Milan vs Atalanta Prediction & Stats | Serie A | 18/10

The encounter between Milan and Atalanta is set to kick off at 17:00 on Sunday, 18/10.

This Serie A fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Draw

Why we predict a draw

We expect the match between Milan and Atalanta to end in a draw.

Both teams appear evenly matched, and we expect a balanced contest where neither side fully dominates. A draw looks like a likely outcome after 90 minutes.

Key Betting Insights

Milan

• 9 matches against Atalanta ended in a draw
• Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches

Atalanta

• 9 matches against Milan ended in a draw
• Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches

Draw: 3/1

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	4/6	3/1	7/2	8/13	5/4
	8/13	3/1	7/2	8/15	7/5
	8/13	3/1	4/1	4/6	23/20
	1/100	25/1	66/1	8/13	5/4

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Milan Preview

Milan has completed 6 fixtures in the Serie A, securing 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses — an average of 2 points per game. In the Serie A, the team has scored 11 goals (1.83 per game) and conceded 5 (0.83 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Milan has played 49 matches, scoring 69 goals (1.41 per match) and conceding 45 (0.92 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Milan

Goals Scored: 73

Goals Conceded: 45

Average Goals Scored: 1.46

Average Goals Conceded: 0.9

Wins: 26

Goal Difference: 28

Date	Game	Result
18/10	Milan 3 - 2 Atalanta	W
15/10	Salzburg 0 - 4 Milan	W
11/10	Sassuolo 1 - 1 Milan	D
20/09	Milan 3 - 0 Lecce	W
16/09	Milan 0 - 2 Benfica	L

Milan to win the match: 4/6

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Atalanta Preview

Across 6 Serie A matches, Atalanta has posted 3 victories, 0 stalemates, and 3 defeats, averaging 1.5 points per fixture. In those games they scored 8 (1.33 per match) and conceded 8 (1.33 per match).

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Atalanta has earned 26 wins from 62 matches across all competitions, scoring 86 goals (1.39 per match) and conceding 70 (1.13 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Atalanta

Goals Scored: 89

Goals Conceded: 71

Average Goals Scored: 1.41

Average Goals Conceded: 1.13

Wins: 27

Goal Difference: 18

Date	Game	Result
18/10	Milan 3 - 2 Atalanta	L
15/10	Atalanta 3 - 1 Paphos	W
12/10	Atalanta 3 - 1 Venezia	W
20/09	Juventus 2 - 0 Atalanta	L
12/09	Atalanta 1 - 2 Cagliari	L

Atalanta to win the match: 7/2

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Statistical Insights for Milan vs Atalanta

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Milan vs Atalanta fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Milan

Italy - Serie A

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W D W L D	1.6
Home	W L W L L	1.2
Away	W D D D W	1.8

Atalanta

Italy - Serie A

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L W W L L	1.2
Home	W W L W W	2.4
Away	L L W D W	1.4

Favourite

Home Win

1/100

99.01%

Draw

3/1

24.39%

Away Win

66/1

1.23%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Milan

10

last 5 matches

Atalanta

9

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Milan scored +11% more goals than Atalanta in the last 5 matches.

Milan and Atalanta goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Salzburg

4

Sassuolo

1

Lecce

3

Benfica

0

Lazio

2

2

Milan

3

Paphos

3

Venezia

0

Juventus

1

Cagliari

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Milan

5

last 5 matches

Atalanta

9

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Atalanta conceded +80% more goals than Milan in the last 5 matches.

Milan and Atalanta goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Salzburg

0

Sassuolo

1

Lecce

0

Benfica

2

Lazio

2

3

Milan

1

Paphos

1

Venezia

2

Juventus

2

Cagliari

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Key metrics

Corners

Milan

24

last 5 matches

Atalanta

24

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Both teams were awarded the same number of corners in the last 5 matches.

Milan and Atalanta corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Salzburg

2

Sassuolo

5

Lecce

2

Benfica

10

Lazio

5

2

Milan

6

Paphos

8

Venezia

5

Juventus

3

Cagliari

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Key metrics

Cards

Milan

9

last 5 matches

Atalanta

4

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Milan received +125% more cards than Atalanta in the last 5 matches.

Milan and Atalanta cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Salzburg

1

Sassuolo

4

Lecce

0

Benfica

1

Lazio

3

2

Milan

0

Paphos

0

Venezia

2

Juventus

0

Cagliari