enea stadion.

This Europa League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Under 1.5 Goals

Why we predict under 1.5 Goals

Our recommended bet is Under 1.5 Goals for the Lech Poznań vs Sunderland fixture.

This match could be a cautious affair, with limited attacking threat from either side. Strong defensive setups and a controlled tempo suggest a low-scoring outcome with no more than one goal.

Key Betting Insights

Lech Poznań

• Scored 15 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Won 3 of their last 5 matches

Sunderland

• Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Over 9.5 corners occurred in 4 of Sunderland's last 5 matches

Under 1.5 Goals: 11/4

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £37.50

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	10/3	11/4	8/11	8/11	1/1
	7/2	3/1	4/6	5/6	1/1
	7/2	3/1	4/6	8/11	1/1
	10/3	3/1	8/11	4/5	21/20

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Lech Poznań Preview

Lech Poznań is coming to the clash with Sunderland with the current statistics in the Europa League:

• Matches played: 6

• Wins: 3

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 2

• Goals Scored: 15 (Avg. 2.5)

• Goals Conceded: 10 (Avg. 1.67)

When having a broader look at Lech Poznań's performance in all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

• Matches played: 67

• Wins: 36

• Draws: 16

• Losses: 15

• Goals Scored: 134 (Avg. 2)

• Goals Conceded: 91 (Avg. 1.36)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Lech Poznań

Goals Scored: 140

Goals Conceded: 92

Average Goals Scored: 2.06

Average Goals Conceded: 1.35

Wins: 37

Goal Difference: 48

Date	Game	Result
18/10	Lech Poznań 6 - 1 Korona Kielce	W
15/10	Lech Poznań 0 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen	L
10/10	Śląsk Wrocław 1 - 4 Lech Poznań	W
20/09	Lech Poznań 5 - 1 Radomiak Radom	W
17/09	Crystal Palace 4 - 0 Lech Poznań	L

Lech Poznań to win the match: 10/3

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £43.33

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Sunderland Preview

On the other hand, Sunderland comes into this fixture with the following statistics in Europa League:

• Matches played: 2

• Wins: 2

• Draws: 0

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 3 (Avg. 1.5)

• Goals Conceded: 1 (Avg. 0.5)

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

• Matches played: 51

• Wins: 19

• Draws: 15

• Losses: 17

• Goals Scored: 55 (Avg. 1.08)

• Goals Conceded: 64 (Avg. 1.25)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Sunderland

Goals Scored: 55

Goals Conceded: 66

Average Goals Scored: 1.06

Average Goals Conceded: 1.27

Wins: 19

Goal Difference: -11

Date	Game	Result
18/10	Bournemouth 2 - 0 Sunderland	L
15/10	Torreense 1 - 2 Sunderland	W
10/10	Sunderland 0 - 2 Brighton	L
20/09	Manchester City 5 - 3 Sunderland	L
16/09	Sunderland 1 - 0 AZ Alkmaar	W

Sunderland to win the match: 8/11

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £17.27

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Statistical Insights for Lech Poznań vs Sunderland

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

Lech Poznań

Europe - Europa League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W L W W L	1.8
Home	W L W W W	2.4
Away	W L L W D	1.4

Sunderland

Europe - Europa League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L W L L W	1.2
Home	L W L W W	1.8
Away	L W L D L	0.8

Home Win

7/2

21.74%

Draw

3/1

25.64%

Favourite

Away Win

4/6

58.82%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Lech Poznań

15

last 5 matches

Sunderland

6

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Lech Poznań scored +150% more goals than Sunderland in the last 5 matches.

Lech Poznań and Sunderland goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Korona Kielce

6

Bayer Leverkusen

0

Śląsk Wrocław

4

Radomiak Radom

5

Crystal Palace

0

0

Bournemouth

2

Torreense

0

Brighton

3

Manchester City

1

AZ Alkmaar

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Lech Poznań

11

last 5 matches

Sunderland

10

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Lech Poznań conceded +10% more goals than Sunderland in the last 5 matches.

Lech Poznań and Sunderland goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Korona Kielce

1

Bayer Leverkusen

4

Śląsk Wrocław

1

Radomiak Radom

1

Crystal Palace

4

2

Bournemouth

1

Torreense

2

Brighton

5

Manchester City

0

AZ Alkmaar

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Key metrics

Corners

Lech Poznań

28

last 5 matches

Sunderland

36

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Sunderland received +29% more corners than Lech Poznań in the last 5 matches.

Lech Poznań and Sunderland corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Korona Kielce

5

Bayer Leverkusen

4

Śląsk Wrocław

4

Radomiak Radom

10

Crystal Palace

5

3

Bournemouth

9

Torreense

7

Brighton

5

Manchester City

12

AZ Alkmaar

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Key metrics

Cards

Lech Poznań

9

last 5 matches

Sunderland

9

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Both teams got the same number of cards in the last 5 matches.

Lech Poznań and Sunderland cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Korona Kielce

2

Bayer Leverkusen

1

Śląsk Wrocław

4

Radomiak Radom

1

Crystal Palace

1

2

Bournemouth

3

Torreense

0

Brighton

1

Manchester City

3

AZ Alkmaar

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.