Vasco vs Corinthians Prediction & Stats | Brazil Serie A | 24/10

The encounter between Vasco and Corinthians is set to kick off at 22:30 on Saturday, 24/10.

This Brazil Serie A fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

2nd Half Vasco Win

Why we predict Vasco to win the second half

Our suggested pick is Second Half – Vasco Win for the Vasco vs Corinthians encounter.

We anticipate Vasco to grow into the game and finish strongly. With attacking substitutes and home momentum, they could take control after the break and win the second half.

Key Betting Insights

Vasco

• Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
• Kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 home games
• Over 9.5 corners occurred in 4 of Vasco da Gama's last 5 matches

Corinthians

• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 out of Corinthians's last 5 matches

2nd Half Vasco Win: 11/10

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	4/6	11/4	4/1	10/11	4/5
	8/13	5/2	7/2	10/11	8/11
	8/13	11/4	4/1	1/1	5/6
	4/6	11/4	4/1	10/11	4/5

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Vasco Preview

Vasco has completed 30 fixtures in the Brazil Serie A, securing 9 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses — an average of 1.17 points per game. In the Brazil Serie A, the team has scored 36 goals (1.2 per game) and conceded 43 (1.43 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Vasco has played 58 matches, scoring 77 goals (1.33 per match) and conceding 61 (1.05 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Vasco

Goals Scored: 78

Goals Conceded: 64

Average Goals Scored: 1.32

Average Goals Conceded: 1.08

Wins: 23

Goal Difference: 14

Date	Game	Result
21/10	Vasco 1 - 3 Boca Juniors	L
18/10	São Paulo 1 - 0 Vasco	L
14/10	Boca Juniors 0 - 1 Vasco	W
10/10	Vasco 0 - 0 Remo	D
07/10	Botafogo 1 - 2 Vasco	W

Vasco to win the match: 4/6

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Corinthians Preview

Across 31 Brazil Serie A matches, Corinthians has posted 8 victories, 9 stalemates, and 14 defeats, averaging 1.06 points per fixture. In those games they scored 32 (1.03 per match) and conceded 39 (1.26 per match).

During the whole 2026 campaign, Corinthians has earned 20 wins from 56 matches across all competitions, scoring 59 goals (1.05 per match) and conceding 56 (1 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Corinthians

Goals Scored: 59

Goals Conceded: 56

Average Goals Scored: 1.05

Average Goals Conceded: 1

Wins: 20

Goal Difference: 3

Date	Game	Result
19/10	Corinthians 1 - 1 Vitória	D
11/10	Palmeiras 4 - 1 Corinthians	L
07/10	Internacional 2 - 1 Corinthians	L
20/09	Corinthians 1 - 3 Fluminense	L
17/09	Corinthians 0 - 1 Estudiantes de La Plata	L

Corinthians to win the match: 4/1

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Statistical Insights for Vasco vs Corinthians

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Vasco vs Corinthians fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Vasco

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L W D W	1.4
Home	L D W W W	2
Away	L W W W D	2

Corinthians

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D L L L L	0.2
Home	D L L L L	0.2
Away	L L L D L	0.2

Favourite

Home Win

4/6

58.82%

Draw

11/4

26.67%

Away Win

7/2

21.74%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Vasco

4

last 5 matches

Corinthians

4

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Both teams scored the same number of goals in the last 5 matches.

Vasco and Corinthians goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Boca Juniors

1

São Paulo

0

Boca Juniors

1

Remo

0

Botafogo

2

1

Vitória

1

Palmeiras

1

Internacional

1

Fluminense

0

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Vasco

5

last 5 matches

Corinthians

11

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Corinthians conceded +120% more goals than Vasco in the last 5 matches.

Vasco and Corinthians goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Boca Juniors

3

São Paulo

1

Boca Juniors

0

Remo

0

Botafogo

1

1

Vitória

4

Palmeiras

2

Internacional

3

Fluminense

1

Estudiantes de La Plata

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Key metrics

Corners

Vasco

30

last 5 matches

Corinthians

38

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Corinthians received +27% more corners than Vasco in the last 5 matches.

Vasco and Corinthians corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Boca Juniors

5

São Paulo

4

Boca Juniors

1

Remo

6

Botafogo

14

9

Vitória

3

Palmeiras

12

Internacional

11

Fluminense

3

Estudiantes de La Plata

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Key metrics

Cards

Vasco

8

last 5 matches

Corinthians

15

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Corinthians received +88% more cards than Vasco in the last 5 matches.

Vasco and Corinthians cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Boca Juniors

1

São Paulo

2

Boca Juniors

3

Remo

2

Botafogo

0

1

Vitória

4

Palmeiras

5

Internacional

3

Fluminense

2

Estudiantes de La Plata