UEFA Nations League

Tuesday, 06 October 2026 at 19:45

Croatia

Team Performance 4 out of 10

Spain

Team Performance 7 out of 10

Croatia vs Spain Prediction | UEFA Nations League | 06/10

The encounter between Croatia and Spain is set to kick off at 19:45 on Tuesday, 06/10, at Stadion Poljud.

This UEFA Nations League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Under 2.5 Goals

Why we predict under 2.5 Goals

Our tip is Under 2.5 Goals for the Croatia vs Spain matchup.

We anticipate a balanced game with both teams focusing on structure rather than risk-taking. Chances may be rare, leading to a result with two or fewer total goals.

Key Betting Insights

Croatia

Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches

Spain

Scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches
Won 5 of their last 5 matches
Undefeated in their last 5 clashes

Under 2.5 Goals: 7/4

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £27.50

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
8/1	5/1	2/7	4/9	7/4
8/1	11/2	1/4	4/9	13/8
15/2	9/2	3/10	4/9	6/4
8/1	5/1	1/4	4/11	7/4

Exclusive Bonus

Bet £10 Get £40

New customers only | T&Cs apply

Croatia Preview

Croatia is coming to the clash with Spain with the current statistics in the UEFA Nations League:

Matches played: 2
Wins: 1
Draws: 0
Losses: 1
Goals Scored: 3 (Avg. 1.5)
Goals Conceded: 5 (Avg. 2.5)

When having a broader look at Croatia's performance in all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

Matches played: 18
Wins: 12
Draws: 1
Losses: 5
Goals Scored: 40 (Avg. 2.22)
Goals Conceded: 23 (Avg. 1.28)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Croatia

Goals Scored: 40

Goals Conceded: 30

Average Goals Scored: 2.11

Average Goals Conceded: 1.58

Wins: 12

Goal Difference: 10

Date	Game	Result
06/10	Croatia 1 - 2 Spain	L
03/10	Croatia 0 - 7 England	L
29/09	Spain 4 - 1 Croatia	L
26/09	Czech Republic 1 - 2 Croatia	W
02/07	Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia	L

Croatia to win the match: 8/1

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £90.00

Spain Preview

On the other hand, Spain comes into this fixture with the following statistics in UEFA Nations League:

Matches played: 2
Wins: 2
Draws: 0
Losses: 0
Goals Scored: 7 (Avg. 3.5)
Goals Conceded: 3 (Avg. 1.5)

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

Matches played: 20
Wins: 16
Draws: 4
Losses: 0
Goals Scored: 49 (Avg. 2.45)
Goals Conceded: 8 (Avg. 0.4)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Spain

Goals Scored: 52

Goals Conceded: 9

Average Goals Scored: 2.48

Average Goals Conceded: 0.43

Wins: 17

Goal Difference: 43

Date	Game	Result
06/10	Croatia 1 - 2 Spain	W
03/10	Spain 3 - 1 Czech Republic	W
29/09	Spain 4 - 1 Croatia	W
26/09	England 2 - 3 Spain	W
19/07	Spain 1 - 0 Argentina	W

Spain to win the match: 2/7

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £12.86

Statistical Insights for Croatia vs Spain

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

Croatia

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L W L W	1.2
Home	L W W W W	2.4
Away	L W L W L	1.2

Spain

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	3
Home	W W W W W	3
Away	W W W W W	3

Home Win

8/1

11.11%

Draw

11/2

15.38%

Favourite

Away Win

1/4

78.74%

Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Croatia

last 5 matches

Spain

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Spain scored +117% more goals than Croatia in the last 5 matches.

Croatia and Spain goals scored count, last 5 matches

England

Spain

Czech Republic

Portugal

Ghana

Croatia

Czech Republic

Croatia

England

Argentina

Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Croatia

last 5 matches

Spain

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Croatia conceded +200% more goals than Spain in the last 5 matches.

Croatia and Spain goals conceded count, last 5 matches

England

Spain

Czech Republic

Portugal

Ghana

Croatia

Czech Republic

Croatia

England

Argentina

Key metrics

Corners

Croatia

last 5 matches

Spain

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Spain received +71% more corners than Croatia in the last 5 matches.

Croatia and Spain corners count, last 5 matches

England

Spain

Czech Republic

Portugal

Ghana

Croatia

Czech Republic

Croatia

England

Argentina

Key metrics

Cards

Croatia

last 5 matches

Spain

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Croatia received +125% more cards than Spain in the last 5 matches.

Croatia and Spain cards count, last 5 matches

England

Spain

Czech Republic

Portugal

Ghana

Croatia

Czech Republic

Croatia

England

Argentina

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.