Estonia vs Iceland Prediction | UEFA Nations League | 06/10

The encounter between Estonia and Iceland is set to kick off at 19:45 on Tuesday, 06/10, at Sportland Arena.

This UEFA Nations League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Estonia Win

Why we predict Estonia to win the match

Our prediction is Estonia to win the match.

We anticipate Estonia to make the most of their home advantage, controlling key phases of play and ultimately taking all three points.

Key Betting Insights

Estonia

• Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 3 out of Estonia's last 5 matches

Iceland

• Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 5 of Iceland's last 5 matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches

Estonia Win: 9/2

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	9/2	3/1	8/15	10/11	4/5
	9/2	3/1	8/13	10/11	5/6
	5/1	3/1	1/2	4/5	10/11
	7/2	9/4	4/6	1/1	8/11

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Estonia Preview

Estonia is coming to the clash with Iceland with the current statistics in the UEFA Nations League:

• Matches played: 2

• Wins: 0

• Draws: 2

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 1 (Avg. 0.5)

• Goals Conceded: 1 (Avg. 0.5)

When having a broader look at Estonia's performance in all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

• Matches played: 12

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 4

• Losses: 7

• Goals Scored: 10 (Avg. 0.83)

• Goals Conceded: 25 (Avg. 2.08)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Estonia

Goals Scored: 11

Goals Conceded: 25

Average Goals Scored: 0.85

Average Goals Conceded: 1.92

Wins: 2

Goal Difference: -14

Date	Game	Result
06/10	Estonia 0 - 0 Iceland	D
03/10	Estonia 1 - 0 Luxembourg	W
29/09	Bulgaria 0 - 0 Estonia	D
26/09	Iceland 1 - 1 Estonia	D
30/03	Rwanda 2 - 0 Estonia	L

Estonia to win the match: 9/2

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Iceland Preview

On the other hand, Iceland comes into this fixture with the following statistics in UEFA Nations League:

• Matches played: 2

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 4 (Avg. 2)

• Goals Conceded: 1 (Avg. 0.5)

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

• Matches played: 13

• Wins: 3

• Draws: 4

• Losses: 6

• Goals Scored: 20 (Avg. 1.54)

• Goals Conceded: 23 (Avg. 1.77)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Iceland

Goals Scored: 23

Goals Conceded: 23

Average Goals Scored: 1.64

Average Goals Conceded: 1.64

Wins: 4

Goal Difference: 0

Date	Game	Result
06/10	Estonia 0 - 0 Iceland	D
03/10	Iceland 3 - 0 Bulgaria	W
29/09	Luxembourg 0 - 3 Iceland	W
26/09	Iceland 1 - 1 Estonia	D
10/06	Argentina 3 - 0 Iceland	L

Iceland to win the match: 8/15

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Statistical Insights for Estonia vs Iceland

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

Estonia

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W D D L D	1.2
Home	W D L D L	1
Away	D D L D W	1.2

Iceland

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D W W D L	1.6
Home	W D D L W	1.6
Away	W L L D D	1

Home Win

9/2

18.18%

Draw

9/4

30.3%

Favourite

Away Win

4/6

58.82%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Estonia

3

last 5 matches

Iceland

7

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Iceland scored +133% more goals than Estonia in the last 5 matches.

Estonia and Iceland goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Luxembourg

1

Bulgaria

0

Iceland

1

Rwanda

0

Kenya

1

0

Estonia

3

Bulgaria

3

Luxembourg

1

Estonia

0

Argentina

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Estonia

4

last 5 matches

Iceland

4

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Both teams conceded the same number of goals in the last 5 matches.

Estonia and Iceland goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Luxembourg

0

Bulgaria

0

Iceland

1

Rwanda

2

Kenya

1

0

Estonia

0

Bulgaria

0

Luxembourg

1

Estonia

3

Argentina

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Key metrics

Corners

Estonia

22

last 5 matches

Iceland

27

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Iceland received +23% more corners than Estonia in the last 5 matches.

Estonia and Iceland corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Luxembourg

7

Bulgaria

6

Iceland

3

Rwanda

5

Kenya

1

7

Estonia

9

Bulgaria

2

Luxembourg

7

Estonia

2

Argentina

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Key metrics

Cards

Estonia

7

last 5 matches

Iceland

14

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Iceland received +100% more cards than Estonia in the last 5 matches.

Estonia and Iceland cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Luxembourg

3

Bulgaria

2

Iceland

2

Rwanda

0

Kenya

0

1

Estonia

2

Bulgaria

4

Luxembourg

1

Estonia

6

Argentina