Brazil Serie A

Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 23:30

Bahia

Team Performance 8 out of 10

Mirassol

Team Performance 3 out of 10

Bahia vs Mirassol Prediction & Stats | Brazil Serie A | 11/10

The encounter between Bahia and Mirassol is set to kick off at 23:30 on Sunday, 11/10.

This Brazil Serie A fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

1st Half Draw

Why we predict the first half to end in a draw

We expect a draw in the first half for the Bahia vs Mirassol fixture.

Both sides are likely to approach the opening period cautiously, focusing on structure and possession. A balanced first half with limited chances could result in a level score at halftime.

Key Betting Insights

Bahia

Scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches
Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches
Won 4 of their last 5 matches

Mirassol

Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 out of Mirassol's last 5 matches

1st Half Draw: 6/4

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £25.00

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
8/11	3/1	7/2	4/6	6/5
4/6	11/4	4/1	4/6	23/20
4/6	11/4	7/2	8/13	21/20
4/6	11/4	7/2	8/13	11/10

Exclusive Bonus

Bet £10 Get £40

New customers only | T&Cs apply

Bahia Preview

Bahia has completed 28 fixtures in the Brazil Serie A, securing 12 wins, 10 draws, and 6 losses — an average of 1.64 points per game. In the Brazil Serie A, the team has scored 43 goals (1.54 per game) and conceded 35 (1.25 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Bahia has played 43 matches, scoring 79 goals (1.84 per match) and conceding 54 (1.26 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Bahia

Goals Scored: 79

Goals Conceded: 55

Average Goals Scored: 1.8

Average Goals Conceded: 1.25

Wins: 22

Goal Difference: 24

Date	Game	Result
09/10	Palmeiras 1 - 0 Bahia	L
20/09	Athletico-PR 2 - 1 Bahia	L
14/09	Bahia 2 - 1 Remo	W
05/09	Bragantino 2 - 3 Bahia	W
30/08	Bahia 3 - 2 Internacional	W

Bahia to win the match: 8/11

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £17.27

Mirassol Preview

Across 28 Brazil Serie A matches, Mirassol has posted 8 victories, 8 stalemates, and 12 defeats, averaging 1.14 points per fixture. In those games they scored 33 (1.18 per match) and conceded 42 (1.5 per match).

During the whole 2026 campaign, Mirassol has earned 15 wins from 48 matches across all competitions, scoring 55 goals (1.15 per match) and conceding 59 (1.23 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Mirassol

Goals Scored: 56

Goals Conceded: 60

Average Goals Scored: 1.14

Average Goals Conceded: 1.22

Wins: 15

Goal Difference: -4

Date	Game	Result
07/10	Bragantino 1 - 1 Mirassol	D
19/09	Mirassol 2 - 0 Botafogo	W
13/09	Mirassol 2 - 2 Vitória	D
06/09	Coritiba 1 - 2 Mirassol	W
02/09	Flamengo 2 - 0 Mirassol	L

Mirassol to win the match: 7/2

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £45.00

Statistical Insights for Bahia vs Mirassol

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Bahia vs Mirassol fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Bahia

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L W W W	1.8
Home	W W D D W	2.2
Away	L L W W D	1.4

Mirassol

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D W D W L	1.6
Home	W D D L D	1.2
Away	D W L D D	1.2

Favourite

Home Win

8/11

57.8%

Draw

3/1

25.32%

Away Win

7/2

21.74%

Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Bahia

last 5 matches

Mirassol

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Bahia scored +29% more goals than Mirassol in the last 5 matches.

Bahia and Mirassol goals scored count, last 5 matches

Palmeiras

Athletico-PR

Remo

Bragantino

Internacional

Bragantino

Botafogo

Vitória

Coritiba

Flamengo

Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Bahia

last 5 matches

Mirassol

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Bahia conceded +33% more goals than Mirassol in the last 5 matches.

Bahia and Mirassol goals conceded count, last 5 matches

Palmeiras

Athletico-PR

Remo

Bragantino

Internacional

Bragantino

Botafogo

Vitória

Coritiba

Flamengo

Key metrics

Corners

Bahia

last 5 matches

Mirassol

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Mirassol received +33% more corners than Bahia in the last 5 matches.

Bahia and Mirassol corners count, last 5 matches

Palmeiras

Athletico-PR

Remo

Bragantino

Internacional

Bragantino

Botafogo

Vitória

Coritiba

Flamengo

Key metrics

Cards

Bahia

last 5 matches

Mirassol

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Bahia received +18% more cards than Mirassol in the last 5 matches.

Bahia and Mirassol cards count, last 5 matches

Palmeiras

Athletico-PR

Remo

Bragantino

Internacional

Bragantino

Botafogo

Vitória

Coritiba

Flamengo

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.