Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Prediction & Stats | Premier League | 22/08

The encounter between Nottingham Forest and Leeds is set to kick off at 15:00 on Saturday, 22/08.

This Premier League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Over 10.5 Corners

Why we predict over 10.5 corners

Our pick is Corners – Over 10.5 for the Nottingham Forest vs Leeds clash.

Expect an open game with sustained attacking pressure from both sides. Frequent deliveries from wide areas and set-piece opportunities could easily push the corner count into double digits.

Key Betting Insights

Nottingham Forest

• Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
• 7 matches against Leeds United ended in a draw
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches

Leeds

• 7 matches against Nottingham Forest ended in a draw
• Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches

Over 10.5 Corners: 7/5

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	5/4	9/4	2/1	12/1	1/20
	11/8	9/4	2/1	5/6	4/5
	5/2	4/5	7/2	23/20	4/6
	11/8	9/4	11/5	1/1	4/5

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Nottingham Forest Preview

Nottingham Forest have not played a Premier League match yet this season, so there is no Premier League record to draw on ahead of this fixture.

Across all competitions this season, Nottingham Forest has played 56 matches, scoring 77 goals (1.38 per match) and conceding 73 (1.3 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Nottingham Forest

Goals Scored: 77

Goals Conceded: 73

Average Goals Scored: 1.38

Average Goals Conceded: 1.3

Wins: 19

Goal Difference: 4

Date	Game	Result
22/08	Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 Leeds	L
24/05	Nottingham Forest 1 - 1 Bournemouth	D
17/05	Manchester United 3 - 2 Nottingham Forest	L
10/05	Nottingham Forest 1 - 1 Newcastle United	D
07/05	Aston Villa 4 - 0 Nottingham Forest	L

Nottingham Forest to win the match: 11/8

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Leeds Preview

Leeds are yet to feature in the Premier League this season, so there is no Premier League form to go on here.

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Leeds has earned 13 wins from 44 matches across all competitions, scoring 59 goals (1.34 per match) and conceding 62 (1.41 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Leeds

Goals Scored: 59

Goals Conceded: 62

Average Goals Scored: 1.34

Average Goals Conceded: 1.41

Wins: 13

Goal Difference: -3

Date	Game	Result
22/08	Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 Leeds	W
24/05	West Ham 3 - 0 Leeds	L
17/05	Leeds 1 - 0 Brighton	W
11/05	Tottenham 1 - 1 Leeds	D
01/05	Leeds 3 - 1 Burnley	W

Leeds to win the match: 2/1

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Statistical Insights for Nottingham Forest vs Leeds

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Nottingham Forest vs Leeds fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Nottingham Forest

England - Premier League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D L D L W	1
Home	D D W W W	2.2
Away	L L W W D	1.4

Leeds

England - Premier League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W L W D W	2
Home	W W W D W	2.6
Away	L D L D W	1

Favourite

Home Win

5/4

43.48%

Draw

9/4

30.77%

Away Win

11/5

31.75%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Nottingham Forest

7

last 5 matches

Leeds

6

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Nottingham Forest scored +17% more goals than Leeds in the last 5 matches.

Nottingham Forest and Leeds goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Bournemouth

1

Manchester United

2

Newcastle United

1

Aston Villa

0

Chelsea

3

1

Nottingham Forest

0

West Ham

1

Brighton

1

Tottenham

3

Burnley

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Nottingham Forest

10

last 5 matches

Leeds

5

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Nottingham Forest conceded +100% more goals than Leeds in the last 5 matches.

Nottingham Forest and Leeds goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Bournemouth

1

Manchester United

3

Newcastle United

1

Aston Villa

4

Chelsea

1

0

Nottingham Forest

3

West Ham

0

Brighton

1

Tottenham

1

Burnley

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