Brazil Serie A

Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 01:00

São Paulo

Team Performance 7 out of 10

Vasco

Team Performance 7 out of 10

São Paulo vs Vasco Prediction & Stats | Brazil Serie A | 18/10

The encounter between São Paulo and Vasco is set to kick off at 01:00 on Sunday, 18/10.

This Brazil Serie A fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Under 2.5 Goals

Why we predict under 2.5 Goals

Our tip is Under 2.5 Goals for the São Paulo vs Vasco matchup.

We anticipate a balanced game with both teams focusing on structure rather than risk-taking. Chances may be rare, leading to a result with two or fewer total goals.

Key Betting Insights

São Paulo

Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 out of São Paulo's last 5 matches

Vasco

Scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
Undefeated in their last 5 clashes
Won 4 of their last 5 matches

Under 2.5 Goals: 8/11

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £17.27

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
11/10	12/5	5/2	1/1	8/11
1/1	9/4	5/2	21/20	8/11
21/20	11/5	9/4	10/11	4/6
21/20	12/5	12/5	1/1	8/11

Exclusive Bonus

Bet £10 Get £40

New customers only | T&Cs apply

São Paulo Preview

São Paulo has completed 30 fixtures in the Brazil Serie A, securing 11 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses — an average of 1.3 points per game. In the Brazil Serie A, the team has scored 35 goals (1.17 per game) and conceded 35 (1.17 per game).

Across all competitions this season, São Paulo has played 52 matches, scoring 62 goals (1.19 per match) and conceding 58 (1.12 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

São Paulo

Goals Scored: 62

Goals Conceded: 58

Average Goals Scored: 1.19

Average Goals Conceded: 1.12

Wins: 21

Goal Difference: 4

Date	Game	Result
11/10	São Paulo 2 - 1 Vitória	W
08/10	Cruzeiro 2 - 0 São Paulo	L
02/10	São Paulo 1 - 2 Santos	L
20/09	São Paulo 1 - 0 Internacional	W
16/09	São Paulo 1 - 1 Boca Juniors	D

São Paulo to win the match: 11/10

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £21.00

Vasco Preview

Across 29 Brazil Serie A matches, Vasco has posted 9 victories, 8 stalemates, and 12 defeats, averaging 1.21 points per fixture. In those games they scored 36 (1.24 per match) and conceded 42 (1.45 per match).

During the whole 2026 campaign, Vasco has earned 23 wins from 57 matches across all competitions, scoring 77 goals (1.35 per match) and conceding 60 (1.05 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Vasco

Goals Scored: 77

Goals Conceded: 60

Average Goals Scored: 1.35

Average Goals Conceded: 1.05

Wins: 23

Goal Difference: 17

Date	Game	Result
14/10	Boca Juniors 0 - 1 Vasco	W
10/10	Vasco 0 - 0 Remo	D
07/10	Botafogo 1 - 2 Vasco	W
19/09	Vasco 5 - 0 Coritiba	W
15/09	Vasco 2 - 0 Santa Fe	W

Vasco to win the match: 5/2

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £35.00

Statistical Insights for São Paulo vs Vasco

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the São Paulo vs Vasco fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

São Paulo

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W L L W D	1.4
Home	W L W D W	2
Away	L L L L D	0.2

Vasco

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W D W W W	2.6
Home	D W W W W	2.6
Away	W W W D L	2

Favourite

Home Win

11/10

48.08%

Draw

9/4

30.3%

Away Win

9/4

30.77%

Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

São Paulo

last 5 matches

Vasco

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Vasco scored +100% more goals than São Paulo in the last 5 matches.

São Paulo and Vasco goals scored count, last 5 matches

Vitória

Cruzeiro

Santos

Internacional

Boca Juniors

Remo

Botafogo

Coritiba

Santa Fe

Key metrics

Goals Conceded

São Paulo

last 5 matches

Vasco

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

São Paulo conceded +500% more goals than Vasco in the last 5 matches.

São Paulo and Vasco goals conceded count, last 5 matches

Vitória

Cruzeiro

Santos

Internacional

Boca Juniors

Remo

Botafogo

Coritiba

Santa Fe

Key metrics

Corners

São Paulo

last 5 matches

Vasco

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Vasco received +3% more corners than São Paulo in the last 5 matches.

São Paulo and Vasco corners count, last 5 matches

Vitória

Cruzeiro

Santos

Internacional

Boca Juniors

Remo

Botafogo

Coritiba

Santa Fe

Key metrics

Cards

São Paulo

last 5 matches

Vasco

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

São Paulo received +67% more cards than Vasco in the last 5 matches.

São Paulo and Vasco cards count, last 5 matches

Vitória

Cruzeiro

Santos

Internacional

Boca Juniors

Remo

Botafogo

Coritiba

Santa Fe

Published on 15 October 2026, at 01:00 Last updated on 15 October 2026, at 03:28

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.