Atlético-MG vs Santos Prediction & Stats | Brazil Serie A | 11/10

The encounter between Atlético-MG and Santos is set to kick off at 20:00 on Sunday, 11/10.

This Brazil Serie A fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

2nd Half Over 2.5 Goals

Why we predict over 2.5 Goals in the second half

Our prediction is Second Half – Over 2.5 Goals for the Atlético-MG vs Santos encounter. An intense, end-to-end finish is expected, with both sides likely to press hard in search of goals. Three or more second-half goals are possible if the match becomes open and free-flowing.

Key Betting Insights

Atlético-MG

• Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Undefeated in their last 4 clashes

Santos

• Scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
• Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches
• Won 4 of their last 5 matches

2nd Half Over 2.5 Goals: 4/1

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	6/5	5/2	9/4	4/5	1/1
	1/1	5/2	13/5	5/6	5/6
	11/10	9/4	11/5	8/11	10/11
	11/10	12/5	9/4	4/5	1/1

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Atlético-MG Preview

Atlético-MG has completed 28 fixtures in the Brazil Serie A, securing 12 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses — an average of 1.54 points per game. In the Brazil Serie A, the team has scored 37 goals (1.32 per game) and conceded 32 (1.14 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Atlético-MG has played 55 matches, scoring 76 goals (1.38 per match) and conceding 59 (1.07 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Atlético-MG

Goals Scored: 78

Goals Conceded: 61

Average Goals Scored: 1.39

Average Goals Conceded: 1.09

Wins: 23

Goal Difference: 17

Date	Game	Result
08/10	Athletico-PR 2 - 2 Atlético-MG	D
03/10	Atlético-MG 1 - 0 Bragantino	W
19/09	Atlético-MG 1 - 1 Chapecoense	D
16/09	Atlético-MG 4 - 2 Santos	W
12/09	Atlético-MG 3 - 1 Fluminense	W

Atlético-MG to win the match: 6/5

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Santos Preview

Across 28 Brazil Serie A matches, Santos has posted 11 victories, 8 stalemates, and 9 defeats, averaging 1.46 points per fixture. In those games they scored 43 (1.54 per match) and conceded 41 (1.46 per match).

During the whole 2026 campaign, Santos has earned 21 wins from 55 matches across all competitions, scoring 81 goals (1.47 per match) and conceding 67 (1.22 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Santos

Goals Scored: 83

Goals Conceded: 69

Average Goals Scored: 1.48

Average Goals Conceded: 1.23

Wins: 21

Goal Difference: 14

Date	Game	Result
08/10	Santos 2 - 2 Flamengo	D
02/10	São Paulo 1 - 2 Santos	W
19/09	Remo 1 - 2 Santos	W
16/09	Atlético-MG 4 - 2 Santos	L
13/09	Santos 2 - 1 Cruzeiro	W

Santos to win the match: 9/4

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Statistical Insights for Atlético-MG vs Santos

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Atlético-MG vs Santos fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Atlético-MG

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D W D W W	2.2
Home	W D W W W	2.6
Away	D L L D D	0.6

Santos

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D W W L W	2
Home	D W W D D	1.8
Away	W W L W W	2.4

Favourite

Home Win

1/1

51.02%

Draw

12/5

29.41%

Away Win

11/5

31.75%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Atlético-MG

11

last 5 matches

Santos

10

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Atlético-MG scored +10% more goals than Santos in the last 5 matches.

Atlético-MG and Santos goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Athletico-PR

2

Bragantino

1

Chapecoense

1

Santos

4

Fluminense

3

2

Flamengo

2

São Paulo

2

Remo

2

Atlético-MG

2

Cruzeiro

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Atlético-MG

6

last 5 matches

Santos

9

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Santos conceded +50% more goals than Atlético-MG in the last 5 matches.

Atlético-MG and Santos goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Athletico-PR

2

Bragantino

0

Chapecoense

1

Santos

2

Fluminense

1

2

Flamengo

1

São Paulo

1

Remo

4

Atlético-MG

1

Cruzeiro

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Key metrics

Corners

Atlético-MG

27

last 5 matches

Santos

29

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Santos received +7% more corners than Atlético-MG in the last 5 matches.

Atlético-MG and Santos corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Athletico-PR

3

Bragantino

5

Chapecoense

10

Santos

4

Fluminense

5

5

Flamengo

1

São Paulo

4

Remo

6

Atlético-MG

13

Cruzeiro

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Key metrics

Cards

Atlético-MG

6

last 5 matches

Santos

17

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Santos received +183% more cards than Atlético-MG in the last 5 matches.

Atlético-MG and Santos cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Athletico-PR

2

Bragantino

1

Chapecoense

2

Santos

0

Fluminense

1

6

Flamengo

3

São Paulo

4

Remo

2

Atlético-MG

2

Cruzeiro