Turkey vs USA Prediction | 2026 World Cup | 26/06

Turkey take on USA at the 2026 World Cup, with kick-off at 03:00 on Friday, 26/06.

Football's biggest stage raises the stakes, and there is plenty to know about how these two sides approach the contest.

Below you will find our full breakdown of the match, along with the bet our team rates as the best pick for this match.

Our Recommended Bet

The team at Betting.co.uk has crunched the numbers, weighing each side's recent results, scoring patterns, and defensive record to project how this one is likely to play out.

Our model factors in past meetings, in-tournament trends, and how clinical each team has been at both ends of the pitch.

The recommended bet and the reasoning behind it are below.

Recommended Bet

USA Win

Why we predict USA to win the match

Our prediction is USA to win the match.

USA have the quality and momentum to secure a win on the road. With their recent performances and attacking confidence, they’re well-positioned to claim victory.

Key Betting Insights

Turkey

• Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
• Over 9.5 corners occurred in 4 of Turkey's last 5 matches
• Won 3 of their last 5 matches

USA

• Scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
• Scored at least 1 goal in 4 consecutive matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches

USA Win: 8/11

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	5/2	3/1	5/6	4/5	11/8
	11/4	3/1	8/11	4/7	6/5
	11/4	3/1	5/6	8/13	5/4
	3/1	3/1	5/6	4/6	6/5

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Turkey Preview

Turkey have built up this record at the 2026 World Cup so far:

• Matches played: 2

• Wins: 0

• Draws: 0

• Losses: 2

• Goals Scored: 0 (Avg. 0)

• Goals Conceded: 3 (Avg. 1.5)

Widening the lens to every competition this season, Turkey's figures look like this:

• Matches played: 12

• Wins: 8

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 3

• Goals Scored: 25 (Avg. 2.08)

• Goals Conceded: 16 (Avg. 1.33)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Turkey

Goals Scored: 25

Goals Conceded: 16

Average Goals Scored: 2.08

Average Goals Conceded: 1.33

Wins: 8

Goal Difference: 9

Date	Game	Result
20/06	Turkey 0 - 1 Paraguay	L
14/06	Australia 2 - 0 Turkey	L
06/06	Venezuela 1 - 2 Turkey	W
01/06	Turkey 4 - 0 North Macedonia	W
31/03	Kosovo 0 - 1 Turkey	W

Turkey to win the match: 3/1

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USA Preview

USA, meanwhile, head into this tie with the following 2026 World Cup record:

• Matches played: 2

• Wins: 2

• Draws: 0

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 6 (Avg. 3)

• Goals Conceded: 1 (Avg. 0.5)

Looking across all competitions this season, USA's numbers come out as follows:

• Matches played: 6

• Wins: 3

• Draws: 0

• Losses: 3

• Goals Scored: 12 (Avg. 2)

• Goals Conceded: 12 (Avg. 2)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

USA

Goals Scored: 12

Goals Conceded: 12

Average Goals Scored: 2

Average Goals Conceded: 2

Wins: 3

Goal Difference: 0

Date	Game	Result
19/06	USA 2 - 0 Australia	W
13/06	USA 4 - 1 Paraguay	W
06/06	USA 1 - 2 Germany	L
31/05	USA 3 - 2 Senegal	W
31/03	USA 0 - 2 Portugal	L

USA to win the match: 5/6

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Statistical Insights for Turkey vs USA

The table below stacks each side's core numbers up against the benchmark.

Scoring output, both-teams-to-score frequency and the results of their last five matches all feed in, giving you a clearer read on where the value might sit in Turkey vs USA.

Key metrics

Team Form

Turkey

International - World Cup

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L W W W	1.8
Home	L W W W W	2.4
Away	L W W D W	2

USA

International - World Cup

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W W L W L	1.8
Home	W W L W L	1.8
Away	L W L L W	1.2

Home Win

3/1

25.64%

Draw

3/1

25.64%

Favourite

Away Win

5/6

54.35%

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Key Metrics

These are the areas that tend to decide betting value: corners, cards, goals scored and goals conceded.

Reading them side by side highlights each team's habits and points you toward the markets with the strongest patterns.

Key metrics

Corners

Turkey

47

last 5 matches

USA

26

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Turkey received +81% more corners than USA in the last 5 matches.

Turkey and USA corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Paraguay

12

Australia

8

Venezuela

12

North Macedonia

13

Kosovo

2

7

Australia

3

Paraguay

10

Germany

4

Senegal

2

Portugal

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Key metrics

Cards

Turkey

8

last 5 matches

USA

7

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Turkey received +14% more cards than USA in the last 5 matches.

Turkey and USA cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Paraguay

1

Australia

1

Venezuela

1

North Macedonia

0

Kosovo

5

3

Australia

1

Paraguay

1

Germany

1

Senegal

1

Portugal

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Turkey

7

last 5 matches

USA

10

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

USA scored +43% more goals than Turkey in the last 5 matches.

Turkey and USA goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Paraguay

0

Australia

0

Venezuela

2

North Macedonia

4

Kosovo

1

2

Australia

4

Paraguay

1

Germany

3

Senegal

0

Portugal

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Turkey

4

last 5 matches

USA

7

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

USA conceded +75% more goals than Turkey in the last 5 matches.

Turkey and USA goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Paraguay

1

Australia

2

Venezuela

1

North Macedonia

0

Kosovo

0

0

Australia

1

Paraguay

2

Germany

2

Senegal

2

Portugal

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