Atalanta vs Paphos Prediction | Europa Conference League | 15/10

The encounter between Atalanta and Paphos is set to kick off at 20:00 on Thursday, 15/10, at Gewiss Stadium.

This Europa Conference League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

BTTS - No

Why we predict BTTS - No

Our recommended bet is BTTS – No for the Atalanta vs Paphos clash.

We expect one of the sides to keep a clean sheet, given the defensive organization and limited attacking consistency. A low-scoring affair could be on the cards here.

Key Betting Insights

Atalanta

• Scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 3 of their last 5 matches
• Lost 3 of their last 5 matches

Paphos

• Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 4 of Paphos's last 5 matches
• Won 3 of their last 5 matches

BTTS - No: 5/6

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £18.33

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	3/10	9/2	7/1	1/2	7/5
	1/3	4/1	8/1	8/15	11/8
	2/7	9/2	7/1	1/2	7/5
	3/10	4/1	8/1	8/15	7/5

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Atalanta Preview

Atalanta is coming to the clash with Paphos with the current statistics in the Europa Conference League:

• Matches played: 2

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 1 (Avg. 0.5)

• Goals Conceded: 0 (Avg. 0)

When having a broader look at Atalanta's performance in all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

• Matches played: 61

• Wins: 25

• Draws: 18

• Losses: 18

• Goals Scored: 83 (Avg. 1.36)

• Goals Conceded: 69 (Avg. 1.13)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Atalanta

Goals Scored: 86

Goals Conceded: 70

Average Goals Scored: 1.39

Average Goals Conceded: 1.13

Wins: 26

Goal Difference: 16

Date	Game	Result
12/10	Atalanta 3 - 1 Venezia	W
20/09	Juventus 2 - 0 Atalanta	L
12/09	Atalanta 1 - 2 Cagliari	L
05/09	Roma 2 - 1 Atalanta	L
31/08	Atalanta 1 - 0 Bologna	W

Atalanta to win the match: 3/10

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £13.00

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Paphos Preview

On the other hand, Paphos comes into this fixture with the following statistics in Europa Conference League:

• Matches played: 2

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 5 (Avg. 2.5)

• Goals Conceded: 3 (Avg. 1.5)

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

• Matches played: 60

• Wins: 28

• Draws: 16

• Losses: 16

• Goals Scored: 98 (Avg. 1.63)

• Goals Conceded: 63 (Avg. 1.05)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Paphos

Goals Scored: 101

Goals Conceded: 64

Average Goals Scored: 1.66

Average Goals Conceded: 1.05

Wins: 29

Goal Difference: 37

Date	Game	Result
11/10	Anorthosis 1 - 3 Paphos	W
18/09	Paphos 0 - 2 AEL	L
13/09	AEK Larnaca 0 - 1 Paphos	W
07/09	Paphos 0 - 0 Olympiakos	D
30/08	Karmiotissa 0 - 3 Paphos	W

Paphos to win the match: 7/1

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £80.00

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Statistical Insights for Atalanta vs Paphos

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

Atalanta

Europe - Europa Conference League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W L L L W	1.2
Home	W L W W D	2
Away	L L W D W	1.4

Paphos

Europe - Europa Conference League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W L W D W	2
Home	L D W D W	1.6
Away	W W W D L	2

Favourite

Home Win

3/10

76.92%

Draw

9/2

18.18%

Away Win

8/1

10.53%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Atalanta

6

last 5 matches

Paphos

7

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Paphos scored +17% more goals than Atalanta in the last 5 matches.

Atalanta and Paphos goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Venezia

3

Juventus

0

Cagliari

1

Roma

1

Bologna

1

3

Anorthosis

0

AEL

1

AEK Larnaca

0

Olympiakos

3

Karmiotissa

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Atalanta

7

last 5 matches

Paphos

3

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Atalanta conceded +133% more goals than Paphos in the last 5 matches.

Atalanta and Paphos goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Venezia

1

Juventus

2

Cagliari

2

Roma

2

Bologna

0

1

Anorthosis

2

AEL

0

AEK Larnaca

0

Olympiakos

0

Karmiotissa

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Key metrics

Corners

Atalanta

18

last 5 matches

Paphos

33

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Paphos received +83% more corners than Atalanta in the last 5 matches.

Atalanta and Paphos corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Venezia

8

Juventus

5

Cagliari

3

Roma

1

Bologna

1

4

Anorthosis

7

AEL

6

AEK Larnaca

12

Olympiakos

4

Karmiotissa

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Key metrics

Cards

Atalanta

4

last 5 matches

Paphos

9

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Paphos received +125% more cards than Atalanta in the last 5 matches.

Atalanta and Paphos cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Venezia

0

Juventus

2

Cagliari

0

Roma

1

Bologna

1

2

Anorthosis

4

AEL

2

AEK Larnaca

1

Olympiakos

0

Karmiotissa

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.