Troyes vs Olympique de Marseille Prediction & Stats | Ligue 1 | 11/10

The encounter between Troyes and Olympique de Marseille is set to kick off at 19:45 on Sunday, 11/10.

This Ligue 1 fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Over 4.5 Goals

Why we predict over 4.5 Goals

Our selection is Over 4.5 Goals for the Troyes vs Olympique de Marseille matchup.

We’re anticipating a wide-open game with attacking football on display from both sides. With plenty of creative talent and defensive gaps, five or more goals could easily be produced.

Key Betting Insights

Troyes

• Scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Lost 3 of their last 5 matches

Olympique de Marseille

• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Lost 5 of their last 5 matches
• Scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches

Over 4.5 Goals: 10/3

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £43.33

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	12/5	11/4	21/20	4/7	11/8
	11/4	11/4	10/11	4/7	11/8
	11/4	11/4	5/6	4/6	6/4
	5/2	11/4	10/11	4/7	11/8

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Troyes Preview

Troyes has completed 5 fixtures in the Ligue 1, securing 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses — an average of 0.8 points per game. In the Ligue 1, the team has scored 4 goals (0.8 per game) and conceded 11 (2.2 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Troyes has played 44 matches, scoring 76 goals (1.73 per match) and conceding 49 (1.11 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Troyes

Goals Scored: 76

Goals Conceded: 49

Average Goals Scored: 1.73

Average Goals Conceded: 1.11

Wins: 25

Goal Difference: 27

Date	Game	Result
19/09	Angers 2 - 0 Troyes	L
13/09	Lille 2 - 0 Troyes	L
06/09	Troyes 2 - 6 Strasbourg	L
29/08	Lorient 1 - 2 Troyes	W
22/08	Troyes 0 - 0 Paris	D

Troyes to win the match: 12/5

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £34.00

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Olympique de Marseille Preview

Across 5 Ligue 1 matches, Olympique de Marseille has posted 1 victories, 0 stalemates, and 4 defeats, averaging 0.6 points per fixture. In those games they scored 7 (1.4 per match) and conceded 8 (1.6 per match).

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Olympique de Marseille has earned 25 wins from 53 matches across all competitions, scoring 104 goals (1.96 per match) and conceding 75 (1.42 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Olympique de Marseille

Goals Scored: 104

Goals Conceded: 75

Average Goals Scored: 1.96

Average Goals Conceded: 1.42

Wins: 25

Goal Difference: 29

Date	Game	Result
20/09	Olympique de Marseille 1 - 2 PSG	L
17/09	Beşiktaş 4 - 1 Olympique de Marseille	L
11/09	Rennes 1 - 0 Olympique de Marseille	L
06/09	Olympique de Marseille 2 - 3 Paris	L
30/08	Monaco 2 - 0 Olympique de Marseille	L

Olympique de Marseille to win the match: 21/20

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Statistical Insights for Troyes vs Olympique de Marseille

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Troyes vs Olympique de Marseille fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Troyes

France - Ligue 1

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L L W D	0.8
Home	L D W W W	2
Away	L L W L W	1.2

Olympique de Marseille

France - Ligue 1

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L L L L	0
Home	L L W W D	1.4
Away	L L L W L	0.6

Home Win

11/4

26.67%

Draw

11/4

26.67%

Favourite

Away Win

5/6

54.05%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Troyes

4

last 5 matches

Olympique de Marseille

4

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Both teams scored the same number of goals in the last 5 matches.

Troyes and Olympique de Marseille goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Angers

0

Lille

0

Strasbourg

2

Lorient

2

Paris

0

1

PSG

1

Beşiktaş

0

Rennes

2

Paris

0

Monaco

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Troyes

11

last 5 matches

Olympique de Marseille

12

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Olympique de Marseille conceded +9% more goals than Troyes in the last 5 matches.

Troyes and Olympique de Marseille goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Angers

2

Lille

2

Strasbourg

6

Lorient

1

Paris

0

2

PSG

4

Beşiktaş

1

Rennes

3

Paris

2

Monaco

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Key metrics

Corners

Troyes

38

last 5 matches

Olympique de Marseille

23

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Troyes received +65% more corners than Olympique de Marseille in the last 5 matches.

Troyes and Olympique de Marseille corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Angers

11

Lille

5

Strasbourg

11

Lorient

5

Paris

6

3

PSG

3

Beşiktaş

5

Rennes

5

Paris

7

Monaco

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Key metrics

Cards

Troyes

5

last 5 matches

Olympique de Marseille

8

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Olympique de Marseille received +60% more cards than Troyes in the last 5 matches.

Troyes and Olympique de Marseille cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Angers

2

Lille

0

Strasbourg

1

Lorient

0

Paris

2

3

PSG

1

Beşiktaş

4

Rennes

0

Paris

0

Monaco