Sassuolo vs Milan Prediction & Stats | Serie A | 11/10

The encounter between Sassuolo and Milan is set to kick off at 17:00 on Sunday, 11/10.

This Serie A fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

1st Half Over 1.5 Goals

Why we predict over 1.5 Goals in the first half

Our recommended bet is First Half – Over 1.5 Goals for the Sassuolo vs Milan fixture.

We anticipate a lively opening period with both teams creating plenty of chances. An attacking tempo could see two or more goals scored before halftime.

Key Betting Insights

Sassuolo

• Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 5 out of Sassuolo's last 5 matches

Milan

• Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
• 5 matches against Sassuolo ended in a draw
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 4 of Milan's last 5 matches

1st Half Over 1.5 Goals: 13/8

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	11/4	11/4	5/6	8/13	6/5
	16/5	13/5	4/5	8/11	21/20
	10/3	11/4	4/5	4/6	23/20
	10/3	3/1	8/11	4/7	5/4

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Sassuolo Preview

Sassuolo has completed 5 fixtures in the Serie A, securing 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses — an average of 1.4 points per game. In the Serie A, the team has scored 9 goals (1.8 per game) and conceded 9 (1.8 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Sassuolo has played 47 matches, scoring 60 goals (1.28 per match) and conceding 63 (1.34 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Sassuolo

Goals Scored: 60

Goals Conceded: 63

Average Goals Scored: 1.28

Average Goals Conceded: 1.34

Wins: 18

Goal Difference: -3

Date	Game	Result
18/09	Monza 2 - 1 Sassuolo	L
13/09	Sassuolo 3 - 2 Juventus	W
06/09	Bologna 2 - 2 Sassuolo	D
02/09	Sassuolo 1 - 1 Frosinone	D
29/08	Sassuolo 2 - 1 Torino	W

Sassuolo to win the match: 11/4

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Milan Preview

Across 5 Serie A matches, Milan has posted 3 victories, 2 stalemates, and 0 defeats, averaging 2.2 points per fixture. In those games they scored 10 (2 per match) and conceded 4 (0.8 per match).

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Milan has earned 25 wins from 48 matches across all competitions, scoring 68 goals (1.42 per match) and conceding 44 (0.92 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Milan

Goals Scored: 68

Goals Conceded: 44

Average Goals Scored: 1.42

Average Goals Conceded: 0.92

Wins: 25

Goal Difference: 24

Date	Game	Result
20/09	Milan 3 - 0 Lecce	W
16/09	Milan 0 - 2 Benfica	L
12/09	Lazio 2 - 2 Milan	D
06/09	Juventus 1 - 1 Milan	D
28/08	Milan 2 - 0 Venezia	W

Milan to win the match: 5/6

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Statistical Insights for Sassuolo vs Milan

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Sassuolo vs Milan fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Sassuolo

Italy - Serie A

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L W D D W	1.6
Home	W D W W L	2
Away	L D L L L	0.2

Milan

Italy - Serie A

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W L D D W	1.6
Home	W L W L L	1.2
Away	D D W W L	1.6

Home Win

11/4

26.32%

Draw

13/5

27.78%

Favourite

Away Win

4/5

55.87%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Sassuolo

9

last 5 matches

Milan

8

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Sassuolo scored +13% more goals than Milan in the last 5 matches.

Sassuolo and Milan goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Monza

1

Juventus

3

Bologna

2

Frosinone

1

Torino

2

3

Lecce

0

Benfica

2

Lazio

1

Juventus

2

Venezia

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Sassuolo

8

last 5 matches

Milan

5

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Sassuolo conceded +60% more goals than Milan in the last 5 matches.

Sassuolo and Milan goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Monza

2

Juventus

2

Bologna

2

Frosinone

1

Torino

1

0

Lecce

2

Benfica

2

Lazio

1

Juventus

0

Venezia

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Key metrics

Corners

Sassuolo

25

last 5 matches

Milan

20

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Sassuolo received +25% more corners than Milan in the last 5 matches.

Sassuolo and Milan corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Monza

5

Juventus

3

Bologna

7

Frosinone

6

Torino

4

2

Lecce

10

Benfica

5

Lazio

1

Juventus

2

Venezia

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Key metrics

Cards

Sassuolo

9

last 5 matches

Milan

8

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Sassuolo received +13% more cards than Milan in the last 5 matches.

Sassuolo and Milan cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Monza

1

Juventus

2

Bologna

1

Frosinone

2

Torino

3

0

Lecce

1

Benfica

3

Lazio

3

Juventus

1

Venezia