Salzburg vs Milan Prediction | Europa League | 15/10

The encounter between Salzburg and Milan is set to kick off at 17:45 on Thursday, 15/10, at Red Bull Arena.

This Europa League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Draw

Why we predict a draw

We expect the match between Salzburg and Milan to end in a draw.

Both teams appear evenly matched, and we expect a balanced contest where neither side fully dominates. A draw looks like a likely outcome after 90 minutes.

Key Betting Insights

Salzburg

• Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
• Undefeated in their last 5 clashes
• Over 9.5 corners occurred in 4 of Salzburg's last 5 matches

Milan

• Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 4 of Milan's last 5 matches

Draw: 13/5

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	11/5	13/5	11/10	4/7	5/4
	9/4	11/4	1/1	4/7	5/4
	12/5	11/4	11/10	8/11	11/8
	9/4	11/4	21/20	8/13	5/4

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Salzburg Preview

Salzburg is coming to the clash with Milan with the current statistics in the Europa League:

• Matches played: 5

• Wins: 4

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 9 (Avg. 1.8)

• Goals Conceded: 3 (Avg. 0.6)

When having a broader look at Salzburg's performance in all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

• Matches played: 65

• Wins: 32

• Draws: 14

• Losses: 19

• Goals Scored: 125 (Avg. 1.92)

• Goals Conceded: 73 (Avg. 1.12)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Salzburg

Goals Scored: 125

Goals Conceded: 73

Average Goals Scored: 1.92

Average Goals Conceded: 1.12

Wins: 32

Goal Difference: 52

Date	Game	Result
10/10	GAK 0 - 0 Salzburg	D
20/09	Salzburg 3 - 0 Sturm Graz	W
17/09	Levski Sofia 0 - 1 Salzburg	W
11/09	Ried 1 - 1 Salzburg	D
06/09	St. Polten 0 - 3 Salzburg	W

Salzburg to win the match: 11/5

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Milan Preview

On the other hand, Milan comes into this fixture with the following statistics in Europa League:

• Matches played: 1

• Wins: 0

• Draws: 0

• Losses: 1

• Goals Scored: 0 (Avg. 0)

• Goals Conceded: 2 (Avg. 2)

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

• Matches played: 48

• Wins: 25

• Draws: 12

• Losses: 11

• Goals Scored: 68 (Avg. 1.42)

• Goals Conceded: 44 (Avg. 0.92)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Milan

Goals Scored: 69

Goals Conceded: 45

Average Goals Scored: 1.41

Average Goals Conceded: 0.92

Wins: 25

Goal Difference: 24

Date	Game	Result
11/10	Sassuolo 1 - 1 Milan	D
20/09	Milan 3 - 0 Lecce	W
16/09	Milan 0 - 2 Benfica	L
12/09	Lazio 2 - 2 Milan	D
06/09	Juventus 1 - 1 Milan	D

Milan to win the match: 11/10

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Statistical Insights for Salzburg vs Milan

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

Salzburg

Europe - Europa League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D W W D W	2.2
Home	W W W W W	3
Away	D W D W W	2.2

Milan

Europe - Europa League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D W L D D	1.2
Home	W L W L L	1.2
Away	D D D W W	1.8

Home Win

12/5

29.41%

Draw

11/4

26.67%

Favourite

Away Win

21/20

48.78%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Salzburg

8

last 5 matches

Milan

7

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Salzburg scored +14% more goals than Milan in the last 5 matches.

Salzburg and Milan goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

GAK

0

Sturm Graz

3

Levski Sofia

1

Ried

1

St. Polten

3

1

Sassuolo

3

Lecce

0

Benfica

2

Lazio

1

Juventus

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Salzburg

1

last 5 matches

Milan

6

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Milan conceded +500% more goals than Salzburg in the last 5 matches.

Salzburg and Milan goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

GAK

0

Sturm Graz

0

Levski Sofia

0

Ried

1

St. Polten

0

1

Sassuolo

0

Lecce

2

Benfica

2

Lazio

1

Juventus

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Key metrics

Corners

Salzburg

23

last 5 matches

Milan

23

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Both teams were awarded the same number of corners in the last 5 matches.

Salzburg and Milan corners count, last 5 matches

▲

GAK

6

Sturm Graz

3

Levski Sofia

4

Ried

7

St. Polten

3

5

Sassuolo

2

Lecce

10

Benfica

5

Lazio

1

Juventus

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Key metrics

Cards

Salzburg

10

last 5 matches

Milan

11

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Milan received +10% more cards than Salzburg in the last 5 matches.

Salzburg and Milan cards count, last 5 matches

▲

GAK

2

Sturm Graz

0

Levski Sofia

5

Ried

3

St. Polten

0

4

Sassuolo

0

Lecce

1

Benfica

3

Lazio

3

Juventus

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.