Porto vs PSV Prediction | UEFA Champions League | 20/10

The encounter between Porto and PSV is set to kick off at 20:00 on Tuesday, 20/10, at Estádio Do Dragão.

This UEFA Champions League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Porto Win

Why we predict Porto to win the match

Our prediction is Porto to win the match.

We anticipate Porto to make the most of their home advantage, controlling key phases of play and ultimately taking all three points.

Key Betting Insights

Porto

• Scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 out of Porto's last 5 matches

PSV

• Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Over 9.5 corners occurred in 4 of PSV's last 5 matches

Porto Win: 8/13

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	8/13	11/4	13/5	8/15	6/4
	4/5	10/3	10/3	4/9	6/4
	8/13	16/5	4/1	4/7	11/8
	8/13	4/1	7/2	8/15	11/8

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Porto Preview

Porto is coming to the clash with PSV with the current statistics in the UEFA Champions League:

• Matches played: 2

• Wins: 0

• Draws: 0

• Losses: 2

• Goals Scored: 2 (Avg. 1)

• Goals Conceded: 5 (Avg. 2.5)

When having a broader look at Porto's performance in all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

• Matches played: 63

• Wins: 48

• Draws: 8

• Losses: 7

• Goals Scored: 119 (Avg. 1.89)

• Goals Conceded: 39 (Avg. 0.62)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Porto

Goals Scored: 119

Goals Conceded: 39

Average Goals Scored: 1.89

Average Goals Conceded: 0.62

Wins: 48

Goal Difference: 80

Date	Game	Result
14/10	Betis 3 - 2 Porto	L
10/10	CS Marítimo 1 - 2 Porto	W
20/09	Porto 3 - 1 Benfica	W
12/09	Casa Pia 1 - 4 Porto	W
08/09	Porto 0 - 2 Manchester City	L

Porto to win the match: 8/13

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £16.15

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PSV Preview

On the other hand, PSV comes into this fixture with the following statistics in UEFA Champions League:

• Matches played: 2

• Wins: 0

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 1

• Goals Scored: 1 (Avg. 0.5)

• Goals Conceded: 2 (Avg. 1)

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

• Matches played: 58

• Wins: 39

• Draws: 7

• Losses: 12

• Goals Scored: 159 (Avg. 2.74)

• Goals Conceded: 83 (Avg. 1.43)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

PSV

Goals Scored: 160

Goals Conceded: 85

Average Goals Scored: 2.71

Average Goals Conceded: 1.44

Wins: 39

Goal Difference: 75

Date	Game	Result
17/10	ADO Den Haag 2 - 1 PSV	L
13/10	RB Leipzig 1 - 0 PSV	L
09/10	PSV 2 - 0 Heerenveen	W
20/09	Twente 3 - 2 PSV	L
13/09	PSV 4 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam	W

PSV to win the match: 13/5

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £36.00

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Statistical Insights for Porto vs PSV

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

Porto

Europe - UEFA Champions League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L W W W L	1.8
Home	W L W W W	2.4
Away	L W W W W	2.4

PSV

Europe - UEFA Champions League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L W L W	1.2
Home	W W D W D	2.2
Away	L L L W W	1.2

Favourite

Home Win

8/13

62.11%

Draw

10/3

23.42%

Away Win

13/5

27.86%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Porto

11

last 5 matches

PSV

9

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Porto scored +22% more goals than PSV in the last 5 matches.

Porto and PSV goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Betis

2

CS Marítimo

2

Benfica

3

Casa Pia

4

Manchester City

0

1

ADO Den Haag

0

RB Leipzig

2

Heerenveen

2

Twente

4

Sparta Rotterdam

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Porto

8

last 5 matches

PSV

7

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Porto conceded +14% more goals than PSV in the last 5 matches.

Porto and PSV goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Betis

3

CS Marítimo

1

Benfica

1

Casa Pia

1

Manchester City

2

2

ADO Den Haag

1

RB Leipzig

0

Heerenveen

3

Twente

1

Sparta Rotterdam

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Key metrics

Corners

Porto

22

last 5 matches

PSV

32

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

PSV received +45% more corners than Porto in the last 5 matches.

Porto and PSV corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Betis

1

CS Marítimo

6

Benfica

3

Casa Pia

10

Manchester City

2

2

ADO Den Haag

12

RB Leipzig

4

Heerenveen

5

Twente

9

Sparta Rotterdam

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Key metrics

Cards

Porto

10

last 5 matches

PSV

7

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Porto received +43% more cards than PSV in the last 5 matches.

Porto and PSV cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Betis

3

CS Marítimo

2

Benfica

3

Casa Pia

1

Manchester City

1

1

ADO Den Haag

2

RB Leipzig

1

Heerenveen

2

Twente

1

Sparta Rotterdam

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.