Lille vs Brest Prediction & Stats | Ligue 1 | 17/10

The encounter between Lille and Brest is set to kick off at 19:45 on Saturday, 17/10.

This Ligue 1 fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

1st Half Under 0.5 Goals

Why we predict under 0.5 Goals in the first half

Our tip is First Half – Under 0.5 Goals for the Lille vs Brest fixture.

We foresee a cautious opening, with both teams feeling each other out and avoiding early risks. A goalless first half is a realistic outcome here.

Key Betting Insights

Lille

• Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
• 6 matches against Brest ended in a draw
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 5 of Lille's last 5 matches

Brest

• Scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
• 6 matches against Lille ended in a draw
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches

1st Half Under 0.5 Goals: 9/4

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	5/6	11/4	3/1	4/6	11/10
	4/5	11/4	10/3	4/6	11/10
	4/5	13/5	3/1	4/6	11/10
	5/6	3/1	5/2	8/11	23/20

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Lille Preview

Lille has completed 6 fixtures in the Ligue 1, securing 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses — an average of 2.17 points per game. In the Ligue 1, the team has scored 9 goals (1.5 per game) and conceded 4 (0.67 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Lille has played 55 matches, scoring 79 goals (1.44 per match) and conceding 59 (1.07 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Lille

Goals Scored: 79

Goals Conceded: 62

Average Goals Scored: 1.41

Average Goals Conceded: 1.11

Wins: 28

Goal Difference: 17

Date	Game	Result
13/10	Arsenal 3 - 0 Lille	L
10/10	Lille 1 - 0 Le Havre	W
20/09	Nice 2 - 1 Lille	L
13/09	Lille 2 - 0 Troyes	W
08/09	Lille 2 - 3 Betis	L

Lille to win the match: 5/6

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £18.33

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Brest Preview

Across 6 Ligue 1 matches, Brest has posted 2 victories, 2 stalemates, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.33 points per fixture. In those games they scored 12 (2 per match) and conceded 9 (1.5 per match).

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Brest has earned 12 wins from 41 matches across all competitions, scoring 56 goals (1.37 per match) and conceding 65 (1.59 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Brest

Goals Scored: 56

Goals Conceded: 65

Average Goals Scored: 1.37

Average Goals Conceded: 1.59

Wins: 12

Goal Difference: -9

Date	Game	Result
10/10	Brest 5 - 1 Angers	W
20/09	Auxerre 2 - 1 Brest	L
13/09	Brest 0 - 1 PSG	L
05/09	Le Havre 1 - 2 Brest	W
29/08	Brest 2 - 2 Toulouse	D

Brest to win the match: 3/1

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Statistical Insights for Lille vs Brest

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Lille vs Brest fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Lille

France - Ligue 1

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L W L W L	1.2
Home	W W L D L	1.4
Away	L L W W W	1.8

Brest

France - Ligue 1

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W L L W D	1.4
Home	W L D D L	1
Away	L W D L L	0.8

Favourite

Home Win

5/6

54.64%

Draw

11/4

26.67%

Away Win

10/3

23.08%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Lille

6

last 5 matches

Brest

10

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Brest scored +67% more goals than Lille in the last 5 matches.

Lille and Brest goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Arsenal

0

Le Havre

1

Nice

1

Troyes

2

Betis

2

5

Angers

1

Auxerre

0

PSG

2

Le Havre

2

Toulouse

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Lille

8

last 5 matches

Brest

7

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Lille conceded +14% more goals than Brest in the last 5 matches.

Lille and Brest goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Arsenal

3

Le Havre

0

Nice

2

Troyes

0

Betis

3

1

Angers

2

Auxerre

1

PSG

1

Le Havre

2

Toulouse

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Key metrics

Corners

Lille

18

last 5 matches

Brest

22

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Brest received +22% more corners than Lille in the last 5 matches.

Lille and Brest corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Arsenal

0

Le Havre

4

Nice

7

Troyes

2

Betis

5

4

Angers

3

Auxerre

3

PSG

5

Le Havre

7

Toulouse

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Key metrics

Cards

Lille

6

last 5 matches

Brest

6

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Both teams got the same number of cards in the last 5 matches.

Lille and Brest cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Arsenal

1

Le Havre

2

Nice

1

Troyes

1

Betis

1

1

Angers

1

Auxerre

1

PSG

1

Le Havre

2

Toulouse