Sturm Graz vs Celje Prediction | Europa League | 05/11

The encounter between Sturm Graz and Celje is set to kick off at 20:00 on Thursday, 05/11, at Merkur Arena.

This Europa League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

BTTS - No

Why we predict BTTS - No

Our recommended bet is BTTS – No for the Sturm Graz vs Celje clash.

We expect one of the sides to keep a clean sheet, given the defensive organization and limited attacking consistency. A low-scoring affair could be on the cards here.

Key Betting Insights

Sturm Graz

• Scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches
• Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches

Celje

• Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
• Undefeated in their last 4 clashes
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 4 of Celje's last 5 matches

BTTS - No: 23/20

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £21.50

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	8/15	10/3	9/2	8/15	11/8
	8/15	10/3	9/2	4/7	8/5
	8/15	10/3	9/2	8/15	11/8
	4/7	3/1	4/1	8/15	5/4

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Sturm Graz Preview

Sturm Graz is coming to the clash with Celje with the current statistics in the Europa League:

• Matches played: 3

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 1

• Goals Scored: 1 (Avg. 0.33)

• Goals Conceded: 3 (Avg. 1)

When having a broader look at Sturm Graz's performance in all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

• Matches played: 21

• Wins: 10

• Draws: 5

• Losses: 6

• Goals Scored: 35 (Avg. 1.67)

• Goals Conceded: 23 (Avg. 1.1)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Sturm Graz

Goals Scored: 35

Goals Conceded: 23

Average Goals Scored: 1.67

Average Goals Conceded: 1.1

Wins: 10

Goal Difference: 12

Date	Game	Result
01/11	Wolfsberger AC 1 - 1 Sturm Graz	D
29/10	Austria Lustenau 3 - 2 Sturm Graz	L
25/10	Sturm Graz 2 - 2 Ried	D
22/10	Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Olympique de Marseille	W
18/10	Sturm Graz 6 - 1 GAK	W

Sturm Graz to win the match: 8/15

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £15.33

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Celje Preview

On the other hand, Celje comes into this fixture with the following statistics in Europa League:

• Matches played: 3

• Wins: 0

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 2

• Goals Scored: 2 (Avg. 0.67)

• Goals Conceded: 7 (Avg. 2.33)

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

• Matches played: 22

• Wins: 7

• Draws: 8

• Losses: 7

• Goals Scored: 30 (Avg. 1.36)

• Goals Conceded: 29 (Avg. 1.32)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Celje

Goals Scored: 30

Goals Conceded: 29

Average Goals Scored: 1.36

Average Goals Conceded: 1.32

Wins: 7

Goal Difference: 1

Date	Game	Result
01/11	Celje 4 - 0 Nafta	W
28/10	Olimpija 1 - 1 Celje	D
22/10	Celje 2 - 2 Salzburg	D
18/10	Maribor 0 - 1 Celje	W
15/10	Celje 0 - 3 Omonia Nicosia	L

Celje to win the match: 9/2

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Statistical Insights for Sturm Graz vs Celje

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

Sturm Graz

Europe - Europa League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D L D W W	1.6
Home	D W W D W	2.2
Away	D L L W L	0.8

Celje

Europe - Europa League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W D D W L	1.6
Home	W D L W L	1.4
Away	D W D L L	1

Favourite

Home Win

8/15

65.23%

Draw

3/1

24.39%

Away Win

4/1

20.83%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Sturm Graz

12

last 5 matches

Celje

8

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Sturm Graz scored +50% more goals than Celje in the last 5 matches.

Sturm Graz and Celje goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Wolfsberger AC

1

Austria Lustenau

2

Ried

2

Olympique de Marseille

1

GAK

6

4

Nafta

1

Olimpija

2

Salzburg

1

Maribor

0

Omonia Nicosia

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Sturm Graz

7

last 5 matches

Celje

6

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Sturm Graz conceded +17% more goals than Celje in the last 5 matches.

Sturm Graz and Celje goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Wolfsberger AC

1

Austria Lustenau

3

Ried

2

Olympique de Marseille

0

GAK

1

0

Nafta

1

Olimpija

2

Salzburg

0

Maribor

3

Omonia Nicosia

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Key metrics

Corners

Sturm Graz

27

last 5 matches

Celje

20

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Sturm Graz received +35% more corners than Celje in the last 5 matches.

Sturm Graz and Celje corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Wolfsberger AC

4

Austria Lustenau

6

Ried

8

Olympique de Marseille

2

GAK

7

6

Nafta

4

Olimpija

2

Salzburg

5

Maribor

3

Omonia Nicosia

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Key metrics

Cards

Sturm Graz

13

last 5 matches

Celje

11

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Sturm Graz received +18% more cards than Celje in the last 5 matches.

Sturm Graz and Celje cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Wolfsberger AC

1

Austria Lustenau

5

Ried

2

Olympique de Marseille

3

GAK

2

1

Nafta

2

Olimpija

2

Salzburg

2

Maribor

4

Omonia Nicosia

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.