PSG vs Lyon Prediction & Stats | Ligue 1 | 25/10

The encounter between PSG and Lyon is set to kick off at 19:45 on Sunday, 25/10.

This Ligue 1 fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Over 3.5 Goals

Why we predict over 3.5 Goals

Our betting pick is Over 3.5 Goals for the PSG vs Lyon contest.

This game promises end-to-end action, with both teams expected to push forward and create plenty of opportunities. A high-scoring affair featuring at least four goals looks realistic.

Key Betting Insights

PSG

• Scored 16 goals in their last 5 matches
• Won 5 of their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches

Lyon

• Scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches
• Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches
• Won 4 of their last 5 matches

Over 3.5 Goals: 10/11

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £19.09

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	4/11	9/2	11/2	4/11	2/1
	4/11	9/2	11/2	4/11	2/1
	4/9	9/2	11/2	4/11	15/8
	1/3	4/1	5/1	4/9	2/1

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PSG Preview

PSG has completed 7 fixtures in the Ligue 1, securing 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses — an average of 2 points per game. In the Ligue 1, the team has scored 14 goals (2 per game) and conceded 9 (1.29 per game).

Across all competitions this season, PSG has played 67 matches, scoring 157 goals (2.34 per match) and conceding 73 (1.09 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

PSG

Goals Scored: 157

Goals Conceded: 73

Average Goals Scored: 2.34

Average Goals Conceded: 1.09

Wins: 43

Goal Difference: 84

Date	Game	Result
20/10	PSG 4 - 2 Barcelona	W
17/10	Strasbourg 1 - 3 PSG	W
14/10	Manchester City 2 - 4 PSG	W
10/10	PSG 3 - 1 Le Mans	W
20/09	Olympique de Marseille 1 - 2 PSG	W

PSG to win the match: 4/11

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £13.64

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Lyon Preview

Across 7 Ligue 1 matches, Lyon has posted 4 victories, 2 stalemates, and 1 defeats, averaging 2 points per fixture. In those games they scored 13 (1.86 per match) and conceded 5 (0.71 per match).

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Lyon has earned 35 wins from 61 matches across all competitions, scoring 105 goals (1.72 per match) and conceding 64 (1.05 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Lyon

Goals Scored: 105

Goals Conceded: 67

Average Goals Scored: 1.69

Average Goals Conceded: 1.08

Wins: 35

Goal Difference: 38

Date	Game	Result
22/10	Hoffenheim 3 - 0 Lyon	L
18/10	Lyon 2 - 1 Nice	W
15/10	Lyon 3 - 2 Crystal Palace	W
09/10	Lens 2 - 1 Lyon	L
19/09	Lyon 4 - 0 Rennes	W

Lyon to win the match: 11/2

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Statistical Insights for PSG vs Lyon

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the PSG vs Lyon fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

PSG

France - Ligue 1

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	3
Home	W W W L W	2.4
Away	W W W W D	2.6

Lyon

France - Ligue 1

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L W W L W	1.8
Home	W W W W D	2.6
Away	L L W D W	1.4

Favourite

Home Win

1/3

75.76%

Draw

9/2

18.52%

Away Win

11/2

15.15%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

PSG

16

last 5 matches

Lyon

10

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

PSG scored +60% more goals than Lyon in the last 5 matches.

PSG and Lyon goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Barcelona

4

Strasbourg

3

Manchester City

4

Le Mans

3

Olympique de Marseille

2

0

Hoffenheim

2

Nice

3

Crystal Palace

1

Lens

4

Rennes

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

PSG

7

last 5 matches

Lyon

8

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Lyon conceded +14% more goals than PSG in the last 5 matches.

PSG and Lyon goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Barcelona

2

Strasbourg

1

Manchester City

2

Le Mans

1

Olympique de Marseille

1

3

Hoffenheim

1

Nice

2

Crystal Palace

2

Lens

0

Rennes

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Key metrics

Corners

PSG

21

last 5 matches

Lyon

22

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Lyon received +5% more corners than PSG in the last 5 matches.

PSG and Lyon corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Barcelona

2

Strasbourg

6

Manchester City

2

Le Mans

4

Olympique de Marseille

7

9

Hoffenheim

1

Nice

5

Crystal Palace

4

Lens

3

Rennes

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Key metrics

Cards

PSG

2

last 5 matches

Lyon

7

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Lyon received +250% more cards than PSG in the last 5 matches.

PSG and Lyon cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Barcelona

0

Strasbourg

0

Manchester City

1

Le Mans

0

Olympique de Marseille

1

1

Hoffenheim

0

Nice

1

Crystal Palace

1

Lens

4

Rennes