Paphos vs Riga Prediction | Europa Conference League | 22/10

The encounter between Paphos and Riga is set to kick off at 17:45 on Thursday, 22/10, at Stadio Stelios Kyriakides.

This Europa Conference League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Corners Riga Win

Why we predict more corners for Riga

We predict that Riga will gain more corners than Paphos

We expect Riga to dominate attacking play and spend more time in the opposition half, resulting in a higher corner count. Their offensive pressure should help them outnumber Paphos on corners.

Key Betting Insights

Paphos

• Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 4 of Paphos's last 5 matches
• Conceded in 3 of their last 5 matches

Riga

• Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
• Undefeated in their last 5 clashes
• Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches

Corners Riga Win: 13/5

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £36.00

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	8/13	11/4	7/2	4/6	21/20
	8/13	11/4	7/2	4/6	1/1
	4/6	11/4	7/2	8/11	11/10
	8/11	3/1	4/1	4/5	1/1

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Paphos Preview

Paphos is coming to the clash with Riga with the current statistics in the Europa Conference League:

• Matches played: 3

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 1

• Goals Scored: 6 (Avg. 2)

• Goals Conceded: 6 (Avg. 2)

When having a broader look at Paphos's performance in all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

• Matches played: 62

• Wins: 29

• Draws: 16

• Losses: 17

• Goals Scored: 102 (Avg. 1.65)

• Goals Conceded: 67 (Avg. 1.08)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Paphos

Goals Scored: 102

Goals Conceded: 67

Average Goals Scored: 1.65

Average Goals Conceded: 1.08

Wins: 29

Goal Difference: 35

Date	Game	Result
15/10	Atalanta 3 - 1 Paphos	L
11/10	Anorthosis 1 - 3 Paphos	W
18/09	Paphos 0 - 2 AEL	L
13/09	AEK Larnaca 0 - 1 Paphos	W
07/09	Paphos 0 - 0 Olympiakos	D

Paphos to win the match: 8/13

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £16.15

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Riga Preview

On the other hand, Riga comes into this fixture with the following statistics in Europa Conference League:

• Matches played: 7

• Wins: 4

• Draws: 3

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 13 (Avg. 1.86)

• Goals Conceded: 7 (Avg. 1)

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

• Matches played: 47

• Wins: 31

• Draws: 11

• Losses: 5

• Goals Scored: 114 (Avg. 2.43)

• Goals Conceded: 50 (Avg. 1.06)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Riga

Goals Scored: 116

Goals Conceded: 51

Average Goals Scored: 2.42

Average Goals Conceded: 1.06

Wins: 32

Goal Difference: 65

Date	Game	Result
18/10	Riga 2 - 1 Super Nova	W
15/10	Riga 1 - 1 Kairat	D
10/10	Tukums 0 - 2 Riga	W
19/09	FS Jelgava 0 - 1 Riga	W
15/09	Super Nova 0 - 1 Riga	W

Riga to win the match: 7/2

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £45.00

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Statistical Insights for Paphos vs Riga

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

Paphos

Europe - Europa Conference League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L W L W D	1.4
Home	L D W D W	1.6
Away	L W W W D	2

Riga

Europe - Europa Conference League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W D W W W	2.6
Home	W D D D W	1.8
Away	W W W L D	2

Favourite

Home Win

8/13

60.98%

Draw

3/1

24.75%

Away Win

7/2

22.22%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Paphos

5

last 5 matches

Riga

7

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Riga scored +40% more goals than Paphos in the last 5 matches.

Paphos and Riga goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Atalanta

1

Anorthosis

3

AEL

0

AEK Larnaca

1

Olympiakos

0

2

Super Nova

1

Kairat

2

Tukums

1

FS Jelgava

1

Super Nova

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Paphos

6

last 5 matches

Riga

2

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Paphos conceded +200% more goals than Riga in the last 5 matches.

Paphos and Riga goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Atalanta

3

Anorthosis

1

AEL

2

AEK Larnaca

0

Olympiakos

0

1

Super Nova

1

Kairat

0

Tukums

0

FS Jelgava

0

Super Nova

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Key metrics

Corners

Paphos

31

last 5 matches

Riga

30

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Paphos received +3% more corners than Riga in the last 5 matches.

Paphos and Riga corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Atalanta

2

Anorthosis

4

AEL

7

AEK Larnaca

6

Olympiakos

12

8

Super Nova

2

Kairat

5

Tukums

4

FS Jelgava

11

Super Nova

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Key metrics

Cards

Paphos

9

last 5 matches

Riga

14

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Riga received +56% more cards than Paphos in the last 5 matches.

Paphos and Riga cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Atalanta

0

Anorthosis

2

AEL

4

AEK Larnaca

2

Olympiakos

1

2

Super Nova

0

Kairat

4

Tukums

3

FS Jelgava

5

Super Nova

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.