Troyes vs Lens Prediction & Stats | Ligue 1 | 17/10

The encounter between Troyes and Lens is set to kick off at 19:45 on Saturday, 17/10.

This Ligue 1 fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

2nd Half Troyes Win

Why we predict Troyes to win the second half

Our suggested pick is Second Half – Troyes Win for the Troyes vs Lens encounter.

We anticipate Troyes to grow into the game and finish strongly. With attacking substitutes and home momentum, they could take control after the break and win the second half.

Key Betting Insights

Troyes

• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches
• Lost 4 of their last 5 matches

Lens

• Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 out of Lens's last 5 matches

2nd Half Troyes Win: 3/1

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	11/4	3/1	5/6	8/15	11/8
	11/4	11/4	4/5	8/15	5/4
	3/1	3/1	4/5	4/7	11/8
	16/5	3/1	8/11	4/7	7/5

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Troyes Preview

Troyes has completed 6 fixtures in the Ligue 1, securing 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses — an average of 0.67 points per game. In the Ligue 1, the team has scored 4 goals (0.67 per game) and conceded 13 (2.17 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Troyes has played 45 matches, scoring 76 goals (1.69 per match) and conceding 51 (1.13 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Troyes

Goals Scored: 76

Goals Conceded: 51

Average Goals Scored: 1.69

Average Goals Conceded: 1.13

Wins: 25

Goal Difference: 25

Date	Game	Result
11/10	Troyes 0 - 2 Olympique de Marseille	L
19/09	Angers 2 - 0 Troyes	L
13/09	Lille 2 - 0 Troyes	L
06/09	Troyes 2 - 6 Strasbourg	L
29/08	Lorient 1 - 2 Troyes	W

Troyes to win the match: 11/4

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Lens Preview

Across 6 Ligue 1 matches, Lens has posted 2 victories, 1 stalemates, and 3 defeats, averaging 1.17 points per fixture. In those games they scored 11 (1.83 per match) and conceded 10 (1.67 per match).

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Lens has earned 31 wins from 48 matches across all competitions, scoring 100 goals (2.08 per match) and conceding 54 (1.13 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Lens

Goals Scored: 100

Goals Conceded: 56

Average Goals Scored: 2.04

Average Goals Conceded: 1.14

Wins: 31

Goal Difference: 44

Date	Game	Result
13/10	Lens 0 - 2 Sporting	L
09/10	Lens 2 - 1 Lyon	W
18/09	Monaco 2 - 1 Lens	L
13/09	Le Mans 2 - 2 Lens	D
10/09	Slavia Praha 2 - 3 Lens	W

Lens to win the match: 5/6

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Statistical Insights for Troyes vs Lens

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Troyes vs Lens fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Troyes

France - Ligue 1

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L L L W	0.6
Home	L L D W W	1.4
Away	L L W L W	1.2

Lens

France - Ligue 1

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L W L D W	1.4
Home	L W L W W	1.8
Away	L D W L W	1.4

Home Win

16/5

23.87%

Draw

3/1

24.63%

Favourite

Away Win

8/11

58.48%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Troyes

4

last 5 matches

Lens

8

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Lens scored +100% more goals than Troyes in the last 5 matches.

Troyes and Lens goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Olympique de Marseille

0

Angers

0

Lille

0

Strasbourg

2

Lorient

2

0

Sporting

2

Lyon

1

Monaco

2

Le Mans

3

Slavia Praha

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Troyes

13

last 5 matches

Lens

9

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Troyes conceded +44% more goals than Lens in the last 5 matches.

Troyes and Lens goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Olympique de Marseille

2

Angers

2

Lille

2

Strasbourg

6

Lorient

1

2

Sporting

1

Lyon

2

Monaco

2

Le Mans

2

Slavia Praha

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Key metrics

Corners

Troyes

38

last 5 matches

Lens

39

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Lens received +3% more corners than Troyes in the last 5 matches.

Troyes and Lens corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Olympique de Marseille

6

Angers

11

Lille

5

Strasbourg

11

Lorient

5

6

Sporting

7

Lyon

8

Monaco

9

Le Mans

9

Slavia Praha

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Key metrics

Cards

Troyes

7

last 5 matches

Lens

8

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Lens received +14% more cards than Troyes in the last 5 matches.

Troyes and Lens cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Olympique de Marseille

4

Angers

2

Lille

0

Strasbourg

1

Lorient

0

2

Sporting

1

Lyon

1

Monaco

3

Le Mans

1

Slavia Praha