Scottish Premiership

Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 15:00

Hearts

Team Performance 8 out of 10

St. Mirren

Team Performance 5 out of 10

Hearts vs St. Mirren Prediction & Stats | Scottish Premiership | 10/10

The encounter between Hearts and St. Mirren is set to kick off at 15:00 on Saturday, 10/10.

This Scottish Premiership fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Over 3.5 Goals

Why we predict over 3.5 Goals

Our betting pick is Over 3.5 Goals for the Hearts vs St. Mirren contest.

This game promises end-to-end action, with both teams expected to push forward and create plenty of opportunities. A high-scoring affair featuring at least four goals looks realistic.

Key Betting Insights

Hearts

Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
9 matches against St. Mirren ended in a draw
Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches

St. Mirren

9 matches against Hearts ended in a draw
Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
Over 9.5 corners occurred in 5 of St. Mirren's last 5 matches

Over 3.5 Goals: 5/4

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £22.50

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
2/5	4/1	5/1	4/9	6/4
4/11	4/1	6/1	4/9	7/4
4/11	7/2	11/2	1/2	13/8
2/5	7/2	5/1	4/9	7/5

Exclusive Bonus

Bet £10 Get £40

New customers only | T&Cs apply

Hearts Preview

Hearts has completed 7 fixtures in the Scottish Premiership, securing 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses — an average of 1.86 points per game. In the Scottish Premiership, the team has scored 14 goals (2 per game) and conceded 8 (1.14 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Hearts has played 52 matches, scoring 88 goals (1.69 per match) and conceding 60 (1.15 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Hearts

Goals Scored: 88

Goals Conceded: 60

Average Goals Scored: 1.69

Average Goals Conceded: 1.15

Wins: 28

Goal Difference: 28

Date	Game	Result
19/09	Kilmarnock 1 - 1 Hearts	D
15/09	Falkirk 2 - 1 Hearts	L
06/09	Hearts 2 - 1 Dundee	W
03/09	Hibernian 1 - 3 Hearts	W
29/08	Hearts 2 - 1 St. Johnstone	W

Hearts to win the match: 2/5

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £14.00

St. Mirren Preview

Across 7 Scottish Premiership matches, St. Mirren has posted 3 victories, 1 stalemates, and 3 defeats, averaging 1.43 points per fixture. In those games they scored 8 (1.14 per match) and conceded 9 (1.29 per match).

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, St. Mirren has earned 13 wins from 49 matches across all competitions, scoring 45 goals (0.92 per match) and conceding 73 (1.49 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

St. Mirren

Goals Scored: 45

Goals Conceded: 73

Average Goals Scored: 0.92

Average Goals Conceded: 1.49

Wins: 13

Goal Difference: -28

Date	Game	Result
19/09	St. Mirren 0 - 3 Dundee United	L
09/09	Rangers 1 - 0 St. Mirren	L
05/09	St. Mirren 1 - 2 Celtic	L
02/09	Kilmarnock 0 - 1 St. Mirren	W
30/08	St. Mirren 3 - 3 Motherwell	D

St. Mirren to win the match: 5/1

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £60.00

Statistical Insights for Hearts vs St. Mirren

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Hearts vs St. Mirren fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Hearts

Scotland - Scottish Premiership

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D L W W W	2
Home	W W D D W	2.2
Away	D L W D L	1

St. Mirren

Scotland - Scottish Premiership

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L L W D	0.8
Home	L L D W D	1
Away	L W W W L	1.8

Favourite

Home Win

4/11

74.07%

Draw

4/1

19.05%

Away Win

5/1

16.67%

Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Hearts

last 5 matches

St. Mirren

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Hearts scored +80% more goals than St. Mirren in the last 5 matches.

Hearts and St. Mirren goals scored count, last 5 matches

Kilmarnock

Falkirk

Dundee

Hibernian

St. Johnstone

Dundee United

Rangers

Celtic

Kilmarnock

Motherwell

Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Hearts

last 5 matches

St. Mirren

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

St. Mirren conceded +50% more goals than Hearts in the last 5 matches.

Hearts and St. Mirren goals conceded count, last 5 matches

Kilmarnock

Falkirk

Dundee

Hibernian

St. Johnstone

Dundee United

Rangers

Celtic

Kilmarnock

Motherwell

Key metrics

Corners

Hearts

last 5 matches

St. Mirren

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Hearts received +100% more corners than St. Mirren in the last 5 matches.

Hearts and St. Mirren corners count, last 5 matches

Kilmarnock

Falkirk

Dundee

Hibernian

St. Johnstone

Dundee United

Rangers

Celtic

Kilmarnock

Motherwell

Key metrics

Cards

Hearts

last 5 matches

St. Mirren

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

St. Mirren received +57% more cards than Hearts in the last 5 matches.

Hearts and St. Mirren cards count, last 5 matches

Kilmarnock

Falkirk

Dundee

Hibernian

St. Johnstone

Dundee United

Rangers

Celtic

Kilmarnock

Motherwell

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.